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Odds and Predictions for the Women’s Soccer Tournament at the Tokyo Olympics

| July 19, 2021 10:29 am PDT

While the men’s game isn’t usually among the most popular sports at the Olympics, women’s soccer is always a big deal.

Ever since women’s soccer was introduced to the Games back in 1996, the best female players on the planet have battled it out for the gold medal every four (or five) years – and this year will be no different.

With the delayed Tokyo Olympics right around the corner, it feels like a good time to make some predictions for women’s soccer at Tokyo 2020.

This Tokyo Olympics women’s soccer betting guide tells you everything you need to know about the upcoming tournament. I assess the groups, look at the stadiums, and also detail the history of women’s soccer at the Olympics.

I then finish up by analyzing the Tokyo 2020 women’s soccer gold medal odds before ending with my predictions.

Tokyo Women’s Soccer Groups

In total, 12 countries will compete for women’s soccer gold this summer. The teams are split into three groups of four for the first phase of the tournament, with eight teams advancing to the knockouts.

Host-nation Japan is seeded, while the remaining teams have been place in their respective groups based on the FIFA Women’s World Rankings.

It is also worth pointing out that no group is allowed to accommodate teams from the same confederation.

Here are the women’s soccer groups for the Tokyo Olympics.

Group A Group B Group C
Japan China Sweden
Canada Brazil USA
Great Britain Zambia Australia
Chile Netherlands New Zealand

The Canadians – who won Bronze at both the 2012 and 2016 Games – have been drawn alongside Japan, Great Britain, and Chile in Group A.

Group B comprises two-time silver medalist Brazil, 1996 runner-up China, and two newcomers to Olympic women’s soccer – Zambia and the Netherlands.

Over in Group C, four-time champion USA is the headline act. The Stars and Stripes are joined by 2016 runner-up Sweden, as well as Australia and New Zealand.

Women’s Soccer Schedule and Stadiums for Tokyo

Tokyo’s women’s soccer tournament kicks off on Wednesday, July 21, with the final taking place on Friday, August 6. You can’t find the full schedule below.

Tokyo Olympics – Women’s Soccer Schedule

Here is the schedule for women’s soccer at Tokyo 2020.

  • Group Stage – Wednesday, July 21
  • Quarter-Finals – Friday, July 30
  • Semi-Finals – Monday, August 2
  • Bronze Medal Match – Thursday, August 5
  • Final – Friday, August 6

Once the group stage is complete, the top two teams from each group, along with the two highest-ranked third-place sides, progress to the last eight.

All four quarter-finals take place at different venues on the same day, with both semi-finals going down on Monday, August 2.

The losers of the semi-finals will go head-to-head for the bronze medal before the remaining two teams battle it out for gold and silver on Friday, August 6.

Soccer Stadiums for Tokyo 2020

Despite the name, Tokyo 2020 will see soccer matches take place across Japan, not just the capital city. Let’s take a closer look at the venues.

Stadium Location Catdacity
Nissan Stadium Yokohama 70,000
Saitama Stadium Saitama 62,000
Jatdan National Stadium Tokyo 60,102
Ajinomoto Stadium Chofu 48,000
Miyagi Stadium Rifu 48,000
Kashima Soccer Stadium Kashima 42,000
Satdtdoro Dome Satdtdoro 42,000

Tokyo’s 60,102-capacity National Stadium will stage the women’s soccer final, while Kashima’s 42,000-seater venue will host the bronze medal match, as well as one semi-final.

The other semi-final will be played at Yokohama’s Nissan Stadium – the largest in the country.

History of Women’s Soccer at the Olympics

Before we get the bookies’ odds – and my predictions – for women’s soccer at Tokyo 2020, we need to look at the history of women’s soccer at the Olympics.

By studying the history books, we give ourselves the best possible chance of landing our bets.

As the table below shows, the US has dominated women’s soccer at the Olympics. The Stars and Stripes have won four of the six gold medals on offer over the years and also claimed silver at the 2000 Games in Sydney.

Year Gold Silver Bronze
2016 Germany Sweden Canada
2012 USA Japan Canada
2008 USA Brazil Germany
2004 USA Brazil Germany
2000 Norway USA Germany
1996 USA China Norway

Germany and Norway are the only other teams to win gold at the Games, although neither nation will be competing this year.

The Brazilians have two silver medals to their name, while Japan, Sweden, and China have also finished second on the podium in the past.

Having clinched bronze at each of the previous two Olympics, Canada will be hoping to go one better this time around.

Gold Medal Odds for Women’s Soccer at the Tokyo Olympics

All the top-rated Olympics betting sites enable us to wager on women’s soccer at the games. Let’s take a look at the Tokyo 2020 women’s soccer odds.

Great Britain7.50
New Zealand101.00

You probably won’t be surprised to see the United States (1.80) at the top of the pile here. After all, the Stars and Stripes are the undisputed queens of Olympic soccer.

The Netherlands (7.00), Great Britain (7.50), and Sweden (9.00) are all relatively evenly priced, while Canada (13.00), Japan (15.00), and Brazil (17.00) are also in the mix.

Australia (21.00) and China (34.00) are miles ahead of the three obvious outsiders – New Zealand (101.00), Zambia (201.00), and Chile (251.00).

Who Will Claim Women’s Soccer Gold in Tokyo?

It’s time to take a look at the teams and make some Tokyo Olympics women’s soccer predictions.

The USA is the Clear Favorite

Priced at just 1.80 to win gold this summer, the United States is expected to go all the way in Japan. I mean, the four-time winners have been head and shoulders above their rivals ever since women’s soccer debuted at the 1996 Games.

The USA roster features some of the best female soccer players in the world. In Megan Rapinoe and Alex Morgan, the US boasts two genuine icons of the game. For players like Carli Llyod and Tobin Heath, this will be their fourth Olympic appearance.

Remarkably, the 18-player Olympic roster includes 17 players from the 2019 FIFA Women’s World Cup championship team. On top of that, eleven of the current players also competed at the previous Olympics in Rio.

With tons of experienced stars and a host of gifted youngsters thrown in for good measure, the United States will be extremely tough to beat.

Who Could Stop the US?

Great Britian feels like the obvious challenger to the USA’s throne. The British squad is stacked with big names from England’s Super League, France’s Division 1 Feminine, and beyond.

With players like Ellen White (Manchester City), Fran Kirby (Chelsea), and Nikita Paris (Lyon) on Hege Riise’s side, Team GB stands a real chance of causing the US problems in Tokyo.

Sweden will fancy their chances of toppling the United States, too. The Swede’s sit fifth in the World Rankings – ahead of rivals like England, Brazil, Canada, Australia, and Japan.

One place ahead of Sweden in the World Rankings, the Netherlands could also cause a stir this summer. Although the Dutch are making their Olympic debut this year, they boast world-class stars like Vivianne Miedema (Arsenal) and Lieke Martens (Barcelona).

Could an Underdog Upset the Odds?

I think we can discount New Zealand, Zambia, and Chile right of the bat. Priced at 101.00, 201.00, and 251.00, respectively, I can’t see any of those nations going all the way.

Elsewhere, the Canadians look like a good bet at 13.00. Let’s not forget they finished third in 2012 and 2016, and they also have players that operate in all the top leagues around the world.

I wouldn’t be surprised if Japan made waves on home soil, especially if the Japanese fans get behind the team. That said, the host nation’s roster is nowhere near the level of the USA’s.

With Sam Kerr on board, Australia can’t be written off altogether. The Chelsea forward was the top scorer in the WSL last season, bagging 21 goals in 22 appearances.

You can never write off the Brazilians, either, although their golden generation appears to have come and gone.

Wrapping Things Up

Let’s face it – the United States is the clear favorite for a very good reason. Not only have the Stars and Stripes won four of the six women’s soccer gold medals at the Olympics, but they also have the strongest roster at the Tokyo Games.

However, if you’re betting on women’s soccer at the Tokyo Olympics, backing the USA doesn’t exactly offer much value, does it?

For those of you who are looking for a safe bet, backing the US is a smart move. But if you’re feeling a bit more adventurous, I recommend siding with Great Britain.

England won the SheBelieves Cup back in 2019, and the majority of Team GB’s Olympic squad is made up of English stars. The Brits have the tournament know-how, and they also boast a hugely competitive roster.

For more advice, feel free to check out our guide to betting on Olympic soccer.

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Ben Morris
Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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