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Previewing Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier 3 – Odds and Analysis for the UFC 264 Showdown

| April 12, 2021 5:39 am PDT

In case you missed it, Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier 3 is official for July 10 at UFC 264.

The odds for McGregor vs. Poirier 3 have been released, with most UFC betting sites making “The Notorious” the favorite by a hair’s breadth. It’s essentially a pick’em at this stage, but expect that to change as the weeks go by.

With that in mind, I’ll be looking at the best odds for McGregor vs. Poirier 3 online right now. The early bird often catches the worm whenever the mercurial Dubliner is involved, and I’ll be explaining why it pays to be on red alert when his odds are released.

Additionally, I’ll be dropping a little analysis of both guys that’s well worth tuning in for. So, whether you’re betting on McGregor to beat Poirier or vice versa, there is some key information that will hopefully help you choose the right bets.

First, let’s see what the betting line for the McGregor vs. Poirier trilogy looks like.

Best Odds for McGregor vs. Poirier 3

McGregor to Win -120
Poirier to Win+105

The best odds for the McGregor vs. Poirier trilogy are on the market right now. 

If you’re looking to bet on McGregor to win at UFC 264, Bovada has the top price for the former “Champ-Champ.” Conversely, Poirier’s best odds to beat McGregor are +105 with BetOnline.

This will be the most competitive fight on the UFC 264 fight card. Even with a mouthwatering welterweight clash between Gilbert Burns vs. Stephen Thompson set to go down, I don’t expect the line to be as tight as the McGregor vs. Poirier trilogy odds are.

For now. I mean, don’t expect these odds to last long, especially with the number of bettors that will be pumping dollars down to win money on McGregor vs. Poirier’s rubber match. 

Speaking of winning money, the following guide explains the best ways to make cash on Conor McGregor’s fights. As you’ll see from the first McGregor betting tip, acting early is typically the best way to get the best odds on his bouts.

Best Ways to Make Money Betting on McGregor Fights

Whether it is betting on Conor McGregor’s fights in the UFC or wagering on McGregor to win his next boxing match, the Irishman is always a big draw with bettors. A combat sports legend, McGregor is one of the most recognizable faces on the planet. When...

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Where to Bet on McGregor vs. Poirier 3

If you want to find the best early odds for McGregor vs. Poirier 3, scroll back up a little.

With that said, these odds will change pretty quickly. And by the time you have had a chance to wager on the fight, that great price on Poirier to beat McGregor could be gone. These things happen.

Among the top tips for betting on UFC fights is to find value in betting odds. And to identify good value, you should look to the best sites and betting apps for UFC fights. 

You can find our pick of the best online betting sites for UFC fights on the following page.

McGregor vs. Poirier 3 Date and Other Key Details

  • Event: UFC 264
  • When: July 10, 2021
  • Where: TBC

If you’re asking when McGregor will fight next, the answer is, of course, against Poirier on July 10 at UFC 264.

But if your question involves where that fight will be? Well, that information has not yet been released. But expect the promotion to come through with answers soon.

As it stands, I’d imagine the promotion is holding off on announcing a venue until they are guaranteed a live gate in Las Vegas. If that is unattainable, we could see McGregor vs. Poirier 3 in Florida.

McGregor vs. Poirier 3 Fight Card

  • Dustin Poirier vs. Conor McGregor (Lightweight)
  • Gilbert Burns vs. Stephen Thompson (Welterweight)
  • Ryan Hall vs. Ilia Topuria (Featherweight)
  • Tai Tuivasa vs. Greg Hardy (Heavyweight)
  • Jessica Eye vs. Jennifer Maia (Women’s Flyweight)
  • Omari Akhmedov vs. Brad Tavares (Middleweight)
  • Jerome Rivera vs. Zhalgas Zhumagulov (Flyweight)

There are some really good-looking scraps on the McGregor vs. Poirier 3 undercard.

Unfortunately, the odds for these fights are not yet available. But make sure to check out the top UFC betting apps and sites regularly for any changes.

McGregor vs. Poirier 3 Tale of the Tape

Before we get into a bit of analysis of both fighters, let’s check out the tale of the tape for McGregor vs. Poirier 3.

Conor McGregor Tale of the Tape Dustin Poirier
22-5 (19 KOs) Record 27-6 (13 KOs)
Ireland Nationality USA
5’9” Height 5′ 9″
155 lbs. Weight 155 lbs
74″ Reach 72″
Southpaw Stance Southpaw
July 14, 1987 Date of Birth January 19, 1989

As you can see from the contrasting records above, these two are elite fighters with plenty still left in the tank.

But the advantages look to be mostly in Poirier’s favor ahead of their trilogy fight.

And here’s why.

How Poirier Can Beat McGregor at UFC 264

When Poirier knocked out McGregor in the second round of their rematch at UFC 257, I was stunned.

That might sound strange for someone who predicted a convincing win for “The Diamond” as soon as the fight was rumored. But as it goes, my surprise was down to watching the UFC superstar get knocked out in a UFC fight. This was something that had never happened before.

Will Poirier beat McGregor by KO this time around? I think he can do just that. I won’t offer my betting pick for McGregor vs. Poirier 3 until I have all the facts about the fight to hand. Still, at this point, successive knockout wins for the American is a distinct possibility.

Is a KO the only way Poirier wins at UFC 264? Nope. The man has multiple feasible paths to victory.

Alongside knocking McGregor out, the other likely way Poirier will end the fight is by submission.

Put simply, Poirier is a beast. And I’m getting kind of blue in the face telling everyone that. His KO win over McGregor in the last bout opened up many eyes to just how devastatingly good the man is, though. Convincing others that he is the better of the two this time around won’t be as difficult.

That’s not to say that a win for Poirier over McGregor is a foregone conclusion. I would lean 60/40 at this stage, so make of that what you will.

Poirier’s Key Strengths and Weaknesses

Main Strengths Main Weaknesses
Striking Tense in Early Exchanges
Power Slow Starter
Durability Reckless at Times
Grappling Predictability

Poirier is the best in the UFC lightweight division. He is Mr. Consitency, too, bringing a level of reliability into the cage seldom seen in the sport.

Consistency and reliability are not considered among the sexier attributes in MMA. I get that. But Poirier counterbalances these with stunning KO power, great wrestling, and a very dangerous submission game.

With that said, Poirier came super close to submitting Khabib Nurmagomedov at UFC 242 in September 2019. So please don’t sleep on him winning by sub.

On the other hand, Poirier is not without his weaknesses, as you can see from the table above. But will any of these manifest in his performance on the night?

How McGregor Can Beat Poirier at UFC 264

It’s a case of win or bust for the legendary MMA career of Conor McGregor.

If he beats Poirier, he strolls into a UFC lightweight title fight against Charles Oliveira and Michael Chandler’s winner at UFC 262. Not only that, but he becomes redeemed in the eyes of his supporters, as well as the flag bearers of McGregor hype and hysteria in the MMA community.

But lose? Well, he doesn’t want to think about that. 

A loss for McGregor would be devastating for his career. Poirier can afford a loss against the Irishman, as his career isn’t as fragile. In other words, the former UFC lightweight champion has built a profile on the back of being this braggadocious knockout artist that rips through the opposition.

Ending up with a record of 3-3 from six fights just won’t cut it, and he would more than likely duck out of the game.

He’s turning up to win this fight. McGregor can beat Poirier, as he has done it before. Sure, that came at featherweight, when he was on a rampage and Poirier was struggling. But, psychologically, he knows there is something he can stir in the king of Layafette.

McGregor was doing pretty well in the rematch and landing some big shots. That was before Poirier chopped him down with leg kicks prior to knocking him out. That will give him some confidence in securing a stoppage win.

If the 32-year-old is to beat Poirier, it will be by KO/TKO. There is no other likely pathway to victory for The Notorious one.

McGregor’s Key Strengths and Weaknesses

The following piece covers what you need to know about what McGregor does well and not so well when the cage door closes.

In a nutshell, he has one of the most famous weapons in UFC history in his explosive left hand. If he can plant his feet and land a big shot on Poirier, we could be looking at this trilogy ending 2-1 in favor of the Crumlin-born star.

Can McGregor beat Poirier any other way?

That’s All, Folks!

So that should be enough to get you in the mood for betting on the Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier trilogy.

The best odds for McGregor vs. Poirier 3 look pretty tasty, so I would think about hopping on these before we see the hype and hyperbole chop those prices down to their stubs. However, if you believe holding off a little longer is the way forward, there is nothing wrong with that either. 

Make sure to keep your eyes on our UFC blog, and UFC picks sections for more news and betting content for this fight.

That’s all for me for now. I’ll leave you with some additional material to help you place your bets on McGregor vs. Poirier 3.

Good luck with your bets.

Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA, boxing, and combat sports.

When Adam isn't writing about those, as well as politics, rugby, and Gaelic Games, he can be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

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