Serie A Predictions and Betting Picks – June 28, 2020
Sunday’s jam-packed fixture list brings a sense of normality to an unfamiliar Serie A schedule. Over the past couple of weeks, two or three games have been staged almost every day. But just like the good old days, there are six matchups in the Italian top flight for us to enjoy on Sunday.
Here are the Serie A fixtures taking place on June 28.
- AC Milan vs. Roma
- Napoli vs. SPAL
- Sampdoria vs. Bologna
- Udinese vs. Atalanta
- Sassuolo vs. Verona
- Parma vs. Inter Milan
Seven of the top nine teams in the division are in action on Sunday, with AC Milan vs. Roma arguably the tie of the round. European-hopefuls Parma and Verona will be looking chase down sixth-place Napoli, while SPAL and Sampdoria continue to fight against relegation.
In this post, I share my predictions for all six Serie A games on June 28. I have also scoured the odds to bring you Sunday’s best value bets.
Roma to Beat AC Milan
With a whopping 21 Serie A titles between them, it’s safe to say that AC Milan vs. Roma is one of the standout fixtures in the Italian soccer calendar. However, given where the two clubs find themselves right now, this tie is nowhere near as glamourous as it once was.
Roma currently sits fifth, while Milan is nine points behind in seventh. Both sides have endured an indifferent 2019/20 campaign, but this matchup is still set to be an interesting battle.
Edin Dzeko took his tally to 14 league goals for the season as he netted a double to sink Sampdoria in Roma’s first game since the restart. Meanwhile, Milan resumed with a thumping 4-1 victory over Lecce.
This is likely to be a cagey encounter, but I’m confident that the capital club will edge it. There is no denying that Roma has been a cut above Milan throughout the season, so I can see Paulo Fonseca’s side extending their winning streak to four games.
Napoli to Beat SPAL
Talking of winning streaks, Napoli is on course to claim their fifth straight Serie A victory against relegation-battler SPAL on Sunday. In fact, Gennaro Gattuso’s men have won six of their previous seven league outings, a run which has seen the club jump from tenth to sixth.
After returning to action with a Coppa Italia triumph over Juventus, Napoli secured an impressive victory against fellow European-chaser Verona in their first league game for over three months. Goals from Arkadiusz Milik and Hirving Lozano handed the Naples outfit all three points in Veneto.
SPAL’s dismal campaign looks set to end in misery after the Ferrara club returned from the lay-off with yet another defeat. The team’s 1-0 loss to Cagliari on Tuesday was their sixth in seven league games, and second-bottom SPAL is now seven points from safety with just 11 games remaining this term.
It feels like Luigi Di Biago’s side has already accepted their fate. A comfortable home win is on the cards here.
Sampdoria and Bologna to Draw
Sampdoria remains just one point clear of the relegation zone, but the team can be proud of their two performances this side of the break. Consecutive 2-1 scorelines against top-five opponents Inter and Roma prove that the Genoa outfit is ready to fight for their place in Italy’s top tier.
Bologna was also faced with a tricky test in their first game back. But like Sampdoria, the Greyhounds can’t be too disappointed with their efforts. Tenth-place Bologna put in a resilient display against Juventus on Monday but eventually lost 2-0.
This matchup provides both sides with the opportunity to pick up their first victory since the restart, although Bologna’s eight-point lead over Sampdoria means the away team will be expected to win on Sunday.
However, given Sampdoria’s resolute performances against Inter and Roma, I believe the home side is more than capable of snatching a point.
Atalanta to Beat Udinese
Some things never change, and Atalanta is proof that. The division’s highest scorer has been banging in goals for fun throughout 2019/20, and the unexpected lay-off clearly hasn’t affected the team’s frightening ability to outscore their opponents.
La Dea returned to action with a 4-1 battering of Sassuolo before coming from two goals down to beat Lazio 3-2 last time out. The two trademark victories have maintained the club’s six-point lead over fifth-place Roma. But perhaps more importantly, the gap between Atalanta and third-place Inter has been narrowed to just four points.
While Atalanta is the league’s highest-scoring, only second-bottom SPAL has scored fewer goals than Udinese this term. The Little Zebras extended their winless run to eight games with a disappointing defeat to Torino in midweek, and they now sit just three points clear of the bottom three.
If it wasn’t for their strong defense, I’m pretty sure that Udinese would be in the relegation zone right now. Having said that, I can’t imagine free-scoring Atalanta struggling to penetrate Udinese’s backline this weekend.
Sassuolo and Verona to Draw
After being torn apart by Atalanta, Sassuolo responded with an unexpected draw against Inter on Wednesday. Late goals from Domenico Berardi and Giangiacomo Magnani saw the Black and Greens come from behind twice to pick up a vital point at San Siro.
Sassuolo is now eight points clear of the drop zone after losing just two of their previous eight Serie A encounters. In fact, the team’s solid run means that a win on Sunday could lift Sassuolo into the top half of the table for the first time since September.
However, getting the better of a tough Verona side won’t be easy. Ivan Juric’s men have enjoyed an excellent comeback season in Serie A and find themselves five points ahead of Sassuolo in the standings. Verona has taken three points from a possible six since the restart, with a Samuel Di Carmine brace earning them a victory over Cagliari before a defeat to Napoli.
Sassuolo will be confident of getting something from this game after a string of positive results, but Verona should be able to fend off the home side and claim a draw.
Inter Milan to Beat Parma
There was a point earlier in the campaign when Inter looked destined to end Juventus’ lengthy reign over the Italian top flight. But having only managed to win three of their previous nine league games, Antonio Conte’s side has been cut adrift from the top two.
The Nerazzurri secured a narrow victory over Sampdoria in their first game after the break before being held to a draw by Sassuolo last time out. However, defeats to Lazio and Juve just before the campaign was suspended significantly dented Inter’s title hopes.
Parma is unbeaten this side of the lay-off after drawing with Torino and thrashing Genoa. Andreas Cornelius netted a hat-trick on Tuesday to keep his side in the hunt for a Europa League place, but the dangerous Danish striker isn’t likely to be given many goalscoring opportunities against a solid Inter backline.
Despite falling off the pace in the scudetto race, Inter will want to finish the season on a high. The Milan outfit still has a genuine chance of clinching the runner-up spot, so I can see them coming away from Stadio Ennio Tardini with maximum points.
Serie A Picks for Sunday, June 28
Here are my top betting picks for Sunday’s Serie A matchups.
Udinese vs. Atalanta – Over 2.5 Atalanta Goals – 2.75
Backing Atalanta to score over 2.5 goals this season has proved to be a profitable bet on numerous occasions. Indeed, La Dea has scored at least three goals in 13 of their 27 league games so far this term and doesn’t look like stopping anytime soon.
Sure, Udinese’s defense has been pretty strong this season. But that won’t bother Gian Pierro Gasperini’s forwards. Atalanta’s seven goals in two games since the restart have been scored by six different players. There are goals everywhere you look in this team.
Parma vs. Inter Milan – Parma and Draw Double Chance – 2.40
Inter is expected to win this game, and the bookies’ odds of 1.53 for the away win underline that. But the Nerazzurri has struggled to find their rhythm since the campaign got back underway, so I wouldn’t be completely shocked if Parma gets something from this game.
Parma is unbeaten since the restart and will be confident of extending their promising run against an out-of-sorts Inter team. The home win is at 6.00 here, but that is a risky bet. Instead, I think backing Parma to avoid defeat is a great option for this game.
If you want to follow any of my predictions or picks, make sure you wager on Serie A with the best online sports betting sites.