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Six Nations 2020 Betting Odds and Analysis – England’s Tournament to Lose?

| January 13, 2020 12:27 am PDT
Six Nations 2020 Betting Odds and Analysis - England's Tournament to Lose?

Have you seen England’s odds to win the 2020 Six Nations? If not, I will get to them very shortly.

But let’s put it this way — the 2019 Rugby World Cup finalists are going to take some stopping this year.

With the most balanced squad in the Six Nations — in addition to an intimidating coaching team — England is expected to kickstart the new decade with victory in the world’s most exciting rugby competition. 

The English are the odds-on favorites to win the Six Nations in 2020. If you like the look of this team, you can get your bets on with one of our top rugby betting sites and start counting your money. 

Because, you know, England is going to walk it, right?

Well, if you believe that, you are probably new to this tournament. In other words, anything can happen throughout the course of the Six Nations. That is part of why it is the best feckin’ rugby competition on the planet. 

So, don’t discount the odds on Wales winning the Six Nations in 2020. And Ireland is hardly going to roll over. Additionally, a resurgent France could be the surprise package, while Scotland will be out to upset the applecart.

And Italy will… Well, Italy will be there, too.

Latest 2020 Six Nations Winners Odds

Betway is one of our top rugby betting sites, so I have taken their Six Nations 2020 odds and included them for you below.

England -138
Ireland +350
Wales +550
France +650
Scotland +2500
Italy +100000

England’s odds of -138 make them comfortable favorites to win the 2020 Six Nations.

The Red Rose last triumphed in 2017, picking up the championship — but not the Grand Slam — in Dublin following a loss to Ireland. 

Ireland’s odds of +350 to win the title makes them the second favorites, according to the bookies. 

Under new coach Andy Farrell, the Irish are expected to put in a good showing in 2020. With Joe Schmidt’s reign now consigned to history, Ireland will be looking to avenge hammerings at the hands of England and Wales in 2019.

Wales’s odds of +550 look like excellent value, considering they are the defending Six Nations champions. Their Grand Slam in 2019 came a little out of the blue — well, to everyone but passionate Welsh fans.

France is +650 to win their first championship since 2010. I believe the French have a much better chance this year than some pundits think. 

Scotland is +2500 to upset the applecart, while Italy comes in at a monstrous +100000 to win their first-ever Six Nations championship.

Look, the 2020 Six Nations championship is going to be very competitive indeed. While I believe England deserves to be the odds-on favorites, they will be pushed very hard. 

I’m going to break down every nation’s chances for you here, starting with the favorites, England. 

England – Worthy Favorites?

  • Odds to Win: -138
  • Predicted Finish: 1st

Will England win the 2020 Six Nations? 

Well, my friends, that is not a question I can answer. There has yet to be a pass thrown or a ball kicked as of yet. Not one game has been played, so the only thing we can do is speculate.

But when it comes to trying to predict the winners of the 2020 Six Nations, there are a number of things to keep in mind. Ask yourself who appears to have the best squad. Then, ponder a little on the in-form players. 

Things like that will help you to understand who is carrying the momentum heading into this year’s championship.

Now, just like the bookies, I strongly believe that all signs — or most of them, anyway — point towards it being England’s year. 

Despite losing to South Africa in the 2019 Rugby World Cup final, I was hugely impressed by Eddie Jones’ side in that tournament. They seem to have an excellent cohesion, with the crucial combinations locked in, and no real hesitation over who owns the shirt in most positions.

From the front row to the back three, there is huge quality in this team. If a British and Irish Lions starting XV was picked this morning, you would find that the English lads dominate.

I really like the look of this team and am very impressed with England’s overall setup right now. Having been dominated by the Springboks in Japan, they will be baying for blood in this championship.

Providing big game players show up — such as Owen Farrell, Maro Itoje, Billy Vunipola, Manu Tuilagi, and Tom Curry — England will be an exceptionally difficult team to stop this year.

Those betting on England to win the Six Nations will also be happy to learn that they host both Ireland and Wales at Twickenham in 2020. Having the second and third favorites at home should help their cause. 

If you are not convinced that the English will go all the way, check out my England Six Nations betting preview for a more comprehensive breakdown of their chances. 

If England is to be stopped, could it be a team other than Ireland or Wales that does it?

France – The Surprise Package?

  • Odds to Win: +650
  • Predicted Finish: 2nd

Nope, this isn’t a typo — I genuinely believe we are set to see the beginnings of a French resurgence in 2020.

Whether it will be enough to see French fans celebrating their first Six Nations championship since 2010 is another story, however. 

Rugby fans old enough to remember when Les Bleus were the exponents of the beautiful side of the game will undoubtedly recall the flair and poise of yesteryear. But fans of all ages will surely know that they are as schizophrenic as a sports team can be.

One day, France could blow any nation off the park. As the old nemesis of the All Blacks, the nation was regarded as a team that could bamboozle their opponents with inexhaustible, individual flair and brilliance.

But the days of such spectacular performances are long gone. The beautiful, free-flowing rugby is akin to an old sun-damaged photo on the walls of the French Rugby Federation’s ghost-ridden trophy room.

For the past decade, the internal problems in French rugby have devastated the national team. Incompetent management and direction — in addition to some bizarrely anti-French tactics — have demoted the national team to a joke.

In 2020, France will be aiming to put that well and truly behind them. And I think they can do it in style.

Well, not the style of the old days. The professional game would not allow the beautiful madness of the likes of Serge Blanco, Phillipe Sella, or Phillipe Saint-Andre. That level of champagne rugby is unlikely to ever be replicated.

But with Fabien Galthie and Shaun Edwards at the helm and some of the best young talent in world rugby ready to punch holes in everyone’s expectations, you can count on this team to go very far this year.

France will either win the Six Nations, or they will finish bottom of the table, right? Because in the true French style, there is no other way.

But I don’t think so. I think they will find consistency. A 2nd-place finish would be an excellent achievement, but France can win the championship.

Read my Six Nations betting preview for France for more on this.

Ireland – Don’t Write Them Off

  • Odds to Win: +350
  • Predicted Finish: 3rd

Imagine being an Ireland fan in 2019.

If you are a fan of the Boys in Green, feel free to skip through this section. If not, just clear your mind for a moment and put yourself in the shoes of the ones who have suffered. 

In November 2018, Ireland seemed to be standing on the precipice of glory. They had just dominated the All Blacks in Dublin to record their first-ever home win over a New Zealand outfit.

Heralded as the favorites for the 2019 Rugby World Cup by many, Ireland had won the Six Nations Grand Slam in 2018 and won their first-ever test series against Australia, down under. 

But not even the World Player and Coach of the Year in Johnny Sexton and Joe Schmidt could get them past the World Cup quarter-finals for the first time.

Having flopped in the Six Nations, some believed that the Irish were holding their cards to their chests ahead of Japan 2019. However, with tame performances — including a disheartening loss to the hosts — it was no surprise when they were dumped out of the tournament by the All Blacks in the quarters. 

Now, with Andy Farrell at the wheel, Ireland begins a rebuilding process that will take some time. If the former defensive coach is to have success in his new role, a big structural overhaul will be required. 

Their once-successful strategy was found out and exploited by the likes of England, Wales, Japan, and New Zealand.

Irish fans are demanding the blooding of new players, too. With Rory Best now retired and the likes of Rob Kearney, Peter O’Mahony, Conor Murray, and CJ Stander all suffering poor form, those supporters should get their wish.

With an abundance of young talent coming through — as well as the form of John Cooney, Stuart McCloskey, Marty Moore, and many more Ulster players demanding attention — the Ireland team that lines out against Scotland could look very different from the one that was spanked by New Zealand in October. 

The question is, can Ireland win the 2020 Six Nations with such an overhaul?

Wales – Goodbye Gatland, Hello Pivac

  • Odds to Win: +550
  • Predicted Finish: 4th

Talking of overhauls, Ireland’s Celtic cousins, Wales, are also in a similar position.

With long-term leader Warren Gatland now gone, Wayne Pivac has been given the opportunity to lead the Welsh into a new dawn.

Unlike Ireland, Wales had a very successful 2019. They won last year’s Six Nations with a Grand Slam and came agonizingly close to making the World Cup final in Japan. 

At odds of +550, Wales to win the 2020 Six Nations is a solid bet. You don’t go from winning every game on the bounce one year to looking hopeless against the big boys the next…

Well, that isn’t exactly true, is it? As previously mentioned, Ireland won the Grand Slam in 2018 but looked severely out of their depth against England and Wales the following year. They looked shaky against Scotland and Italy, too.

England won the title in 2017 and finished 5th in 2018, so anything is possible, really.

Now, I’m not saying that Wales is going to endure a horrible campaign. I like Pivac as a coach, and they have a lot of strength around the park. They have a world-class back row and players like Liam Williams, Jonathan Davies, and Josh Adams in the backs — guys that would make most teams on the planet. 

However, losing Gatland and Shaun Edwards — a defensive coach that I believe is the best in the world — will be hard to recover from. 

In my opinion, England and Ireland will beat Wales in London and Dublin. France will win in Cardiff. This leaves just Scotland and Italy, who I am confident Wales will beat.

There are strong reasons to argue why Wales will win the 2020 Six Nations. But I also see many reasons why they won’t. 

Don’t completely count them out, but I don’t think it will be their year.

Scotland – More of the Same?

  • Odds to Win: +2500
  • Predicted Finish: 5th

Scotland will face Ireland in Dublin and England in Murrayfield in their first two games of the championship.

According to the bookmakers, these are the first and second favorites to lift the cup in March. So, in other words, Gregor Townsend couldn’t have asked for a more difficult start to the tournament.

Against Ireland at the 2019 Rugby World Cup, Scotland was blown away. Bereft of ideas and about as disjointed and painful to observe as the Portsmouth Sinfonia, Scottish fans won’t be expecting the world when February rolls around.

A major blow to Scotland’s chances of progressing in the Six Nations this year will be the departure of Greig Laidlaw. The scrumhalf has been a major player for his country, serving as captain and leader for seven years.

While the likes of Stuart Hogg and Finn Russell will be integral to the Scots’ campaign in 2020, there are other players emerging that can help Townsend’s side pull off a few solid results.

At odds of +2500, it is fair to say that the bookmakers do not rate their chances too highly. 

Sorry, Scotland fans, but two wins in this championship looks like the best you can hope for.

Italy – Don’t Count on Them

  • Odds to Win: +100000
  • Predicted Finish: 6th

If Italy wins the Six Nations this year, I will personally give away all of my possessions to the first person who writes “Vorrei una birra” in the comments section…

I love Italy — the country, the food, the people, the history…

I would love nothing more than to see the Azzurri win the championship in the next decade. But at this stage, their presence in this tournament is being questioned. 

While I have no objections to Italy playing in the Six Nations, they have to justify why they are the six-team in Europe’s premier international rugby tournament. With the likes of Georgia and Romania knocking on the door for an opportunity, some believe that there should be a relegation format in place.

This year, I am hoping for a big showing from Italy. But if Conor O’Shea couldn’t turn things around, I am not sure anyone else can.

Fingers crossed for Italy. But if you are thinking of betting on them to win the 2020 Six Nations, you would probably be better off throwing your money in an open fire and waiting to earn some interest.

Final Words

Let’s face it, England deserves to be the favorite to win the 2020 Six Nations. They will certainly take some stopping, that’s for sure, but there will be five obstacles to pass before they are certain of being crowned champions.

Ireland’s odds to win the Six Nations this year might surprise some, but there is no doubt that they have the players to make it happen. France’s resurgence could see them surprise everyone, and write Wales off at your peril.

It seems that any of the four teams above could win the tournament this year. As for Scotland and Italy, it might be a case of saving face…

I will be providing all of the Six Nations news, odds, bets, and previews ahead of the start of the tournament. Make sure to bookmark our blog to ensure that you don’t miss out!

Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA, boxing, and combat sports.

When Adam isn't writing about those, as well as politics, rugby, and Gaelic Games, he can be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

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