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Predicting Who Wins Each Major Golf Championship in 2021

| November 18, 2020 6:30 am PDT
Early Predictions for the Winner of Every Golf Major in 2021

DJ’s triumph at Augusta has me looking ahead toward 2021.

Dustin entered the 2020 Masters ranked #1 in the world having played incredible golf over the last few months. By the time November arrived, most of the bookies were pricing Johnson around +900 to win the golf tournament.

However, had you backed Johnson to win the Masters when play first resumed in June, you could have nabbed DJ in the +2000 range.

What’s the moral?

It’s never too early to lock in predictions for the winner of the majors. A couple of the top sites have even installed simple “yes/no” odds for specific players winning a major in 2021.

Take a look.

Justin Thomas Wins the 2021 Masters

Perhaps my pick to win the Masters in 2020 was a few months premature.

To be frank, it looked as if Justin played about as poorly as he could have in the November Masters and still wound up logging a solo-fourth. Thomas finished at 12-under-par despite carding four 6s throughout the week, but here’s what he can take away.

JT has now improved his finish in each of his five appearances at Augusta and knows exactly what it feels like to contend over the weekend.

Transitioning into the following prop, you can imagine which side I’m leaning toward.

Will Justin Thomas Win a Major in 2021?


The Masters is just one of four opportunities and a +320 price tag represents a nice chunk of upside. Sign me up for a resounding “yes.”

Xander Schauffele Wins the 2021 PGA Championship

If Jon Rahm is the best player in the world yet to win a major, Xander Schauffele is hot on his trail. There’s no major championship venue that wouldn’t suit Xander’s eye, but the setup at Kiawah Island in May should be especially “up his alley.”

It’ll be hard, it’ll be windy, and maintaining a positive attitude will be paramount to success.

Cue in Schauffele. Few strike the golf ball as solidly as he does, and you’d be hard-pressed to find anyone who has a better mindset on the links.

Similar to JT at the Masters, Xander’s gotten progressively better each time he has teed it up at a PGA Championship. Maybe the 2021 edition is when he’ll finally break the seal.

By the way, did you know you could grab hold of Schauffele to win a major next year at +435?

Will Xander Schauffele Win a Major in 2021?


I wasted little time locking it in.

Rory McIlroy Wins the 2021 US Open

One thing is certain about the 2021 US Open at the South Course at Torrey Pines. Whoever hoists the hardware at the end of the week won’t be able to “fake” his way around the golf course. The only way to prosper at Torrey is to wear out the center of your clubface repeatedly.

Dustin and Rahm immediately come to mind, but let’s not lose sight of another guy inhabiting the shortlist of truly elite ball-strikers.

Rory McIlroy.

As far as how Rory has fared at the picturesque setting in La Jolla, that’s where I perk up about this wager. McIlroy has registered a 5th and a 3rd in his only two appearances at the Farmers Insurance Open (2019, 2020). The key for “Rors” at the 2021 US Open will be to get off to a fast start.

When it comes to betting on McIlroy winning any of the four majors next year, have a glance at the available odds.

Will Rory McIlroy Win a Major in 2021?


I’m not in love with “+220,” but it’s hard not to like his chances in all four of the majors. Especially considering the PGA Championship will be held at Kiawah Island – the same place it was at in 2012 when he lapped the field by eight strokes.

Patrick Cantlay Wins the 2021 Open Championship

Royal St George’s Golf Club has produced two of the most unlikely Open champions in the history of this event.

  • Ben Curtis in 2003
  • Darren Clarke in 2011

I’m not ready to stray too far from the top of the Official World Golf Ranking, but I will pluck a guy currently slotted 9th.

Of all the things I fancy about Patrick Cantlay, here’s what bodes well for him heading into an Open.

  • Even-keeled approach
  • Heavy and consistent hit with his irons
  • Ability to flight it down
  • Repeatable routine
  • Dependable putting stroke

Arguably the most captivating thing about pegging Cantlay to become the Champion Golfer of the Year is the odds attached to him winning a major.

Will Patrick Cantlay Win a Major in 2021?


That price for “yes” is not only reasonable, but it’s a number that won’t become any more favorable as time goes on. Not with how good Patrick is playing.

Which Players Won’t Win a Major in 2021

You’ve seen my early predictions for the winner of every golf major in 2021. Now it’s time to switch gears and become a pessimist.

Here are guys I’m prepared to bet on not winning a major next year.

Jon Rahm Will Not Win a Major in 2021

I’d be willing to lay upwards of -500 that Jon Rahm won’t win a major in 2021. At the best golf betting sites, we can latch on at laying just -340.


Rahm can hit every shot and has a ridiculously good short game. Unfortunately, a glaringly negative attitude catches up to you over the course of 72 holes.

Collin Morikawa Will Not Win a Major in 2021

T44 in his first Masters confirms that Augusta is probably not an ideal fit for his game. The wide fairways at Kiawah Island favor the bombers. If I remove Collin Morikawa from the equation in the first two majors, that leaves him with two chances to win a major for the second straight year.


Collin’s a Vegas guy and so am I. Let’s roll the dice and predict he heads into 2022 still with one major on his resume.

Tyrrell Hatton Will Not Win a Major in 2021

I don’t think Tyrell Hatton captures a major in 2021 for much of the same reason I’m ok with fading Jon Rahm.

Until Hatton levels out his demeanor on the course, I suspect we’ll see him struggle in the four most prestigious events in the world. Here’s a guy who’s classified as a world-class player and yet he’s missed the cut in half of his starts at the majors (11/22). In fact, a 5th-place showing at the 2016 Open at Royal Troon is Hatton’s lone top-5 at a major.

Don’t be alarmed by the following odds for Tyrrell Hatton winning a major.


Just close your eyes, bet “no,” and wait until July to collect your winnings.

Michael Wynn
Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for GamblingSites.com on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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