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Odds and Contender Analysis for the First English Manager to Win the Premier League

| December 7, 2021 10:37 am PDT

Want to hear a crazy fact? No English manager has ever won the English Premier League title.

Let that sink in for a second.

With a grand total of 11 members, the circle of EPL-winning managers is exclusive. Four Italians, two Scots, a German, a Frenchman, a Spaniard, a Portuguese, and a Chilean belong to the club. But there are no Englishmen on the list.

The Premier League has been – and still is – home to a plethora of world-class coaches. Alex Ferguson, Arsene Wegner, Jurgen Klopp, Pep Guardiola… the list goes on. But who will be the first English manager to win the EPL title?

Funnily enough, the best soccer betting sites enable us to wager on this topic. That’s right – you can actually bet on the first English manager to win the Premier League!

So, without further ado, let’s look at the odds before examining all the leading contenders.

First English Manager to Win the EPL Odds

Steven Gerrard7.00
Eddie Howe15.00
Graham Potter15.00
Frank Lampard17.00
Gareth Southgate21.00
Scott Parker26.00
Dean Smith51.00
Wayne Rooney67.00
Chris Wilder151.00
Sean Dyche151.00

As it stands, the bookmakers view Steven Gerrard as the frontrunner. That is almost certainly because the recently appointed Aston Villa manager is the favorite to succeed Jurgen Klopp at Liverpool.

Gerrard would have to perform a miracle to win the EPL title with Villa. However, achieving the feat with Liverpool is a very real possibility.

Eddie Howe is also among the bookies’ group of favorites. The Newcastle boss has unlimited transfer funds at his disposal, meaning the Magpies could win the title sooner than you might think.

Having made a name for himself at Brighton, Graham Potter is destined for bigger and better things. He won’t win the league with the Seagulls, but he could move elsewhere and compete for the title.

Frank Lampard is another name that continues to circulate. The Chelsea legend is currently unemployed after failing to succeed at his former club.

What about Gareth Southgate? Although the 51-year-old recently signed a new contract with the England national team, he could return to club management when his deal expires in December 2024.

Scott Parker is the only other name priced below 50.00. The up-and-coming coach has showed glimpses of real promise at Fulham and Bournemouth, but is he really a title-winning manager?

Further down the list, Dean Smith, Wayne Rooney, Chris Wilder, and Sean Dyche complete the top ten.

Why Is Steven Gerrard the Bookmakers’ Favorite?

Let’s face it – Gerrard isn’t going to win the Premier League with Aston Villa.

Sure, stranger things have happened. I mean, Leicester City’s 5,000-1 triumph back in 2016 is one of the biggest longshot wins in the history of sports betting.

But the likelihood of Gerrard leading Villa to the EPL title is next to nothing.

That said, Gerrard isn’t the bookies’ favorite to be the first English manager to win the Premier League for no reason. He is the frontrunner due to his affiliation with Liverpool.

All the top EPL sportsbooks view Gerrard as the favorite to be the next permanent Liverpool manager. If he gets the top job at Anfield, he will be in pole position to lift the trophy that eluded him as a player.

Next Permanent Liverpool Manager Odds

  • Steven Gerrard (2.50)
  • Pep Lijnders (3.20)
  • Xabi Alonso (6.50)
  • Julian Nagelsmann (11.00)
  • Rafa Benitez (17.00)
  • Thomas Tuchel (21.00)
  • Diego Simeone (21.00)
  • Max Allegri (26.00)

After learning his trade as a Liverpool U18 coach, Gerrard took up his first senior managerial role at Scottish giant Rangers in 2018. He led the Gers to their first league title in a decade and transformed the club in the process.

Under Gerrard’s watch, Rangers managed to go unbeaten throughout the entire 2020-21 Scottish Premiership season – picking up a mammoth 32 wins, along with six draws.

It feels like it is only a matter of time before the Liverpool legend manages his boyhood club. When the Reds finally part ways with Klopp, Gerrard will almost certainly find himself in the Anfield dugout.

Could Eddie Howe Really Win the EPL Title?

Before Howe took over at Newcastle, the odds for him becoming the first English manager to win the Premier League would have been astronomical.

The 44-year-old resigned as Bournemouth boss following the club’s relegation from the EPL in 2020. Over the next 18 months, he didn’t have a job – despite being linked to various sides.

However, now that Howe is managing soccer’s next potential superclub, he may never get a better chance to claim the Premier League title.

It is worth noting that Newcastle won’t win the league in 2022. The Magpies failed to win any of their opening 14 EPL games this season and look set to be involved in a relegation battle.

But if Howe can steer the club away from the bottom three and keep Newcastle in the Premier League, next season could be very interesting on Tyneside.

The Magpies have the funds to sign any players they want. Of course, big-name stars won’t flock to the club while it’s in danger of being relegated. But that will change if the team remains in the topflight.

Although Newcastle isn’t likely to win the EPL title in the next couple of seasons, it could happen further down the line. The question is: will Howe still be managing the club in a few years’ time? I’m not so sure.

Is Graham Potter Destined to Manage an Elite Club?

Potter is not your ordinary Premier League manager. Indeed, the current Brighton boss has a degree in social sciences and a master’s degree in leadership and emotional intelligence!

Following a low-key playing career, Potter managed Swedish side Östersunds for a few years before moving to Swansea City. Now, he is being talked about as a potential big-club coach.

Despite making an impressive start to the current campaign, the Seagulls are not title contenders. They won four of their first five league matches this season but have since fallen by the wayside.

Still, Potter continues to receive praise for his innovative tactics and brave approach to the game.

He may not have the most talented group of players in the EPL, but he knows how to get the best out of his squad. That’s why many believe that he could manage an elite club before too long.

Club From To Games Win %
Östersunds January 2011 June 2018 249 51.0
Swansea City June 2018 May 2019 51 41.2
Brighton May 2019 Present 102 27.5

I wouldn’t be surprised if Potter gets given the opportunity to manage one of the Premier League’s top sides in the not-too-distant future.

Let’s not forget that he was linked with the Tottenham job before Antonio Conte’s arrival in North London. If a similar role crops up soon, Potter could move on and give himself the chance to win the title.

Will Frank Lampard Get Another Chance?

It is no secret that Lampard was out of his depth in the Stamford Bridge hot seat.

After taking Derby County to the Championship play-offs, Lampard was given the opportunity to manage the club that he made over 600 appearances for as a player.

Unfortunately, the fairytale did not have a happy ending.

There is no denying Chelsea would not have appointed Lampard if it weren’t for his legendary status at the club. The ex-midfielder is a bona fide Blues icon, and that is what helped him to land the job.

Having been fired after less than two years at the helm, Lampard doesn’t have the coaching skills to manage a club of Chelsea’s stature.

For that reason, I can’t see Lampard becoming the first English manager to win the EPL title.

He may get another chance to manage at the top level again, but I don’t think he’s got what it takes to lead a team Premier League glory.

What About the Other Contenders?

I wouldn’t write off Gareth Southgate becoming the first English manager to win the Premier League title. Although he is set to stick with the national team until 2024, he could land a job at an elite EPL club after that.

On the flip side, I don’t view Scott Parker as a realistic contender. The 41-year-old has just started his managerial journey, so it will likely take time for him to reach the top of the game.

Don’t be tempted by odds of 51.00 for Dean Smith to become the first English manager to lift the EPL trophy. The former Aston Villa boss recently took over at Norwich City – one of the worst teams in Premier League history.

Wayne Rooney is priced at 67.00 for a reason. Yes, he enjoyed a hugely successful career as a player. But few would argue that he isn’t a mediocre manager.

Despite being among the most well-respected coaches in the English game, something crazy would have to happen for Chris Wilder or Sean Dyche to win the Premier League title.

Who Will Be the First English Manager to Win the EPL?

As things stand, Steven Gerrard is in pole position to become the first English manager to win the Premier League title.

He isn’t likely to win the league with Aston Villa, but if he succeeds Klopp at Liverpool, he will have the players and the resources to mount a serious title challenge with the Reds.

At 7.00, Gerrard offers great value. But if you’re looking for even better value, Potter’s price of 15.00 is worth considering.

The Brighton boss has established himself as one of the most astute and forward-thinking managers in the Premier League, so I’m confident that he will be snapped up by a top club at some stage.

At the opposite end of the spectrum, the Premier League has seen its fair share of bad managers over the years. Follow the link below to see my ranking of the worst EPL managers of all time.

Ranking the Worst English Premier League Managers of All Time

The English Premier League has seen its fair share of exceptional managers come and go over the years. From legends such as Alex Ferguson and Arsene Wenger to current-day icons like Pep Guardiola and Jurgen Klopp, England’s top soccer division has...

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Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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