Top Daily Fantasy Basketball Plays, Values and Lineup Help for September 4, 2020
Friday’s selection of GPPs on DraftKings is loaded with opportunities to score a chunky profit. I’m here today filling in for Noah Davis to deliver NBA DFS picks, sleepers, and lineup advice so that you can get in on the action.
Two games are on tap, and it all starts at 6:30 pm EST with the Bucks vs. Heat on TNT. Jimmy Butler and company are on the verge of putting Milwaukee in a 3-0 hole and are starting to smell the finish line.
Once the dust settles there, the Rockets and Lakers will kick off their series on ESPN.
It’s the perfect night to kick your feet up and see if your lineups can produce.
Top NBA DFS Picks for September 4
- LeBron James, PG, Lakers ($11k)
- James Harden, SG, Rockets ($11.2k)
- Khris Middleton, SF, Bucks ($8.2k)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo, PF, Bucks ($11.5k)
- Anthony Davis, C, Lakers ($10.6k)
If we’ve learned anything about watching the Lakers this season, it’s that LeBron and AD account for an overwhelming amount of LA’s production. King James is coming off three straight games scoring at least 30 points, and he averaged 10.2 assists per game in the Portland series.
Likewise in Houston, the Rockets go as far as James Harden takes them. In what’s likely to be a back-and-forth affair against the Lake Show in Game 1, look for Harden to chuck up a gang of outside shots. Enough should drop in to pay off his $11.2k salary.
The small forward position is where I’ll go a bit against the grain with my NBA DFS picks. Jimmy Butler poured in 40 in the opener and appears to be a man on a mission, but my gut tells me the Bucks win game 3. That means Khris Middleton gets the best of Jimmy Buckets. Keep in mind, Middleton has scored at least 21 points in four straight games and should be due for some three-pointers after going 0-3 from beyond the arc last time out.
Telling you I predict Milwaukee wins game 3 should tell you all you need to know about how I feel about the Greek Freak. With his back against the wall Friday night in Orlando, a 30-15 game is to be expected.
Finally, the best way Frank Vogel can take advantage of Houston’s lack of size in the post is to feed Anthony Davis the ball early and often. On top of scoring and rebounding at an extremely high clip, AD’s 2.3 blocks/game and 1.5 steals/game bode well for the scoring on DK.
Best NBA DFS Sleepers for Friday
- Kendrick Nunn, PG, Heat ($11k)
- Wesley Mathews, SG, Bucks ($3.5k)
- Duncan Robinson, SF, Heat ($4.6k)
- Kyle Kuzma, PF, Lakers ($5k)
- Kelly Olynyk, C, Heat, ($3.4k)
Erik Spoelstra vowed to play Kendrick Nunn more in the Milwaukee series, but the rookie guard has seen just 25 minutes through the first two games. If Milwaukee gets up early, the Heat are going to need to insert some shooters to get back into the game.
Wesley Matthews is yet to be fully integrated into the Bucks offensive game plan, but a breakthrough performance could be looming in game 3. He connected on 12 threes in the Orlando series.
Speaking of deadly outside shooters, does anybody in the league have as pure of a stroke as Duncan Robinson? If he pulls off one of his masterful displays, it could be enough to carry you to a GPP title.
Kyle Kuzma isn’t really a sleeper as the bonafide third option on the Lakers, but his $5k price tag suggests that he’s from a sure thing. Plug him in and hope he goes for at least 15 and 5.
Lastly, Kelly Olynyk is battling a bruised right knee and is questionable to play on Friday. That means his ownership should be way down – giving you all the reason to pull the trigger on him in a GPP. Of course, monitor the situation to make sure he’ll be available. If he’s a scratch, Derrick Jones Jr. enters the fray as an NBA DFS sleeper.
My Favorite NBA DFS Lineup for September 4
- PG: Eric Bledsoe – Bucks ($5.7k)
- SG: Duncan Robinson – Heat ($4.6k)
- SF: Danuel House Jr. – Rockets ($4.7k)
- PF: Giannis Antetokounmpo – Bucks ($11.5k)
- C: Anthony Davis – Lakers ($10.6k)
- G: Wesley Matthews – Bucks ($3.5k)
- F: Eric Gordon – Rockets ($5.8k)
- UTIL: Kendrick Nunn – Heat ($3.3k)
I’d love to be able to squeeze James Harden and Khris Middleton in, but you have to make some sacrifices somewhere. Instead of riding Harden or pivoting to Russell Westbrook, consider getting exposure to the Rockets by riding the Eric Gordon/Danuel House Jr. tandem all the way to The Promised Land.
A core of Giannis and AD gobbles up a large portion of your salary, but that’s where sleepers like Wesley Matthews and Duncan Robinson come in. Either guy could go off for 6+ threes, and in a perfect world, they both do.
Perhaps the one outlier here that can help set your lineup apart is to fade Kyle Kuzma and roster Danuel House Jr. Not only does leaving $300 on the table increase the chances that your lineup is unique, but it opens the door to the extreme upside that 27-year-old hybrid forward possesses.