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Six Sleepers Offering Betting Value in the 2019 French Open
The French Open 2019 is almost here.
All eyes are on the favorites like Rafa Nadal, Novak Djokovic, Simona Halep, Serena Williams, and a couple of more players in the men’s and women’s brackets.
But what about the rest of the field? Can someone actually upset the odds to win Roland-Garros? Those are the questions I will explore today in the search for the best French Open 2019 sleepers out there.
I will be looking for athletes who have the potential to lift the trophy but come with high odds for that to happen.
You should keep in mind that my goal is to find value in the betting odds, but that doesn’t change the fact that the players mentioned in this post are clear outsiders to actually win. These are not “safe bets” at all, so I wouldn’t recommend backing them with a lot of money.
With that in mind, let’s take a closer look at my picks and the odds offered by the leading French Open betting sites.
French Open Sleepers in the 2019 Men’s Bracket
Let’s start with the sleepers in the men’s draw.
I don’t think that anyone would’ve even considered Medvedev winning the French Open 2019 before this year’s clay season. The young Russian had won only two games on this surface in his entire career and was knocked out in the first round of Roland-Garros in both of his entries in the competition.
His height of 198 cm also suggests that Medvedev is simply not built for clay, despite his obvious qualities as a tennis player. However, the progress of the 23-year-old on red courts is insane in 2019.
He reached the last 4 of the Monte Carlo Masters, beating Tsitsipas and Novak Djokovic on the road to the semis. Medvedev even went one step further to play in the final in Barcelona, his first on clay so far, defeating Kei Nishikori in the semis, another top-10 player.
I would add one more reason to believe why Medvedev could upset the odds. His performance in the Australian Open was exceptional. The youngster reached the fourth round of the tournament without losing a set before he had to face the eventual winner Novak Djokovic.
The Serbian was in devastating form but still lost a set against Medvedev, who was one of the few players that challenged the world number one in Melbourne.
My overall impression is that we might be set to see the rise of Medvedev in the next year or two. While it looks weird to back a player who has never won a match in the French Open to lift the title, the progress of the Russian shows he’s a real threat on clay courts nowadays.
The price of +4000 is certainly worth a shot, if you ask me.
Next in line is another youngster that is expected to be part of the next generation of tennis greats. Borna Coric is yet to shine in the Grand Slam format, but he already has managed to showcase his talent in the Masters Series.
The Croatian is only 22, but his win percentage in the French Open stands at an impressive 64%. He was never knocked out in the first round despite his tender age, and I think this might be the year he makes a truly deep run in the Roland-Garros.
Coric has the perfect style to excel on clay courts, which is one of the reasons I think he’s one of the best sleepers. The youngster’s feet movement is exceptional, and his defense from the baseline is hard to overcome.
The Croatian looked mature in the 2019 Australian Open, reaching the fourth round of the tournament. It was the second consecutive Grand Slam in which he was able to climb to the last 16, and both were on hard courts.
Considering the fact that clay is his favorite surface, he might be able to get to the last 8 or even the last 4 in Paris. I don’t really expect Coric to win the Roland-Garros, but the odds of +5000 are too high to miss. The boy has the skill and the mentality of a future champion, and that’s enough for me at this price.
For years, Nick Kyrgios has been one of the most talented youngsters on the ATP tour. The Australian prodigy obviously has the skills to challenge the best players in the world. And yet, the lack of consistency in his performance and the numerous scandals on and off the court suggest he might never actually reach his ceiling.
That’s what most people think for Kyrgios, and I can see why. However, many forget that the Australian is only 24. He still has the time to shine and prove the doubters wrong.
I’m a bit on the fence about Kyrgios, as he certainly seems unwilling to work hard and focus solely on tennis. At the same time, he is one of the most talented individuals in the past 10-15 years.
Based on his natural ability, I would say that Kyrgios might be worth a shot at the price of +6600.
You probably think that my argumentation about the guy is a bit weak in comparison to my other two French Open 2019 sleepers, and you are probably right. If I have to be honest, this pick is based more on a hunch that Kyrgios could actually explode than on some hard evidence that he is ready to win a Grand Slam.
And yet, when the odds are as high as in this situation, you will struggle to make a strong case for anyone.
French Open Sleepers in the 2019 Women’s Bracket
Here are my picks for the best sleepers in the ladies’ draw of the 2019 French Open.
We finished the sleepers for the men’s bracket and will start the list for the women’s with another hugely talented player that seems unable to make the final step. Still, there is at least one huge difference between Jelena Ostapenko and Nick Kyrgios.
The Latvian prodigy already won a Grand Slam title. She was able to defeat Simona Halep in the 2017 final when she was only 19. Ostapenko has struggled to find consistency since, and many believe she is too aggressive on the court.
The natural instinct of the youngster is to always look for the winners. While such a style is attractive for the audience, it’s not always efficient.
If Ostapenko is able to find more balance in her shots, she has a bright future ahead. I think that the pressure on her shoulders after winning her maiden Grand Slam in 2017 was one of the reasons for her poor shape in 2018 and the beginning of 2019.
Nowadays, no one expects wonders from the Latvian, and this could work in her favor. Considering the lack of clear favorites in the women’s bracket, the price of +2500 for Ostapenko to win the 2019 French Open seems like a good choice.
My second sleeper is the 22-year-old Belinda Bencic. The casual fans probably haven’t heard her name often, as the young Swiss has failed to impress in Grand Slam tournaments. She does have a couple of wins in smaller tournaments, though.
The main reason Bencic has been under the radar recently are some injuries she faced in 2017 and the beginning of 2018. They harmed her development and pushed her out of the top 300 of the rankings.
After returning to the tour, Bencic was able to quickly climb the standings again. After a couple of impressive performances, including a semifinal in Madrid recently, she has reached the top 20.
I expect to see her career on the rise in the next year or two. It might be a bit early for her to win the French Open 2019, but the price of +2500 is good enough to give it a shot.
The early fame and fortune in the world of tennis are usually reserved for players who explode around the age of 20. Those who work hard and progress slowly but steadily usually remain under most people’s radars for a long time.
A great example of that is Elise Mertens. Not many expect the Belgian to achieve something significant in the 2019 French Open, but I think that she might very well make a deep run in Paris.
A close look at her performance on the biggest stage shows remarkable consistency. Mertens doesn’t often reach finals, but you rarely see her knocked out early, either. There is a reason she is number six in the world right now, and if she continues to work hard, I can certainly see her staying on the top of the rankings.
If you add her playing style, the price of +5000 for Mertens is too high. The Belgian is a typical baseliner with no weakness in her game. Players like her usually excel on clay, and I expect her to be a threat in the 2019 French Open.
The chances of each of the athletes above to win the 2019 French Open are slim, that’s for sure. However, I feel that the value behind each price is worth the risk.
Do you agree with my sleepers selections for the Roland-Garros, or do you feel I might have missed a potential dark horse? Feel free to let me know in the comments below.
In the meantime, you should check out our French Open betting guide in the GamblingSites.com Betting HQ section. We cover the tournament extensively, so you can enjoy plenty of updates, picks, and predictions by our team.
You might also be interested in my main 2019 French Open betting preview, where I look at the top contenders and offer my predictions and picks.