Predictions for Every Fight at UFC Fight Night: Eye vs Calvillo
It’s time for my UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo predictions.
The top UFC betting sites have odds on every fight at this Saturday’s UFC Fight Night, so check them out once you have looked over my picks.
This card is set to go down this Saturday, June 13, at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas. And just like a nervous comedian taking to the stage after a colleague who has killed on the mic, this one is unlikely to be able to topple UFC 250 last week.
Aside from Amanda Nunes’ one-sided beat-down of Felicia Spencer, we had some huge finishes from Cody Garbrandt, Aljamain Sterling, and Sean O’Malley. I predicted that card would see few decisions, and I was proven right.
My predictions for this event couldn’t be any different — I expect the judges to be a lot more involved on Saturday night. But as for the winners of the fights? Keep reading, and all will be revealed.
Eye to Beat Calvillo by Unanimous Decision
Okay, Jessica Eye vs. Cynthia Calvillo is not headline material. But given the current circumstances in the world of sports, can beggars really be choosers?
Admittedly, Eye vs. Calvillo is a little bit of a strange choice as the top-billed fight on this card. Still, it should be a good scrap. Currently ranked as the number-one contender to Valentina Shevchenko’s UFC women’s bantamweight title, Eye will be taking on a newcomer to the 135-pound ranks in Calvillo.
Both ladies are tough, well-rounded athletes. Eye has solid boxing and a decent wrestling base, while Calvillo’s grappling is impressive enough to make her a real threat on the ground.
But is she strong enough to dominate “Evil” and get the attention of Shevchenko with a big win? It’s possible, but Eye — who has four wins from her last four fights — won’t go down without a fight. Her takedown defense and superior striking make her a tough puzzle to crack for any fighter at her weight.
I’m going with Eye to grind out a win on the scorecards. You can read more about why in my Jessica Eye vs. Cynthia Calvillo fight preview.
Vettori to Beat Roberston by Decision
Fans who watched UFC 250 last week might have been expecting a similarly entertaining co-main that saw Cody Garbrandt flatlining Raphael Assuncao. Unfortunately, I don’t think Karl Roberson vs. Marvin Vettori is going to produce the same kind of fireworks.
Don’t get me wrong here. A stoppage victory is possible; it’s just unlikely.
Roberson is a cultured kickboxer that has been working hard on smoothing out the rough edges of his style. And while two submissions in the promotion suggest that he has come a long way in the past few years, his overzealousness in this department has led to some questionable engagements.
If Roberson sticks to his striking, he can trouble Vettori. That said, the Italian has also shown marked improvements when it comes to his striking game, which has led to him shaking off the tag of a wrestler with a bread and butter overhand right.
Vettori is a strong and durable athlete that should be able to hold his own with Roberson on the feet. I think he will land a few takedowns, as well as boss any close-quarter exchanges in the clinch.
Roberson’s days at middleweight appear to be numbered, and I would be surprised if he even makes weight for this clash. Nevertheless, Vettori just might be his last opponent at 185.
As I explained in my Karl Roberson vs. Marvin Vettori preview, I’m backing Vettori to get this done via unanimous decision.
Dvalishvili to Beat Borg by Decision
Last week’s UFC 250 card was big on bantamweight bouts, but this one did not make it onto the card. And thankfully so. This should be an entertaining fight, even if it will probably end up going all the way to the scorecards.
Neither man is famous for their ability to finish a fight. But you cannot deny that they know how to entertain a crowd. Both Dvalishvili and Borg have been involved in some awesome scraps over the years, and I can’t see why this matchup shouldn’t showcase their propensity for war.
Borg is a former UFC flyweight contender that has struggled with weight cutting at the 125-pound limit. He enters his second fight in a matter of four weeks, having lost by decision to Ricky Simon on the Smith vs. Teixeira undercard.
A solid wrestler with nifty offense, Borg been up and down over the past few years. While his striking is not terrible, he’s far from clueless in this department. But one type of opponent that he consistently struggles with is the larger wrestler type that can nullify his strengths in that field.
So the fact that he is facing Dvalishvili — a fighter who is bigger and has a solid wrestling game — doesn’t bode too well for him. Not only is the Georgian two inches taller with a five-inch reach advantage, but he has the type of wrestling stats that make it hard to back against.
Borg has been around the track a few times and will not be an easy fight for Dvalishvili by any means. But I’m backing Dvalishvili to have frequent success with his takedowns and to grind a win out on the cards.
Fili to Beat Jourdain by KO/TKO
Andre “Touchy” Fili has one of the greatest nicknames in combat sports history. His career hasn’t been as solid, however.
But when it comes to the 29-year-old, one consistent trend over the past few years is that he has been in there with some exceptional fighters. Sure, he might have losses to Max Holloway, Yair Rodríguez, Calvin Kattar — and most recently, an emerging prospect in Sodiq Yusuff — but he is a handful for anyone on his day.
A tall and rangy 145-pounder, Fili is exciting on his feet. He shows the hallmark offensive qualities of other Team Alpha Male fighters and has a pretty good chin. With varied strikes and a dangerous submission game, he is a fighter to underestimate at one’s peril.
Jourdain, on the other hand, is a fighter that UFC fans will not know too well. He was outpointed by Desmond Green in his UFC debut in May 2019 but came back with a bang against Doo Ho Choi, knocking him out in the second round of their fight in December.
I think this fight will be absolutely wild. My prediction is that Fili finds Jourdain’s chin as early as the first round and earns a stoppage win not too different to the one he scored over Sheymon Moraes in July 2019.
De La Rosa to Beat Espinosa by Submission
It almost makes me nervous to have to predict the winner of Mark De La Rosa vs. Jordan Espinoza, given how much is on the line.
Espinosa is coming off back-to-back submission losses that leave his UFC record at 1-2, while De La Rosa is on a three-fight skid that also pushes him to the brink of being cut by the promotion.
Needless to say, everything is to fight for. And in this type of scenario, that could lead to an absolutely awesome bout, or the exact opposite. Will both fighters adopt a cavalier attitude, or will the fear of losing prevent these guys from pulling the trigger?
This is a question you really have to think about before you bet on the fight. Especially when you consider that both men are better suited to the ground.
If I were to go for the fighter has the edge on the feet, that would be Espinosa. But the difference here is fractional — he has two KO wins to De La Rosa’s one and no KO losses to one for “Bumblebee.”
I have to point out the likelihood that the fight will be decided on the ground. It seems inevitable that both men are going to opt to play to their strengths, and while the initial stages of their exchanges will be decided on the feet, we could be looking at a duel between these two.
De La Rosa has the edge, in my opinion. He might have one less submission than Espinosa’s seven, but he has never been on the other side of a submission in his career. Espinosa has, on four occasions — two of which came in his last two fights.
Although this a very tight matchup, I have to lean towards De La Rosa’s better submission defense as the crucial tool in his arsenal of weaponry.
Rosa to Beat Aguilar by KO/TKO
Charles Rosa and Kevin Aguilar are another pair who might potentially save their skins in the promotion with a win. Of course, a loss would push them closer to no man’s land.
Rosa is 3-4 in the promotion, with his career following a win-loss pattern since 2014. Ironically, his win over Manny Bermudez in October 2019 led to “The Bermudez Triangle” being cut by the UFC. Will it be his turn this time around?
Perhaps. Rosa is coming off a loss to the unbeaten Bryce Mitchell at UC 249 in May, and he will undoubtedly know what could happen if he fails to get the win this time around.
Aguilar is 2-2 in the UFC. He has suffered back-to-back losses against Zubaira Tukhugov and Dan Ige, having earned encouraging wins over Rick Glenn and Enrique Barzola.
Both guys are fairly well matched, but Rosa has the edge here. He is the more well-rounded of the two, with a solid striking base as well as good grappling skills. More than this, he has a better engine than Aguilar, which will help him the longer the fight goes on.
I see Rosa outworking Aguilar and ending the fight with strikes on the floor.
Avila to Beat Mazany by KO/TKO
Julia Avila made it a UFC debut to remember in 2019 when she earned a decision over Pannie Kianzad in 2019.
Her opponent this Saturday is Gina Mazany. Slightly more experienced in the UFC, Mazany registered a record of 1-3 in her first stint in the promotion. A win on the regional scene has earned her another bite of the cherry.
Mazany is a late stand-in. Her last fight was at lightweight in January, so it remains to be seen if she can even make weight for this one.
Either way, I expect Avila to have the firepower to put Mazany away early.
Nam to Beat Benoit by Decision
Ryan Benoit takes on Tyson Nam in a flyweight contest that should have little effect on the division.
Both guys have been around the block a few times but are far from the hottest prospects plying their trades in the lowest men’s weight class in the UFC. Nam is the older man at 36, and while still as tough as nails, he is effectively a journeyman at this point.
Benoit is six years younger and also a very tough cookie. But despite arriving at the UFC in 2013 with a lot of promise and looking close to launching a title run with a win over Sergio Pettis in 2015, he has found himself in the middle of the pack since then.
That said, Benoit seems to have a little more to his game at this point and should scrape a win on the scorecards.
Griffin to Beat Minner by Decision
Jordan Griffin is looking to resign Darrick Minner to his second loss in his second UFC bout this Saturday.
Minner was outclassed by Grant Dawson before succumbing to a second-round submission in February. Another loss here might also have Minner fretting for his future in the promotion.
Griffin will fancy his chances of hanging around a little longer, but in reality, he needs a win here to keep on the good side of the UFC. Two losses in his first two fights were disappointing, but a second-round guillotine win over TJ Brown on the Benavidez vs. Figueiredo card was more like it.
These two have more in common than fighting on that card. This is actually the second time they will fight, following an LFA 34 encounter in 2018. Griffin won by way of submission that night, but I can see this one going to the judges.
I’ll take Griffin by decision.
Lipski to Beat Carolina by KO/TKO
Ariane Lipski goes head to head with compatriot Luana Carolina on the second fight of the early prelims.
Both ladies won their last fights and will be confident of making it two from two this weekend. That said, I like Lipski in this one — she is the better athlete and has a superior skill set. I think she has the power to get this one done inside the distance, too.
Ivy to Beat Aguilera by Decision
The opening fight of the card sees Christian Aguilera — no, not the ‘90s pop singer famed for her peroxide blond hair and high-pitched voice — take on Anthony Ivy.
Ivy was set to face Gerald Meerschaert at UFC 250 in place of Ian Heinisch. However, Heinisch was cleared to keep his spot on the UFC 250 prelims and went on to knock out GM3.
While these two are relatively unknown, I’d back Ivy in this one. He seems to be a better athlete with more to him.
That’s it for my UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo predictions. Now that you have my take on the fights this coming Saturday, June 13, it’s up to you where you want to go from here.
I’ll be covering the best bets for the fights, as well as pointing you towards some interesting value bets and sleepers. As always, you can find everything you need on our UFC blog.
Enjoy the fights!