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Odds and Betting Analysis for the 2022 Mexico Open

| April 26, 2022 12:23 pm PDT
2022 Mexico Open logo

The 2022 Mexico Open odds are live as Patrick Cantlay, and Xander Schauffele took home 1st place in the Zurich Classic last week. It will be the first time the Mexico Open has appeared on the PGA Tour as an official FedEx Club event.

For those of you who aren’t aware, this event is the national championship for Mexico. Incorporating it into the PGA Tour will bring recognition to golf in Mexico and be a great way to grow the sport.

132 players will be attending in the field with a healthy $7.3 million at stake. First place will take home $1.314,000, so the competition should be fierce.

With that said, let’s look at our 2022 Mexico Open guide.

Top Mexico Open Betting Sites

Before we hop into our Mexico Open betting odds for 2022, let’s make sure we’re prepared. If you were wondering where to bet on the Mexico Open, these betting sites above are your answer.

Vidanta Vallart Course

Setting up an account on the best golf betting sites is a quick and easy process. You’ll be able to place your bets for who you think wins the Mexico Open in just a few steps.

You’ll want to grab your personal information like your ID and social security number. Next, you’ll want to grab your preferred payment option. This depends on which site you choose, but there is a lot of flexibility here. You can use your usual credit or debit card, but cryptocurrency is even possible to use as well.

Picking your site is the fun part. These different sites offer great welcome bonuses to help get your account off the ground. You can use these welcome bonuses to bet more than you initially planned or place other bets throughout the site.

Once you have your preferred site, go ahead and create your account and enter your information. After that, you should be ready to go; happy betting!

Not sure where to start with golf betting? Check out our golf betting strategy guide to help get you going.

Golf Betting Strategy

Latest Mexico Open Odds for 2022

Here are the 18 top golfers on the 2022 Mexico Open odds. Like I said earlier, there are 132 total golfers in the field. These are the top options, but you can bet on every golfer. The odds are insane for the last couple of options, but their chances of winning are not good at all.

If you’re curious, a $100 bet on the last available golfer (Arjun Atwal) would return an incredible $100,000. Nothing is impossible, right?

All jokes aside, Jon Rahm comes into the odds with an insane lead. He is one of the best Mexico Open contenders in the field and could dominate the competition.

With that being said, he might not come away with the win. If he’s a bit off his game due to being in an unfamiliar course, someone else might have a chance to sneak away with it.

This being the debut of the Mexico Open in the PGA Tour could really shake things up a bit. Don’t be surprised if the winner seemed like an unlikely one when it’s all said and done.Bet on the Mexico Open at Bovada

Analyzing the Top Mexico Open Favorites

Coming into every competition, you should always look at the favorites. The oddsmakers tend to know what they are doing and price each golfer a certain way. They could be wrong, but the odds are a good indicator of who they think will pull off the win.

Let’s see if these Mexico Open top contenders are worth betting on at their current prices.

Jon Rahm (+500)

Jon Rahm

Rahm’s Mexico Open betting odds are staggering. Being only (+500) to win a whole event is insane considering the lack of experience on this course. It’s mostly due to Rahm’s incredible talent and the lack of other top golfers, but that doesn’t take away from his insane pricing.

Rahm is the top golfer coming into this event by far and away. His incredible talent mixed with the fact that there aren’t a lot of other top golfers makes his odds this low.

I would usually say that these odds aren’t worth the price considering the risk, but Rahm’s chances of winning are very high.

His last event was the Masters, where he placed 27th (tied). The one before that was much better for him, placing 9th (tied) in the WGC-Dell Match Play. Add in a 3rd (tied) place finish in the Farmers Insurance Open and 2nd in the Sentry Tournament of Champions in the 2022 season.

I would say he’s got the best chance of winning, but I would understand picking someone else due to the low payout and risk in a brand new event on the PGA Tour.

Abraham Ancer (+1800)

The good thing about Rahm being priced the way he is, is that it makes all the other options more valuable. The next person on the 2022 Mexico Open Odds leaderboard is Abraham Ancer, all the way at (+1800).

That’s a more significant jump from first to second than we are used to seeing. If you are fading Rahm, Ancer will be looked at as your next best option to win.

Ancer also did very well in the WGC-Dell Match Play, finishing in 5th (tied). He was cut in the events before and after that, so he will be looking to get back into his groove.

He did very well in his other international event in the 2022 season. It was the PIF Saudi International, where he tied for 8th. If he brings that some effort to Mexico, he can be in good shape.

Ancer being back in his home country could also play a major role here.
That’s always something to keep an eye on as well, while our own Nick Sterling likes Ancer enough to have him be his top play in his 2022 Mexico Open betting picks.

Sleepers for the Mexico Open in 2022

If you aren’t satisfied with some of the top picks, I have a couple of great Mexico Open sleepers who you might be interested in. These golfers do offer more risk than the top options, but they can still very well pull it off.

It’s about finding value in the odds and seeing which golfers could surprise at the event. I have two golfers who could be great sleeper bets and are priced as such.

Carlos Ortiz (+5000)

My first sleeper pick for this event is Carlos Ortiz. His odds have him definitely in sleeper range, ranking as the 13th (tied) option on the 2022 Mexico Open odds list.

Ortiz is another golfer that will be in his home country, so maybe that gives him the edge like Ancer. It can feel somewhat unexplained when a sleeper wins the event, so maybe that’s all it will take.

After all, Ortiz came dangerously close to winning the World Wide Technology Championship in November of 2021. He missed out on the win, but his 2nd place finish was still very impressive.

His other notable finishes in the 2022 season include:

  • 25th in the CJ Cup
  • 33rd in the Waste Management Phoenix Open
  • 39th in the Genesis Invitational
  • 47th in the Shriners Children’s Open

He’s not going to blow anyone out of the water, but the level of competition in this event could make him a surprising top option.

Alvaro Ortiz (+50000)

How about a family-friendly sleeper pair for the Mexico Open in 2022? Alvaro Ortiz is Carlos’ younger brother and could be an insanely valuable bet at his current price.

Alvaro Ortiz

You might be thinking, “Why on Earth would I bet on this big of a longshot?” I understand, but how about we take a look at last year’s winner of the Mexico Open?

That would be none other than Alvaro Ortiz. He shot a -23 and beat out Canada’s Drew Nesbitt by three strokes. He is a massive underdog in this slate, but a familiar course can get him just enough of an opportunity to win.

Alvaro also won the 61 Abierto Mexicano de Golf in 2021 and the Latin America Amateur Championship in 2019. His recent performances haven’t been great, but he can turn it around in the Mexico Open this year.

Mexico Open Prop Bets to Target

  • Jon Rahm to Place Top 5 (-115)
  • Aaron Wise to Place Top 5 (+500)
  • Abraham Ancer to Place Top 10 (+160)
Aaron Wise

Picking the outright winner of the Mexico Open is a tough thing to pull off. You can place a bet on a longshot or a top option, but there’s another great alternative option that still has value. Rahm has a stranglehold on the lead here, but placing in the top 5 or even 10 is still rewarding for these golfers.

Instead of taking Rahm to win the whole event, you can pivot and take him to finish top 5 with decent odds. He hasn’t been able to seal the deal in an event in 2022, so maybe it’s better to take a top 5 finish instead of the win.

Aaron Wise is a name to watch here too. He’s (+3300) to win, but (+500) for a top 5 finish has great value. The 25-year-old has some serious potential and could be looking to break out at this event.

He has two top 10 finishes in the 2022 season, as well as 5 more within the top 26.

Ancer is another strong golfer to bet on in this event, but his odds of placing top 10 seem incredibly valuable. He’s the second-most favored golfer to win the whole thing, so a 10th place finish could be safer than you think.

Keep In Mind

This course will be unfamiliar to a lot of the regular golfers. That could shake things up a bit and surprise all of us with some lower-ranked golfers having great outings.

Betting on the Mexico Open in 2022

In the end, the 2022 Mexico Open odds are available for your choosing. The level of competition here may not be what we are used to seeing, but that doesn’t mean we can’t try and cash some bets.

Be sure to look at some golfers that you like at their current price. Maybe a golfer hasn’t won a PGA event yet and is looking for a breakthrough. This could be their chance with lesser talent across the field.

At the end of the day, my final Mexico Open prediction is going to be Jon Rahm. He hasn’t won in a while and could take advantage of the field in this event.

This is the first year that the Mexico Open can shake things up drastically. It will be nice to see the country of Mexico represented in the PGA Tour, so maybe someone representing their home country can pull off the win, too.

All in all, be sure to head over to our golf betting picks page for some recommended picks and DFS.

Anthony Haage

Anthony is a sports writer for GamblingSites.com covering the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, and more. He also covers other various topics such as entertainment, general sports betting tips, and more.

His favorite teams are the Chicago Bears, Bulls, Cubs, and Blackhawks. He also will be a temporary fan of any team if it means winning him bets.

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