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Sleeper Picks That Could Win Dancing With the Stars Season 29

| October 2, 2020 10:31 am PDT
Dancing With the Stars Season 29 Sleeper Picks

We are now three weeks deep into season 29 of Dancing With the Stars, and we’re inching closer to the new champion of the dance floor.

It won’t be Charles Oakley or Carole Baskin, as many anticipated, as they’ve both been eliminated.

My pick to win is still very much intact, too. I backed Kaitlyn Bristowe in my early Dancing With the Stars season 29 predictions, and she stands strong with the second-best odds (+160) to win.

BetOnline has Johnny Weir back in front (=150), and if we’re all being honest with ourselves, this is likely a two-star race. I’ll stand by my Bristowe pick, but she and Weir have a fight on their hands.

Nev Schulman has been surprisingly very good, of course, and he pulls in as a distant third.

But it’s early, yet. We could still see anyone stumble, and others could rise up. The pricing at the top Dancing With the Stars betting sites demands we keep our minds open, too.

While I prefer to place most bets on the top two favorites, there could be value in eyeing Dancing With the Stars sleepers in season 29. With that, let’s break down my three favorite value bets that could have a shot at pulling off the upset.

AJ McLean (+1400)

It shouldn’t shock anyone that a guy that was a superstar with The Backstreet Boys and knows a thing or two about choreographed dancing is in the mix to win DWTS.

McLean is a household name, he has a huge following, and the guy can dance. He’s already flashed his ability in season 29, posting a top-6 score in each of the first two weeks.

The pop star’s best work came in week three, where his Quickstep attached to the Aladdin was a bit overlooked on a night where pretty much every dancer excelled.

McLean scored a 21 for his solid work there, but the biggest takeaway is that he’s improving. That’s his third grade of 18+ in three tries, and his score has been better each time out.

You’re getting good value here, as McLean feels like a star that may only get more comfortable with these nuanced dances as the competition heats up. Resting inside the top-5 for the best average score, McLean is here for the long haul, but his Dancing With the Stars odds aren’t really indicating that.

Jesse Metcalfe (+1400)

I noted before season 29 began that Metcalfe had a shot to surprise due to his solid overall athleticism. He was often portrayed as a bit of a jock in his acting career during his prime, and he’s remained in fantastic shape.

That gives him an edge from a physical perspective, while we know he’s got a strong following. He hasn’t disappointed on the dance floor, either, as he’s tied for 5th when it comes to average dance score through three weeks.

Metcalfe is at least good enough to stick around for a while, but it was his week two Foxtrot that probably had fans stopping and thinking he could win this thing.

There is still a ways to go here, but Metcalfe is in the top half of this competition, and isn’t yet priced like a true challenger.

Vernon Davis (+1600)

I also really like the value with former NFL tight end Vernon Davis. He has nimble feet and is obviously athletic, while we’ve seen former athletes – football players in particular – do very well on DWTS.

Davis should be no different, as he’s a likable presence, and has shown signs of growth on the dance floor.

He was simply serviceable in his first two dances, but still didn’t get disastrous scores (17 and 18). Davis sure took it up a notch last week, however, as he crushed it on Disney Night in his “Be Our Guest” performance.

Davis got a score of 22, which tossed him into the top-5 for that episode. If he can take that strong effort and keep building positive momentum, his likability and impressive athletic traits could make these odds look silly in short order.

Chrishell Stause (+2500)

This is more a price play than anything else, but Stause stepped it up on Disney Night, tying for the third best score (22) for episode three.

It’s tough to say if she can keep it going from here, seeing as her first two performances were bad-to-middling.

You’re always seeking value with dancers that work hard and find ways to improve, however, and when you’re in episode three and you’re getting your best score yet, that’s not nothing.

Stause is a longshot to win season 29 of Dancing With the Stars, but she’s trending in the right direction and these odds are to die for.


Can any of the Dancing With the Stars sleepers above win? Sure, it’s reality TV and these celebrities have proven to be talented, so anything is possible.

That said, Weir has elite athleticism and control, and Bristowe has a good following, as well as elite dancing background. These are your two best bets to win season 29 of DWTS.

Bristowe currently leads all dancers with the best average score through three routines, though, so I see no reason not to stand by her as my initial pick.

Of course, that doesn’t mean you can’t throw a little extra pocket change at some of these sleepers at the top entertainment betting sites.

Noah Davis
Noah Davis

Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.

When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.

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