Unlike whatever we saw on Monday, we are in for a fun time come Thursday Night Football in week 11.
NFL fans are blessed with a rematch between the Arizona Cardinals and the Seattle Seahawks. The prior meeting was intense until the final moment, with Kyler Murray and co. pulling away for a 37-34 overtime win.
Game two has major ramifications in this year’s playoff picture, and will have no shortage of big plays or drama. Two NFL MVP candidates face off in a game with a blistering 58 total at the most reliable NFL sportsbooks.
While you will want to bet on this game, you’ll also want some exposure to it in NFL DFS. It won’t be on the main slate, so you’re really just looking at playing the NFL DFS Showdown slate.
For a little help, I’ll go over my week 11 Thursday Night Football DFS Showdown picks and favorite lineup.
Top TNF DFS Showdown Picks
Kyler Murray, QB, Cardinals ($13k)
Russell Wilson, QB, Seahawks ($11.8k)
DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Cardinals ($10.8k)
DK Metcalf, WR, Seahawks ($10.2k)
Tyler Lockett, WR, Seahawks ($9.4k)
Christian Kirk, WR, Cardinals ($7.4k)
It doesn’t take a DFS guru to point out the best TNF DFS Showdown plays on this slate. Murray and Wilson were en fuego in their most recent clash, and they’ll be two of the best plays once again.
You probably can’t get away with fading either of them, so the question will be if we’re putting one in the Captain slot, and if so, who?
Nuk, Kirk, DK, and Lockett are all in play here. Metcalf was held in check in the previous meeting, but it seems unlikely that happens again.
Hopkins is probably the priority of the lot, but you can make a case for anyone here. The one issue could be Tyler Lockett’s availability, though, as he is presently dealing with a knee sprain.
The Seahawks just released their Monday injury report with estimated participation had the team held a full practice.
If Lockett is unable to take the field for Thursday Night Football, that could open the door to some interesting TNF DFS sleepers.
Best TNF Showdown Sleepers
Chase Edmunds, RB, Cardinals ($5.6k)
David Moore, WR, Seahawks ($4.8k)
Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Cardinals ($4.4k)
Alex Collins, RB, Seahawks ($3.8k)
Freddie Swain, WR, Seahawks ($1.2k)
DeeJay Dallas, RB, Seahawks ($600)
Penny Hart, WR, Seahawks ($200)
Edmunds is especially appealing if Kenyan Drake suits up again this week. No, you heard that right. I just think Drake being active would lower his ownership, which would make him a fun GPP value play.
He’s obviously a chalky option to force into TNF DFS lineups if Drake is out, of course.
David Moore would probably benefit the most should Lockett sit out. He’s cheap enough to use, and he’s a favorite of Wilson’s in the red-zone (4 TDs this year).
While Moore would be on your radar, I think I’d prefer to punt with Freddie Swain or Penny Hart.
Neither of these guys has done much this year, but Metcalf would suddenly find himself seeing a lot of Patrick Peterson, and we know Wilson is not afraid to spread the ball around and find the open man.
Swain feels like a viable punt even if Lockett plays, and is the safer play. That said, Hart is a good athlete who was quite productive at Georgia State.
With (potentially) added opportunity – and at this absurdly low price tag – he’s a fun sleeper to root for on Thursday.
My Favorite Week 11 TNF Lineup
Captain: Kyler Murray, QB, Cardinals ($19.5k)
FLEX: Russell Wilson, QB, Seahawks ($11.8k)
FLEX: DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Cardinals ($10.8k)
FLEX: Chase Edmunds, RB, Cardinals ($5.6k)
FLEX: Freddie Swain, WR, Seahawks ($1.2k)
FLEX: Penny Hart, WR, Seahawks ($200)
The first thing to consider when building TNF DFS Showdown lineups is to remember these single-game slates rarely go how you think they will.
The top guys stand out and usually are good-to-great plays, but after that, nobody really knows. This is why trying different NFL DFS strategies, going against the grain, and entering a multitude of lineups is encouraged.
For this game, I still think we get a ton of points, and both Murray and Wilson wreck. I’m just going with Murray as the Captain because he arguably offers more upside than anyone else on this slate.
Nuk is the guy I am attaching to Murray’s success, while Wilson’s should be more spread out.
The key here is Lockett can’t play. If he’s out, Moore elevates to the number two spot, Swain is the three, and Hart would suddenly have a real shot at getting his first targets of the 2020 NFL season.
Fading Metcalf isn’t fun, but he’ll have the toughest matchup of the slate. Moore would be in line for more work, but it’s possible a huge role like that just isn’t something he can take advantage of.
More than anything, though, I want three studs, and these Seahawks receivers save a ton of cash and allow me to get the three elite options I covet.
Edmunds only differentiates this TNF DFS lineup further. If Drake is out, he’s chalky, but if Drake plays, few people (if any) will prioritize him and also use the Seahawks spares together.
I’m also leaving an extra $900 on the table here, to ensure this is (mostly) a one-of-a-kind squad for GPPs. If I am mass-entering, I am also incorporating some leverage plays like Seattle running backs, kickers, one of the defenses, and of course trying to get exposure to Metcalf, Moore, and Kirk.
Another good idea, assuming you’re on board with any of the TNF DFS sleepers, is to just Captain a cheap guy and load up on as many studs as possible.
I don’t really believe in rolling out just one Thursday Night Football DFS Showdown lineup. There are just too many variables to consider when trying to get a perfect squad for one game.
That said, if I have to do it, I love the team above. Just keep in mind what I’ve said about the status of Lockett and Drake, and also that this is a GPP lineup that takes on considerable risk.
Whether you like my Thursday Night Football DFS Showdown picks or not, there’s more fun to be had with this game. If you want to bet on this contest, hit the links below for some extra TNF insight.
Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.
When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.