Tips for NBA DFS on Friday, May 14 (2021)
The final day of the daily fantasy basketball regular season arrives on Sunday, but since I won’t be here on the weekend, we say good-bye on Friday.
I will still be around for as long as the NBA playoffs make daily fantasy basketball viable, but those mammoth-sized slates are soon to be a distant memory.
It’s almost a welcome sight, of course, as this has been an odd season full of bad reporting, terrible blowouts, and horrific injuries.
That said, it has also been some fun, and we’d have some solid lineups along the way that hopefully helped you profit. Let’s see what looks good for Friday’s slate with my NBA DFS picks, sleepers, and top lineup.
Best NBA DFS Picks for May 14th
- Russell Westbrook, PG, Wizards ($12.8k)
- Collin Sexton, SG, Cavaliers ($8.3k)
- Aaron Gordon, SF, Nuggets ($5.4k)
- KJ Martin Jr., PF, Rockets ($7k)
- Kelly Olynyk, C, Rockets ($8.2k)
Apparently fading Russell Westbrook is a bad idea. I felt like his price was getting a bit high, and then he went out and still dropped 70 fantasy points. And that was without reaching one of his coined triple-doubles.
Westbrook is even pricier and in a worse spot in terms of pace, but I don’t know if I can fade him at this point. Nobody has his floor right now, and he can match anyone in terms of ceiling.
Bradley Beal is also slated to miss a third straight game.
Injury report for tomorrow's #WizCavs:— Washington Wizards (@WashWizards) May 13, 2021
Bradley Beal (left hamstring strain) remains out.
The fun times start and end with Russ. There is merit in fading due to the price and ownership, but I’ll probably just suck it up and take my borderline guaranteed 70-80 fantasy points on Friday.
Sexton is a nice play on the other side of that Wizards vs. Cavs game. It will have one of the highest totals of the slate due to the pace Russ pushes the Wiz offense, and Sexton can go off in any matchup.
Shooting guard might be a fine place to save money at, but Sexton sure is in a groove at the moment. Just look at his scoring in his last four games.
|Opponent||Minutes||Points Scored||Fantasy Points|
One way or another, Sexton gets loads of run and he gets his points. In an up-tempo matchup against a bad Wizards defense, logic suggests he is in for a solid outing.
Aaron Gordon looks like a nice value pick that could end up being a core play. Michael Porter Jr. sat out last night, and it’s always possible he gets another night off as Denver prepares for the playoffs.
If any other Nuggets take a breather, Gordon’s versatile and explosive game could be tough to fade at this discounted price tag.
Houston is a solid source of value, but they’re also handing their best guys serious minutes. Kelly Olynyk and KJ Martin Jr. are easily the two guys to trust in the most, as they’re both getting heavy minutes and churning out elite fantasy production.
Nikola Jokic could end up being limited in a likely blowout against the Pistons, and Joel Embiid may not play the whole game in a likely housing against Orlando.
If the stud centers are not necessary on this slate, these mid-range beasts could be a better direction to go when building daily fantasy basketball lineups on Friday.
NBA DFS Sleepers for Friday
- Jordan Poole, PG, Warriors ($4.1k)
- Jalen Harris, SG, Raptors ($4.1k)
- Naji Marshall, SF, Pelicans ($5.2k)
- James Johnson, PF, Pelicans ($5.3k)
- Chimezie Metu, C, Kings ($4.3k)
There is some decent value right away on this slate, as the Warriors have locked in their trip to the play-in tourney and may opt to rest some guys.
Chef Curry hasn’t looked quite like himself lately due to a tailbone injury, and it’s reportedly 50/50 that he takes a seat. If so, Jordan Poole would stand out as one of the best NBA DFS sleepers on this slate.
Toronto really burned me last night by scratching Gary Trent Jr. at the last second. They played just eight guys yet opted to give a 22-year-old the night off. Wild stuff, this NBA season.
You could go back to Trent if he actually plays this time, but Harris seems like the safer play at this point. He’s showcased some nice scoring ability lately, and he remains a pretty nice price.
New Orleans could be another source of value, as Zion Williamson is seemingly done for the year, Lonzo Ball is out, and Brandon Ingram is also banged up.
Both Naji Marshall and James Johnson are in line for 25-30 minutes, and they’re in a fast-paced showdown with the Warriors. I don’t hate the idea of stacking this game to some degree, and they’re potentially part of that equation.
Metu is one more interesting flier to consider. He is still way too cheap for a guy who is starting and pushing for about 30 minutes per game. His value hinges to Marvin Bagley II remaining out, and it’d also be helpful if Harrison Barnes didn’t play, too.
Friday’s Top NBA DFS Lineup
- PG: Russell Westbrook – Wizards ($12.8k)
- SG: Jordan Poole – Warriors ($4.1k)
- SF: Kent Bazemore – Warriors ($5.2k)
- PF: Chimezie Metu – Kings ($4.3k)
- C: Damion Jones – Kings ($3.3k)
- G: Saben Lee – Pistons ($4k)
- F: James Johnson – Pelicans ($5.3k)
- UTIL: Nikola Jokic – Nuggets ($11k)
I am expecting some major news to shake up this eight-game slate. Some teams are going to just rest some guys with seeding not really all that important, and teams that made the playoffs will also try to take it easy to a degree.
Westbrook and Jokic will probably go hard, though, and assuming their games stay close, they get you the raw fantasy production you need. They are expensive, but they could be worth it on this slate.
Poole is my favorite value play if Curry is out. If that is the case, you can take a longer look at Warriors in general, and I still really like the idea of stacking that game.
Metu and Jones both could be great value plays, as Richaun Holmes exited the game last night.
Status note: Richaun Holmes headed to locker room Thursday.— FantasyLabs NBA (@FantasyLabsNBA) May 14, 2021
If he’s out, both of these guys could end up starting, although you’d also have to give Hassan Whiteside ($5.6k) some consideration.
Lee has smashed in his last two games, and he’s more salary relief to make this two-man stack joh possible. Pay attention to what the Pistons do with their lineup, but at $4k, he may be worth the risk to make this squad work.