Team Win Totals for the 2018 NFL Season

By Michael Wynn
Published on August 11, 2018
Football Player and Betting Lines

Are you a huge fan of the NFL, or are you someone who just loves to bet sports online? Perhaps you are both, and in that case, you’ll love this article.

Before the regular season gets underway is actually your best opportunity to take advantage of “mispriced lines” and make a chunk of cash. You can still place wagers on the games week by week, but getting some money in on some futures bets before the season begins is something you should seriously be considering.

For example, I scoured the betting sheets, focusing mostly on the teams’ win totals for the regular season. Once I started to do some digging, I realized that 5 of the wagers were really sticking out to me.

Take a look below and see if you agree with any of my takes. If so, all you have to do is head to BetOnline and start firing away!

Los Angeles Chargers

Over 9.5 Wins+100
Under 9.5 Wins-120

I’ll be honest; I was pretty surprised to find out that it’s an even-money bet if you select the Chargers to win more than 9.5 games. I would have expected to have to lay -120 on the over, but hey, I’m not going to complain!

All I’m going to do is hammer away and bank on Philip Rivers leading this team to 10+ wins. After all, Noah Davis and I already covered all the movement elsewhere in this division in our preview of how the AFC West shakes out in 2018.

I don’t see the Broncos being very competitive in 2018, and the Raiders and Chiefs are clearly works in progress. The Chargers should have no qualms winning this division, and if that’s the case, it’s highly likely that they’ll surpass double-digit wins.

This defensive unit features a duo of daunting pass rushers in Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram, and their defensive backfield is one of the best in the league.

Drafting Florida State Safety Derwin James figures to make this group even more dominant than they were in 2017, and that’s a pretty scary thought for Chargers opponents.

I wouldn’t say this team is loaded with offensive weapons, as I think losing tight end Hunter Henry for the season was a big blow.

But as long as Keenan Allen is out there running crossing patterns and Melvin Gordon is touching the ball 20+ times per game, I’m confident that this team will be able to score more than enough points to win ball games.

The Chargers face one of the “lighter” schedules in all of the league, as they should be favored in all 8 of their home games this year.

Add this all up, and it’s looking like the Los Angeles Chargers could be in for an 11-12-win season and at least one home game in the playoffs.

What happens after that remains to be seen, but I really like what the Spanos family has done over the past few years. Rivers doesn’t have much mileage left, so the time to make a run at the Super Bowl is now.

PICKOver+100

San Francisco 49ers

Over 8.5 Wins-115
Under 8.5 Wins-105

I’ll preface this by saying that I think Jimmy Garoppolo has all the tools to be a fantastic quarterback in the National Football League. But all this talk that he’s the next Joe Montana or Tom Brady or that the 49ers are suddenly the team to beat in the NFC West is just a bunch of baloney.

Jimmy still needs to get reps in and learn how to lead a team, and the Los Angles Rams are still the class of this division.

I like betting the under here because I just don’t see this team ending the season above .500. I am still not sold that Kyle Shanahan is anything more than a great offensive coordinator. His ability to be a legitimate head coach in this league remains to be seen after going 6-10 during his first year at the helm.

It’s not that I don’t think that GM John Lynch is doing a fine job; it’s just that this roster lacks talent on defense and at the offensive skill positions.

I mean, come on.

Do you really think the starting wideout trio of Marquise Goodwin, Pierre Garcon, and Trent Taylor is going to frighten opposing defenses? Are Jerick McKinnon and Matt Breida a good enough 1-2 punch out of the backfield to help take some pressure off Garoppolo?

Unfortunately for football fans in the Bay area, I think the answer to both of these questions is no.

By the time that the 49ers are out of Week 4, they’ll have already played road games at Minnesota, Kansas City, and Los Angeles (Chargers). I see 3 losses right there, so I imagine the entire season will be an uphill climb.

It’s not a full-fledged promise, but I really don’t believe this team wins 9 games this season. Only laying -105 on the under actually seems like a bit of a bargain, so I’ll happily place this wager.

PICKUnder-105

Washington Redskins

Over 7 Wins+120
Under 7 Wins-140

The Washington Redskins won 7 games last season, and I’m in the camp that thinks this team got better during the offseason. The juicy +120 number is really catching my eye on this team winning more than 7 games, and I am happy to tell you why.

Alex Smith came over from the Kansas City Chiefs via trade, and I actually think this is a slight upgrade over Kirk Cousins. Smith is a proven winner in this league and is coming off a stellar 2017 season in which he threw for over 4,000 yards and had an impressive 26/5 touchdown to interception ratio.

Meanwhile, Cousins threw 11 interceptions in 2015, 12 in 2016, and 13 more in 2017. If I was a Redskins fan, I’d actually be more than content with this “swapping of quarterbacks.”

Owner Dan Snyder did well to snatch Alabama defensive tackle Da’Ron Payne in the first round of April’s NFL Draft, as I expect the 320-pound behemoth to step in right away and be a force in the middle of this defensive line.

Their second selection, Derrius Guice, may open Week 1 as the team’s starting running back. The coaching staff is oozing with excitement about the former LSU Tiger’s potential as being their featured back.

HC Doug Williams had this to say about his impressions of Derrius Guice so far.

“It’s amazing. You’re talking about a pure runner. Tough runner. He’s faster than you think. He go by you, over you and around you.”

Washington gets the Cardinals in Week 1, and they get to face the depleted Colts in their home opener during Week 2. They get the putrid Buccaneers in Week 10, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see this team sweep their 2-game series with the Giants. If all that goes according to plan, that’s 5 wins right there.

Head coach Jay Gruden understands that he’s on the hot seat and needs to execute at a high level if he is going to maintain his job. I think he answers the bell, and this team gets to at least 8 wins.

PICKOver+120

Seattle Seahawks

Over 8 Wins+105
Under 8 Wins-125

Why are so many Seahawks fans upset over the departures of Michael Bennett and Richard Sherman? Bennett is going to turn 33 in November and doesn’t have the same motor he once had during his heyday in Seattle.

Richard Sherman celebrated his 30th birthday back in March and is coming off a serious ruptured Achilles injury that forced him to miss the last 7 games in 2017.

Pete Carroll’s hand is forced in replenishing his defense with some fresh new faces, and I happen to think that this could be a blessing in disguise.

Adding a proven commodity like D.J. Fluker at the right guard position should help make life easier for Russell Wilson and company. Doug Baldwin and Tyler Lockett give Wilson a pair of legitimate weapons on the outside, and I think that Rashaad Penny is in for a big year.

The rookie out of San Diego State University led the nation in rushing in 2017, is built like a brick wall, and ran a 4.46 “40” at the combine. I think he can handle a full load, meaning this offense has a chance to be a lot better than people think.

As long as Pete Carroll has his hand in the defensive schemes, I trust that they’ll be able to make big stops and avoid giving up the huge plays.

Placing these types of wagers is all about finding value. The fact that I get +105 if the Seahawks win more than 8 games seems like something I have to take a shot on.

Opening the season with games against the Broncos, Bears, and Cardinals, mixed in with a home tilt against the Cowboys, I wouldn’t be surprised to see this team jump out of the gate to a 4-0 start. Even if they go 3-1, I think they’ll be well on their way to a 9+ win season.

PICKOver+105

Jacksonville Jaguars

Over 9 Wins-110
Under 9 Wins-110

First of all, according to 247sports.com, only 4 teams have an easier schedule than Jacksonville.

Not that this team needs any extra help, but the AFC South division has two teams that each went 4-12 a season ago, and the Tennessee Titans brought in a first-year head coach to call the shots. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Doug Marrone’s squad roll through this division with ease, possibly winning 12 or 13 games.

It’s nearly impossible to attack this defense through the air with corners Jalen Ramsey and A.J. Bouye holding down the fort. Their defensive-end tandem of Calais Campbell and Yannick Ngakoue combined for 26.5 sacks in 2017, easily the most of any duo in the league.

Linebacker and leading tackler Telvin Smith went as far as calling the Jaguars the best team in the NFL. He had this to say to espn.com heading into training camp.

“It’s not that I’m knocking anybody. There are some talented teams out there. But if I don’t lock in right now and believe wholeheartedly that my team will be the last team standing…you’re not really ready for the fight that’s about to come.”

With a defense as stout as this, you’d hope to have a powerful running back on offense who can pound the ball between the tackles and control the time of possession.

Second-year RB Leonard Fournette fits that bill to perfection and will be leaned on heavily throughout the season.

I expect a big year out of Fournette, and in turn, a big year out of this team. I have absolutely no problem laying -110 that this team eclipses 9 wins this season.

Confidently place this wager, and you may even be able to cash in a few weeks early.

PICKOver-110

Final Thoughts

Remember, ladies and gentlemen, that once the season starts and the teams take the field, the oddsmakers will start to catch on, and it will get harder and harder to beat the lines.

I recommended jumping out early, before Vegas and the online casinos make it too tough for us to find any serious edges.

I gave you 5 bets that I believe provide solid value and have high likelihoods of paying off. The best part about placing these wagers is that once they’re booked, all that’s left is to sit back and enjoy the action!

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Team Win Totals for the 2018 NFL Season
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Team Win Totals for the 2018 NFL Season
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I looked at the projected win totals of all 32 teams in the NFL. I provided my top 5 and detail why I really like them here in this post!
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