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Opening NFL Odds and Betting Lines for the 2021 Championship Round

| January 18, 2021 10:40 am PDT
2021 NFL Championship Round Odds

Round two of the 2021 NFL playoffs was about as intense as the first. The two top seeds entered play, and for stretches, the Chiefs and Packers were at risk of being bounced.

Both emerged from the Divisional Round, however, and they’ll play host during the 2021 NFL Conference Championship Round.

On the line is a trip to Super Bowl 55, and bettors can now try to decide who will punch their ticket to the big game. If you already know, feel free to head on over to the best Super Bowl 55 betting sites.

If not, join me as I break down the 2021 NFL Championship Round odds and dissect which bets stand out the most.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers Odds

Buccaneers (+4)-110
Packers (-4)-110
Over 52-110
Under 52-110

This is a relatively surprising line to get things started at BetOnline.

Yes, the Packers just handled the league’s top-scoring defense. They’re also at home, and they own the best scoring offense in football.

All of that understandably points to the green and gold being favored at home.

But the last time these two teams saw each other, the Buccaneers issued a 38-10 beatdown.

The scenery has changed, and the Packers have been on quite the tear ever since. However, the Buccaneers have the run defense, pass rush, and explosive offense to give Green Bay all they can handle.

Both teams have pretty interesting narratives backing them.

A 43-year old Tom Brady hopes to prove he can get back to the Super Bowl without the help of Bill Belichick, and the Bucs aim to be the first team to ever host a title game at their own stadium.

The Packers, meanwhile, have Aaron Rodgers hoping to put the finishing touches on an amazing MVP-type season, and Green Bay appears to have that special feeling of a “team of destiny.”

Rodgers, for one, is not taking it for granted.

Green Bay could still find a way to win, but the Buccaneers were very much the aggressor in the first meeting, and they have lost none of their fervor based on their playoff run thus far.

I’d be leaning toward the Bucs when you’re looking at the spread, and considering the value, it’s awfully hard to get away from them as an alluring underdog.

The total is perfectly reasonable.

Both offenses can drop 30+ points in their sleep, after all. Tampa Bay scored 38 all on their own in the previous matchup, and something tells me the Green Bay offense will contribute more than 10 points this time around.

For what it’s worth, the Over has gone 10-7 for the Packers and 10-8 for Tampa Bay on the year. Green Bay was also 11-6 against the spread this year (6-3 as home favorite). The Bucs were 10-8 ATS and 3-1 as the underdog.

A tight shootout could be in the cards.

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs Odds

Bills (+3)-115
Chiefs (-3)-105
Bills to Win+136
Chiefs to Win-156
Over 54.5-115
Under 54.5-105

This is a very similar betting line, but it makes a little more sense. These two sides also met earlier this year, but the Chiefs only won 26-17.

Kansas City was in control throughout that contest, but it was just 13-10 at halftime and a one-score game with eight minutes left in the game.

In theory, these teams match up extremely well, and some have said that the only team capable of stopping KC this year is, well, Buffalo.

That may be true, but the Bills still enter the 2021 AFC title game as road dogs. It’s hard to knock the pricing, either, as the Chiefs have looked as good as ever during a 15-1 campaign.

Kansas City almost ran into some bad luck last week, of course, when superstar quarterback Patrick Mahomes exited the Divisional Round with a concussion.

The Chiefs thwarted a Cleveland Browns rally to punch their ticket to the next round, however, perhaps proving their worth as a complete team beyond just the best quarterback in the NFL.

Can Buffalo actually stage the upset? I don’t see why not. Josh Allen has been playing like an MVP all year, and the Bills have edged out two very good rush offenses in Indianapolis and Baltimore.

Oddly enough, Buffalo’s defensive strength is through the air. Toss in their own explosive ability on offense, and they may be the exact thing the Chiefs don’t want to see next weekend.

The Bills are quite appealing from every angle, whether it be ATS or as a straight-up underdog this week. I’d certainly shop around for better pricing – specifically referring to the spread – but the Bills were 4-1 ATS as underdogs.

Kansas City (6-9) wasn’t always great at covering, either.

This game also carries monster shootout potential. Both of these teams can drop 30+ points in their sleep, but bettors need to consider a few things.

For one, it’s an awfully high total. Secondly, the 2021 NFL playoffs haven’t lived up to the hype in terms of scoring. Most games just haven’t been as explosive as they probably “should” be.

And lastly, the previous meeting only generated 43 total points.


Betting on the AFC and NFC Championship games looks like a lot of fun, but it’s not an easy call for either matchup.

At first glance, the pricing is pretty tight, but that’s probably how it should be. I do think the Buccaneers and Bills look like very appealing underdogs right away, and especially if the spread gets a bit thicker, I’d lean toward both sides ATS.

Betting on the NFL Championship Round game totals may be the trickiest angle when it comes to wagers for these contests. Both games could easily go Over, but from what we’ve seen in the playoffs so far, a bunch of points just aren’t guaranteed.

It’s early, but getting a quick look at the initial 2021 NFL Championship Round odds is great if you plan on doing a lot of betting.

I’ll be sure to offer my input for both games when it comes to DFS picks and NFL player props. If you want a little more insight on how to bet on the 2021 NFL Championship Round, be sure to hit up our NFL betting picks page.

Noah Davis
Noah Davis

Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.

When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.

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