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Safeway Open DFS Picks for 2020 – Divvying the Funds in Napa
Don’t be alarmed by the pricing on DraftKings. It’s all relative to the field in Napa – one that features zero players who teed it up this past week at East Lake. Phil Mickelson and Si Woo Kim are the co-favorites, so perhaps that explains why you’re seeing Brendan Steele sitting at a puffed-up $10k.
Or why a slumping Jordan Spieth is installed at a lofty $9,800.
Nevertheless, none of the aforementioned names intrigue me in GPPs.
Don’t be afraid to roster a golfer you’ve never rostered before, and don’t worry if you wind up leaving a chunk of salary on the table. To make the perfect Safeway Open DFS picks and win “all of the money,” you have to be willing to think a bit outside the box.
After meticulously making my selections, that’s what I’ve done here.
Joel Dahmen – $9,500
$9,500 may seem like a lot to pay for Joel Dahmen, especially considering he missed cut at last year’s Safeway Open. Then again, I can assure you that nobody else in this field racked up 11 top-20s this past season on the PGA Tour.
In terms of being a stellar ball-striker and reliable putter, Dahmen is as much of a “total package” as you’ll find on this week’s board. One could argue that paying $9.5k is actually a discount.
Harold Varner III – $9,100
17th or better in each of the last two editions of the Safeway Open means Harold Varner III likes what he sees at Silverado Resort & Spa.
17-under-par a few weeks ago at the Northern Trust (T-7th) tells me HVIII’s game is in a really good place.
Harold narrowly missed out on a berth to the BMW Championship, but you’d have a hard time convincing me he’s not one of the top 70 golfers on tour. In fact, Varner ranked 18th in SG: Total this past season – ahead of names like Adam Scott, Abraham Ancer, and Viktor Hovland.
Bud Cauley – $8,600
If you can pull the trigger for $8,600 on somebody whose last top 10 was in January, take a shot on Bud Cauley. He finished 7th at the 2017 Safeway Open and was inside the top 10 here last year after 54 holes.
Bud is a fantastic wedge player and a terrific putter, and his swing seems to be coming around. When Cauley tees off on Thursday, he’ll be seeking his 6th consecutive tournament round in the 60s.
Mark Hubbard – $8,100
Mark Hubbard’s name has popped on various tournament leaderboards since the restart, hence a highly respectable 44th-place finish in the FedEx Cup standings. Forget about his baby putter and Showcased in my Safeway Open prediction post, Hubbard’s a great bet to produce four solid rounds this week in Napa.
Case in point – Mark’s only missed cut over the last six months was a WD at the Rocket Mortgage Classic.
Worth noting, “Hubbs” can swing freely after receiving some good news about his status for next week at Winged Foot.
USGA adds 5 players to @usopengolf field via final FedEx rankings: Sebastian Munoz, Brian Harman, Tyler Duncan, Mark Hubbard and Danny Lee. Field officially set at 144 with 36 players making their USO debuts next week at Winged Foot.— Will Gray (@WillGrayGC) September 8, 2020
Carlos Ortiz – $7,400
Carlos Ortiz didn’t qualify for the TOUR Championship in Atlanta but he can take a lot away from his 25th-place finish at the BMW Championship. Carlos played alongside Tiger Woods Thursday and Friday at Olympia Fields and beat Tiger each day.
Three missed cuts before that should refrain Ortiz from being a popular Safeway Open DFS pick, but don’t be shy about including him in your lineup. He’s a perfect 4-4 at Silverado Resort and Spa and has a really spiffy short game.
Troy Merritt – $7,100
I’m going back to the “Troy Merritt well” to round out this week’s lineup. Frankly, $7,100 just seems too cheap for a guy who has a knack for going low when the fields aren’t loaded. A perfect candidate as a Safeway Open sleeper pick, Troy’s runner-up at the Barracuda Championship hints at his current form.
His bogey-free 65 last time out during the final round at TPC Boston simply reiterates that his game in good shape.
My 2020 Safeway Open DFS Lineup for GPPs
This isn’t the first time I’ve highlighted Joel Dahmen as a DFS pick, and I can assure you, it won’t be the last. Harold Varner III’s course history makes him a sensible play – and the same theory applies to Bud Cauley.
Mark Hubbard could have easily been priced at $9k or above given the pool of players. That gives you a solid core of four golfers to lean on this week and gives you enough maneuverability to squeeze in a couple of value plays.
If you’re uncomfortable playing Carlos Ortiz and/or Troy Merritt, consider Cameron Tringale ($7,500) or Luke List ($7,300) as a pivot.