NL West Odds and Prediction for 2020 – Can Anyone Catch the Dodgers?
The Dodgers have owned their division as of late. They have seven straight NL West titles heading into 2020, and here’s the scary part.
LA’s lineup is as potent as it has ever been. Walker Buehler is a budding superstar, and a shortened season bodes really well for veterans like Clayton Kershaw and David Price.
On the flip side, there’s a lot of upside if you want to back another team to win this division. Let’s dive into this NL West betting preview and find out if anyone can catch Los Angeles.
NL West Odds to Win
If you think this pricing (reflected from BetOnline) is unappealing for Dodgers fans, you should start shopping NL West odds at some of the other top MLB sportsbooks online. For example, LA is sitting at -900 to hoist the division crown at Bovada and MyBookie.
With that being said, those interested in investing in Dave Roberts’ club may want to pounce on this MLB futures bet now. It’s hard to see LA’s odds getting any more attractive between now and the start of the season.
Los Angeles Dodgers (-750)
LA won 106 regular-season games in 2019, finishing 21 games clear of their nearest pursuer in the NL West. Now that Mookie Betts has joined the fray, maybe the -750 price tag to win the division isn’t as egregious as it looks at first glance.
Here’s a lineup that already included Justin Turner and Max Muncy, as well as Cody Bellinger, AKA the reigning NL MVP. A quick peek at the NL Rookie of the Year odds shows you that Gavin Lux is the heavy favorite, but have a look at the bottom of that blog and check out my prediction.
I’m pegging Dustin May to develop into a big-time contributor for the Dodgers in 2020.
Arizona Diamondbacks (+900)
Ketel Marte exploded last year, and I really like the acquisition of Starling Marte, but how much can we trust this rotation? Madison Bumgarner hasn’t won more than nine games in a season since 2016, and Mike Leake is dwindling.
Perhaps touts will tell you that Luke Weaver is exciting, but Robbie Ray’s inability to consistently throw strikes deters him from eating up innings.
The D-Backs clubhouse has some nice pieces in place, and they’ll probably have no problem winning more than half of their games. Unfortunately, they’ll probably need to win closer to 65% of them to keep pace with the Dodgers.
San Diego Padres (+1200)
Is it conceivable to think that San Diego could outlast Los Angeles and win this division?
It starts with getting more disciplined at the plate as they really struggled in that regard in 2019. The Pads struck out more times (1,581) than any other team in the National League, and their team batting average of .238 ranked dead last.
How will that improve?
Sandwiching Tommy Pham between Fernando Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado in the two-hole at least gives Jayce Tingler an admirable trio atop the order. And it appears that Tingler has an ace in his hole.
Chris Paddack is one of my NL Cy Young sleepers and a name that the baseball community should start getting familiar with. He throws a treacherous four-seam fastball and generates lots of swings and misses, and he won’t be limited by an “innings cap” like he was in 2019.
While I trust that Paddack will deliver, getting steady production out of the likes of Joey Lucchesi and Dinelson Lamet is another story.
Colorado Rockies (+3300)
After winning 91 games in 2018, the Rockies took a huge step back in 2019. Let’s not beat around the bush — their pitching was despicable.
Colorado led the NL in hitting, and Nolan Arenado is one of the best players in baseball, but Bud Black got nothing out of his starting rotation. Only the Baltimore Orioles had a higher team ERA than the Rockies, and German Marquez was the only pitcher in Colorado to log more than 150 innings.
Frankly, it doesn’t matter how many home runs Trevor Story rakes out if Kyle Freeland and Antonio Senzatela are going to sport ERAs north of 6.50. Until Jon Gray becomes more reliable, playing .500 baseball is likely the ceiling of this group.
San Francisco Giants (+5000)
Don’t bother taking a flier on the Giants to win the NL West at +5000. Do yourself a favor and save your money for some of the other MLB prop bets. The first issue is the batting order lacks pop, and the second problem is Gabe Kapler can’t trust anybody in his rotation.
This may be the same franchise that won three World Series titles in a five-year stretch (2010-2014), but the name on the front of the uniform is about the only thing that has remained constant.
Buster Posey is slowing down, and Evan Longoria is way past his prime. Brandon Belt watched his BA plummet all the way down to .234 in 2019,
In other words, don’t expect 2020 to be the year that San Fran returns to glory.
Prediction – Who Wins the NL West in 2020?
I’m not a fan of laying -750 in an MLB futures bet, but this isn’t the market to be bold in. Like them or hate them, the Dodgers are head and shoulders above anyone else in the NL West.
We know Dave Roberts’ batting order is going to produce runs, and Walker Buehler is on the shortlist of sincere NL CY Young candidates.
Here’s a team that used to rely on Clayton Kershaw to lead them to a division title, but oh, how times have changed.
In 2020, a healthy Clayton Kershaw would just be the cherry on top.