It’s amazing the difference a week can make. Over the past week or so, everyone was selling the Green Bay Packers as locked in title favorites.
The Kansas City Chiefs had lost to the Las Vegas Raiders. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers had fallen in an ugly TNF clash with the Chicago Bears. Aaron Rodgers for MVP this, and Aaron Rodgers hadn’t thrown a pick since last year, that.
It all led to major disappointment, as the Packers fell in unceremonious fashion in Tampa Bay, and suddenly the entire NFL was thrown on its side again.
Had bettors seen that early in the week when NFL betting lines were released, they could have scored premium value by picking the Bucs to beat the spread, or even to back them as a fun underdog bet.
It wasn’t just about the Packers, either. There were other advantageous spots (Over in Falcons vs. Vikings), the Bears as an upset pick, and Miami to cover.
No matter what your favorite bet ends up being, there’s no time like the present to hop on the best pricing available, simply because we never know which way the lines will move, and when.
To get a head start, join me as I break down the early NFL odds for week 7. If you want to shop around for the best and latest odds yourself, I recommend the following sites.
Still, if they weren’t in the atrocious NFC East, it’s arguable their season would already be over.
But they are in said division, and week seven brings them the lowly Giants, and a chance to rise from the ashes.
New York is coming off of their first win of the year, but this +5.5 point spread feels a tad light. It could be a great spot for bettors to pounce before oddsmakers readjust later in the week.
This game total also feels a tad low. Neither team is particularly strong defensively, which could have bettors falling in love with the Over.
Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals
The battle for Ohio commences in week six, as the Bengals host the rival Browns.
Cleveland is a bit banged up and licking their wounds after a beatdown in Pittsburgh, but they’ll enter Cincy as the understandable favorites.
Cincinnati limps into week six after blowing a huge lead against the Colts, too, so betting on this game ATS or straight up feels tricky. The game total will be worth a look, of course, seeing as how these two offenses combined for 65 points earlier this year.
Detroit Lions vs. Atlanta Falcons
The Lions whooped the Jaguars last week to score their second win of 2020, while the Falcons used Dan Quinn’s firing to propel them to a throttling of the Vikings.
Both of these teams appear to be reinvigorated, and are on a collision course for a week seven battle that’s projected to feature a lot of points.
The Over looks like the appealing play here, but good luck actually confidently betting on who will come away with the victory.
Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints
Drew Brees and co. play host to their NFC South rivals fresh off of a bye. The Saints are heavy favorites at home, and the logic seems pretty airtight. Bettors may want to move to strike on this line before it gets any longer.
Carolina saw a three-game winning streak snapped last week, but they’ve proven plenty capable so far in 2020.
This game total is advantageous, but after a letdown game, it’s worth wondering if the Panthers will have it in them to stage a huge road upset – or even keep it close.
Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets
The Jets reached a new low in week six, as they got shut out by the Miami Dolphins. New York seems to be trending toward “#1 pick in the 2021 NFL Draft” status, and it’s unlikely hosting the Bills will provide a speed bump to that final result.
The Bills have had a tough two weeks with brutal showdowns with the Titans and Chiefs, so they have earned a bit of a breather. This spread could be a whole lot thicker and bettors would probably still jump at it (and likely should).
Green Bay will enter week seven as mild road favorites, but I can’t help but struggle to get the taste of that beatdown out of my mouth. Houston is 1-5 and going nowhere fast, but let’s not ignore that they just took the Titans to overtime.
Deshaun Watson and co. will give the Packers a fight, and this game will have no shortage of big plays. A likely shootout may point bettors to Houston (+4) and the Over. Hey, at least it’ll be fun.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals
Russell Wilson’s MVP tour continues in Arizona in week seven, and this is also a huge NFC West clash. This happens to be one of the most competitive divisions in the league, and something tells me we’ll get a clear glimpse of that in this clash.
That’s the way the top NFL betting sites are setting it up, as the Cardinals are mild underdogs at home. Seattle hasn’t really been housing teams left and right, so a potential shootout could obviously go either way.
That makes this one an interesting one to bet on, but if Seattle’s line grows thicker, the Cards ATS will grow mighty appealing.
San Francisco 49ers vs. New England Patriots
The 49ers and Patriots are both in danger of falling out of the playoff picture. Cam Newton and co. couldn’t even get past the Broncos last week, while San Francisco could stumble to the bottom of a loaded NFC West division.
I tend to favor Bill Belichick at home, but this spread feels a little thick when you look at San Francisco’s running game.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos
The Chiefs have looked human in 2020, but we still know what they’re capable of. They can send a message with a beatdown of the Broncos, and a spread under 10 certainly is palatable in this matchup.
Bettors do need to keep two things in mind, though; Denver just beat the Patriots, and the Chiefs are just 3-2 against the spread so far in 2020.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Las Vegas Raiders
If you were wondering if the Buccaneers were for real, wonder no more.
You could easily explain away their 4-2 start, but in reality, one of their losses came on the road against a solid Saints team, and the other came to a good Bears defense.
Tampa Bay appears to be rather legit, and they can prove that even more so with a decisive win on the road against the Raiders.
Of course, these Raiders have also been looking to send a message, seeing as they have wins over the Saints and Chiefs on the year.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Tennessee Titans
Ben Roethlisberger and company absolutely cooked the Browns, firmly stating their case as the team to beat in the AFC North. If they can dispatch the Titans, maybe some will buy them as the best team in the entire conference.
Online sportsbooks are offering zero wiggle room here, though. Tennessee may offer the value, as they’ve been more impressive offensively, and they’re a mild underdog at home.
Chicago Bears vs. Los Angeles Rams
Lastly, we get a fun game between the Bears and Rams. Los Angeles has looked solid overall in 2020, but they have a ball-control offense and they’re not as dominant as their record might indicate.
Neither are the Bears (not offensively, at least), but they’ve proven they’re rarely actually out of a game. Chicago tries to shoot themselves in the foot weekly, but their red zone defense is elite, and they’re going to compete.
Ultimately, this spread is just too thick. I’d be quite surprised if it didn’t shrink by the end of the week, which may mean now is the time to hop on it.
It can be crucial to jump on early NFL betting lines, and that’s really the whole point of this weekly post. Partially to remind you of that, partially to just point out the early odds, and then also to nudge you in the right direction.
Hopefully this is informative and helpful in regards to getting on good bets early.
If you need help deciding what bets are best throughout the week, of course, you can always rely on our individual NFL betting previews, which can be found in our weekly NFL picks section.
Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.
When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.