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The Players Most Likely to Win the 2020 ATP Finals

| October 31, 2020 5:35 am PDT
2020 ATP Finals Predictions and Most Likely Winners

The tennis season is almost over and we have only a few tournaments left on the men’s Tour. There’s little doubt that the 2020 ATP Finals is the most anticipated event on the calendar and it’s scheduled to start on November 15.

The competition includes the best eight players in male tennis throughout the year. At the moment I’m writing this post, we know six of them for sure. Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal, Dominic Thiem, Daniil Medvedev, Stefanos Tsitsipas, and Alexander Zverev have already qualified.

Roger Federer has retired from the competition in order to prepare for the Australian Open 2021 and there are two places left that are likely to go to Andrey Rublev and Diego Schwartzman. The likes of Matteo Berrettini, Denis Shapovalov, and Roberto Bautista Agut are still in the hunt, though.

The players have until the end of Sofia Open 2020 that finishes on November 14 to charge for a spot in the top 8.

I don’t expect a player outside of the top 6 to win the competition, so I decided to share some 2020 ATP Finals analysis early. I have selected the three most likely winners and I provide my arguments for each one of them below.

Novak Djokovic

It’s hard to ignore Novak Djokovic when he has won the tournament five times. The Serbian legend will be disappointed after getting ejected from the US Open 2020 and losing to Nadal in the French Open 2020 Final.

Nole just secured the top spot in the ATP standings by the end of the year and he might view the ATP Finals 2020 as another consolation prize. Djokovic took a short break after the Roland Garros and has looked strong in his early matches in the Vienna Open.

The Serbian is an absolute monster on hard courts and if he’s close to his best, it’s hard to see how anyone would stop him. During his prime, Djokovic won four ATP Finals in a row between 2012 and 2015, without losing a set in the decisive matches.

He hasn’t been at his best in London since, but that often had to do with his busy schedule and preparations for the Australian Open. There’s no reason to believe that Djokovic will be far from his top form once again this year, so he certainly is among the main contenders for the 2020 ATP Finals.

Dominic Thiem

Despite the hectic nature of 2020, the year has been excellent for Dominic Thiem. The talented Austrian won his first Grand Slam title during the US Open and is bound to fight for more big titles in the future. The man himself admitted how important this maiden major was.

Unfortunately for Thiem, his success in New York delayed his preparations for the 2020 French Open and that could explain the relatively early exit from his favorite tournament. I don’t think that the world number three will be too bitter about it.

The growth shown by the Austrian on hard courts has been incredible and he’s a legitimate threat on that surface. We’ve seen Thiem beat pretty much anyone on the tour and his mental strength has been a huge advantage as well.

Thiem seems to thrive under pressure and he’s not afraid to face the best players out there. That’s what every great champion needs, so I won’t be shocked to see him win the 2020 ATP Finals for the first time in his career. It would be a fitting end to an exceptional season for Thiem.

Alexander Zverev

The German prodigy Alexander Zverev won the ATP Finals in 2018 when he was only 21, becoming the youngest champion in the history of the tournament. He’s been an absolute beast in the Masters Series in the past three years, beating all of the best players in the world.

Like most young tennis players, Zverev had some problems in Grand Slams because of the gruesome format, but he improved a lot in 2020.  The German reached his first semifinal in the Australian Open and then went one step further in the US Open, only to lose against Thiem in five sets.

Zverev is destined to become a tennis great if he stays healthy and he will only get better. The hard courts are his favorite surface which makes him dangerous in London.

The German just won another ATP title on home soil and looks confident in the build-up to the 2020 ATP Finals.

His next challenge will be in the ATP Masters 1000 in Paris where Zverev will meet many of the rivals that will be in London as well.


As thing stands, I believe that Novak Djokovic is the most likely winner of the 2020 ATP Finals, while the likes of Thiem and Zverev could take advantage of any potential slip by the world number one. Of course, the tournament does feature the best of the best, so the others have a shot too.

Once the odds are released, I’ll be looking for the best bets and sharing them in our tennis picks section.

What are your 2020 ATP Finals predictions? Feel free to share your opinion on the upcoming competition in the comments below.

Jerry Summer
Jerry Summer

Jerry Summer has a wide-ranging interest in gambling and the gambling industry. He's made a living out of both playing poker and betting on sports.

The English Premier League and the NBA are among Jerry's primary areas of expertise. He's knowledgeable about many other sports, too, along with poker and several casino games.

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