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NFL Win Total Betting – Predicting Raiders’ Wins in 2020
The chapter has closed in Oakland, and it’s on to Sin City. The Raiders spent time and money revamping their roster for the second straight offseason, and the excitement level surrounding this franchise has never been higher.
The betting handle involving Raiders games is going to be through the roof, and the number of people intrigued to see how this organization performs is off the charts.
Do you envision this squad improving on their 7-9 record from a season ago, or do you see the Silver and Black taking a step back?
Let’s jump right into these Las Vegas Raiders win total predictions for 2020 and see where the betting value lies.
Raiders’ Win Total Over/Under
A 6-4 start in 2019 had the Raiders positioned to capture a wild card slot in the AFC, but that’s when reality set in. Jon Gruden and company dwindled down the stretch, finishing the year 7-9 and on the outside looking in.
The offense was bolstered thanks to signing Jason Witten and drafting Henry Ruggs III, and the defense welcomes proven commodities like Maliek Collins, Cory Littleton, and Nick Kwiatkoski. Yet despite the moves that Mike Mayock made, the top NFL betting sites don’t have much faith that this team got a whole lot better. They’ve installed the Las Vegas Raiders win total at 7.5 games in 2020.
My immediate thought (as a Sin City resident) is to slam the over and just hope it works out. The savvy online sports bettor in me says “hold your horses.”
A week 1 matchup at Carolina is certainly a winnable game, but the Raiders embark on a brutal stretch after that. They’ll open up Allegiant Stadium in week 2 versus the Saints in what promises to be one of the best MNF football games on the schedule. Then they travel to New England and Kansas City over the next four weeks, with homes games against the Bills and Buccaneers sprinkled in.
As much as I want to see Derek Carr and the crew come storming out of the gates, a 1-4 start heading into the bye week is a very real possibility.
Under 7.5 Wins-125
Raiders’ Exact Win Total
To be quite clear, this is the Raiders win total bet I’d be keen to place — not the one featured in the above segment. While it’s hard to predict if Gruden will lead his team to at least eight wins, it’s a bit easier to project the Raiders winding up with between five and nine victories.
Roger Goodell rewarded Mark Davis and the city of Las Vegas with four primetime games, all of which take place at Allegiant Stadium. Plus, Vegas’ second-half schedule is at least bearable on paper. Those two factors alone should ensure that the Raiders win a minimum of five games, but getting to double digits is going to be an uphill battle.
I mentioned how tough their early-season schedule is, but I’ve barely touched on the debate of whether or not Derek Carr is even the right man for the job. I didn’t even bring up that this group ranked 31st in the NFL in takeaways or that they allowed opponents to convert a whopping 43% of their third downs.
The secondary may not improve, and Henry Ruggs III could be a bust.
Taking everything into account, I’m all for locking in “5-9” for the Raiders’ exact win total.
Betting on the Raiders in 2020
I don’t want to pick on Damon Arnette and call him one of the worst picks in the 2020 NFL Draft, but the 19th overall pick isn’t even listed among the 60+ defenders lurking on the Defensive Player of the Year Award odds sheet.
With that being said, you can back Henry Ruggs III winning the OROY Award at +1800. Considering Henry’s blazing speed and big-play potential, that’s a Las Vegas Raiders futures bet that’s fairly captivating.
Feel free to invest in Vegas winning their division or contending for the Super Bowl, but don’t forget “that Patrick Mahomes guy” and the Kansas City Chiefs still play in the AFC West.