Our NFL DFS lineups have been pretty good through three weeks. They haven’t carried anyone to a massive win, but the picks and lineups pushed out should be providing a little help.
In week three, the majority of my lineups smashed. Our cash lineup had seven terrific plays, with Josh Malone being the only gaffe.
I took Malone out of our GPP lineup, which was pretty wise. That team was even better, with stellar plays like Dak Prescott, Allen Robinson, DK Metcalf, and Amari Cooper helping you win.
My daily fantasy football lineups worked out nicely, and if you used them, you should have had a chance at cashing. The goal is that and more, so let’s dive into my favorite NFL DFS lineups for week 4, 2020.
Week 4 NFL DFS Advice
Before we get too far into my favorite daily fantasy football lineups, I like to take a second each week to look at how the top NFL sportsbooks frame things.
Week four, to put it simply, is going to be ablaze.
Every sportsbook has some insane totals up, with a mind-boggling seven games coming in with totals north of 52.
Crazy, right? This obviously makes things a bit sketchy if you usually bet on over/unders in pro football, and it’s a big reason why I’m largely avoiding that type of wager this week.
But in theory, this should mean for a truly wild week of daily fantasy football. That’s fun, but what isn’t fun is trying to navigate the murky waters of COVID-19.
The Titans/Steelers game has been officially postponed, which removes it from the main slate on DraftKings.
Sunday’s game between the Steelers and Titans is being postponed per multiple sources. They are considering all options to reschedule, Monday night as one of them. This will all be based on test results.
We don’t have to worry about that, but I’d keep an eye on the Vikings, who happened to play the Titans last week. Any other wrinkles from this situation are obviously worth monitoring.
For the most part, this looks like a fun week in the NFL, all around. Hit up my week four NFL locks if you plan on betting, and then read on for this week’s top NFL DFS lineups.
NFL DFS Cash Lineup for Week 4
QB: Russell Wilson – Seahawks ($7.8k)
RB: Alvin Kamara – Saints ($8k)
RB: Mike Davis – Panthers ($5.7k
WR: DK Metcalf – Seahawks ($6.8k)
WR: Jarvis Landry – Browns ($5.1k)
WR: Hunter Renfrow – Raiders ($4.6k)
TE: Logan Thomas – Washington ($3.5k)
FLEX: Darrell Henderson – Rams ($5.8k)
DEF: Las Vegas Raiders ($2.7k)
Ownership projections are rough so far, but we might want to consider buying into the elevated price tags of Russell Wilson and Alvin Kamara.
They’re both coming off of huge weeks, but this isn’t recency bias. They are both legitimately smashing every single week, and they also have elite matchups in week four.
The only concern is that their matchups are so good, that their teams may not even need them to go off. For cash games, their fantastic floors and high ceilings make them preferable plays – even if it costs a pretty penny to roster them.
Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf are the go-to stacking options to align with Wilson. Metcalf is cheaper, and with Lockett going nuts last week, I think the flow of the offense turns back toward Metcalf.
At running back, we have ridiculous value this week. You could argue we don’t really need Alvin Kamara, but fading him is likely best reserved for GPPs. I’ll keep him here for cash games, but we should also be into the idea of rostering Mike Davis and Darrell Henderson.
Henderson is locked into a starting role for the Rams, and he has a chance to beat up on a bad Giants defense. Davis has a monster PPR workload for Carolina, so at this price, he feels like an auto-lock.
Landry is another great value bet, as he’s a good price, and has an amazing matchup. I really like Odell Beckham Jr. this week, but both he and Landry could be quite busy in a high-octane matchup with the Cowboys.
Hunter Renfrow could also be pretty active, as Las Vegas is banged up at receiver at the moment.
No Trent Brown, Bryan Edwards, Damon Arnette or Henry Ruggs III for the #Raiders today
He saves us a little cash, and his strong PPR role gives him a pretty nice floor.
Logan Thomas is my favorite tight end play of the week. His price has only gone down, yet he’s on the field a ton and has seen at least seven targets every single game. Oh, and the Ravens oddly have been horrible at stopping tight ends in 2020.
Lastly, we can just punt defense in some regard if we’re merely looking to cash.
The Raiders aren’t a bad one, as they’re at home and get to face a turnover-prone Bills team. Devin Singletary has a history of fumbling, and Josh Allen is a risk-taker who can give up sacks and bad plays.
NFL DFS GPP Lineup for Week 4
QB: Ryan Fitzpatrick – Dolphins ($5.4k)
RB: Mike Davis – Panthers ($5.7k)
RB: Alvin Kamara – Saints ($8k)
WR: DeVante Parker – Dolphins ($5.7k)
WR: Odell Beckham Jr. – Browns ($5.8k)
WR: Mike Evans – Buccaneers ($6.4k)
TE: Logan Thomas – Washington ($3.5k)
FLEX: Kenyan Drake – Cardinals ($6k)
DEF: Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($3.4k)
It all starts with Fitzmagic, who can crater and get you negatives, but has all kinds of upside. We’ve seen that the past two weeks, as he’s dropped 25 and 27 fantasy points.
This week Fitz gets a bad Seahawks defense that has given up the second-most fantasy points to quarterbacks. Pair him with DeVante Parker and thank me later.
At running back, I’ll eat the Kamara chalk. You might be able to get away with fading him, but he’s put up 23, 38, and 47 fantasy points. He is presently too cheap based on his floor and ceiling, so while I’ll have some lineups where I fade him, I won’t be doing it much.
Mike Davis is racking up receptions like he’s Christian McCaffrey. Until C-Mac returns or Davis loses his awesome role, we have to play him. He simply offers too much value.
At receiver, Parker pairs with Fitz, and then I’ll get a share of that Browns/Cowboys game. How you go about it is up to you, but this feels like a breakout game for Odell Beckham Jr.
I don’t see how Mike Evans doesn’t have 10 catches this week, either. Chris Godwin is out again, and both Scotty Miller and Justin Watson are operating at less than 100%.
Maybe this frees up Tyler Johnson ($3.2k) to be an insane value pick, but I’d rather just chase Evans’ immense upside.
Mark Andrews is a safe tight end and I love him this week. However, I can slash his price tag nearly in half and get Thomas, who is a big, athletic tight end with a nice role. He also has a great matchup by the numbers. I’ll march into the fray with him, once more.
Drake is an elite Flex play. He’s had a nice role through three weeks, and simply hasn’t smashed yet. Against a Panthers defense that ranks 31st against fantasy running backs, this has to be his week.
The Bucs fit in nicely as a mid-range defense. They’re still not cheap, but I don’t mind paying for a little safety and upside. The Chargers have a rookie quarterback and are traveling across the country. Yeah, I like the Buccaneers.
Week 4 NFL Betting
Hopefully, my NFL DFS advice leads you down the right path, one way or another. I write up my top NFL DFS picks each week, take a look at sneaky sleepers, and I wrap things up with my favorite daily fantasy football lineups.
If that can’t get you going in the right direction, forgive me.
Usually, if things break right, I’ll look smart, you’ll win some cash, and maybe you can even use some of my picks and insight to bet on the NFL.
The game totals are out of control this week, but there is still a lot of value in desperate teams needing wins, and good teams getting back on track.
That has me digging the Saints, Cowboys, and Cardinals this week, while the Eagles and Jaguars come in as two of my favorite value bets.
For extra betting advice for every game this week, check out our NFL picks.
Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.
When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.