NFL Divisional Round Odds – Early Betting Lines and Picks
The 2020 NFL playoffs exceeded expectations during Wild Card Weekend. Saturday saw the Buffalo Bills and Houston Texans duke it out in a fun overtime game, while the Tennessee Titans knocked out the defending Super Bowl champion New England Patriots.
Sunday was even crazier, as the Minnesota Vikings stormed Louisiana to take down the New Orleans Saints in yet another overtime thriller. The final game of the weekend was altered significantly pretty early on, as Philadelphia Eagles star quarterback Carson Wentz exited early with a concussion.
Wentz’s departure hurt his Eagles, who succumbed to the Seattle Seahawks, 17-9.
I had picked the Pats and Saints to face off in the title game in the preseason, and that obviously won’t be happening. Fortunately, my weekly NFL picks were a little more productive, as I got a push via the Bills at +3 and earned a win with the Titans beating what was originally a +5 cushion.
Wentz going down torpedoed my Eagles upset pick, while the Saints did not hold up their end of the bargain to help me get to the Over (missed by two points). A 1-2-1 mark will have to do through round one.
As awesome as the first round of the NFL playoffs was, it sets up even more compelling showdowns for the Divisional Round. Let’s run through all four games and see which way bettors should lean, starting with the NFL Divisional Round betting lines.
2020 Divisional Round Odds
There are already Divisional Round odds up at top NFL sportsbooks like BetOnline, so let’s get a head start on our betting research by gauging what the top wager is for each game.
- Tennessee Titans (+10) -120 vs. Baltimore Ravens (-10) +100
- Houston Texans (+9.5) -110 vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-9.5) -110
- Minnesota Vikings (+6.5) -109 vs. San Francisco 49ers (-6.5) -111
- Seattle Seahawks (+4) -110 vs. Green Bay Packers (-4) -110
The list is understandably short, as we just get four more games in the second round of the playoffs. Somewhat surprisingly, however, two of these games are presently projected as borderline blowouts, and three of four are separated by almost a touchdown or more.
This gives way to interesting interpretation as to how these teams will all match up.
Obviously, the top seeds in either conference are the Niners and Ravens, and both teams are fully expected to advance. The question, of course, is if they actually will and/or if the Titans and Vikings can put up a fight.
Elsewhere, the Chiefs and Packers are also solid favorites at home in their first game of the 2020 playoffs.
While the spreads are one thing, the game flow projects a little better than it did in round one. At least two of these games will be pushing for a total of 50 or higher, while all four are starting out at 45.5 or better.
So, which wager stands out the most for each contest? Let’s take a quick stop by each round two showdown to find out.
Tennessee Titans vs. Baltimore Ravens
Derrick Henry just bulldozed his way through one of the best defenses pro football has to offer. More specifically, he hung over 180 rushing yards on a Bill Belichick defense that is notorious for taking away an offense’s top weapon.
New England knew Henry was Tennessee’s ticket to a win, yet they had no chance of stopping him. Baltimore’s front seven is nastier than the Pats, but this is still a tough matchup for the Ravens on the ground.
Henry could easily end up setting the tone early in what figures to be a smashmouth game of ball control. Let’s not forget Ryan Tannehill, who did not shrink in the face of a tough road matchup, either.
Yes, this is the year of Lamar Jackson, who is locked in as the 2019 NFL MVP. However, the Titans are not a cakewalk matchup, and they may have proved with their round one win that they’re a legit threat to run the table.
I doubt that happens, and I don’t see Tennessee winning, but this spread just feels way too thick. The Titans have been one of the best offenses in the NFL since Tannehill took over under center (8-3 in the last 11 games), and the Ravens have a lot to deal with here.
Baltimore wins, but the Titans should make a game of it.
Tennessee Titans (+10)-110
Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs
The Texans don’t appear to be getting any more respect than the Titans are as they head into round two of the 2020 NFL playoffs. Deshaun Watson put Houston on his back with one of the best plays of the year, and a lot can be said about Houston’s thrilling comeback from a 16-0 hole.
Houston is clearly capable of winning in any type of situation, as they’ve proven all year they can hang with the big dogs, grind out close wins, or compete in shootouts. They literally put that on display earlier this season when they upset these very Kansas City Chiefs they’re facing this week, too.
Betting against Patrick Mahomes is not something I feel excited about, and I do still think KC holds serve and gets the win at home. For one reason or another, it seems bettors and the top NFL experts have been sleeping on the Chiefs in the AFC.
I wouldn’t do that when you start thinking about your favorite wager at Super Bowl betting sites, but I do think the Texans are good enough to keep this game interesting.
If Houston was going to fold, they’d have done it last week when the game felt like it was over at 16-0. Instead, they showed their fight and explosive ability against a far superior Buffalo defense.
Kansas City should win here, and a shootout is likely, but spotting the Texans almost 10 points feels like a mistake by the top sportsbooks. This should be a close one.
Houston Texans (+9.5)-110
Minnesota Vikings vs. San Francisco 49ers
The Vikings impressed me in round one. Not only did Kirk Cousins show up and deliver some clutch throws, but the team stuck with the run and allowed Dalvin Cook to dictate the tempo against a good New Orleans front.
It’s not easy to do that, but it’s also not easy to take out the Saints in their own building. Minnesota’s defense also deserves a nod here, as they had Drew Brees facing pressure up the gut and kept forcing him away from what he wanted to do.
New Orleans simply did not look like themselves and weren’t the aggressors, while the Vikings head to a brand-new hostile environment in an effort to duplicate that performance.
That’s obviously easier said than done, but there are two important things we need to remember about the Niners: Jimmy Garoppolo still may be their weak link, and their would-be elite defense has shown a lot of holes down the stretch.
Minnesota has the balance to throw the 49ers off, while their defense has enough bite to force Jimmy G into some unwanted errors. Much like the other games, I still like the favorite here. The problem is the spread is way too thick.
Minnesota Vikings (+6.5)-105
Seattle Seahawks vs. Green Bay Packers
Lastly, we have Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks heading up to the Frozen Tundra to battle Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers.
A-Rod has been hit or miss all year, but he’s still a living legend, and the Packers could have some of that Lambeau mystique in their back pocket. They probably will need it, seeing as how the Seahawks are now an insane 8-1 on the road this year.
Green Bay has been surprisingly great lately in this series. They barely lost a tough game (27-24) in Seattle last year but are 3-1 over the four previous clashes. Seattle is down to an aged Marshawn Lynch at running back, and their defense isn’t the elite unit we’ve come to know and appreciate over the years.
The defense is still pretty good, however, while the first round of the playoffs delivered a potential superstar with wide receiver DK Metcalf roasting the Eagles to the tune of 160 yards.
Metcalf could be a huge problem for the Packers, especially since they’ll also have to try to contain the dynamic Russell Wilson.
Green Bay could still control this game with their methodical offense and underrated defense, but this should be a close one. Like the three games before it, this is another one that simply feels mispriced.
Seattle is better than a 4-point dog in this setting. This feels like a game that will at worst be decided by a field goal, one way or the other. My guess is the Seahawks hang tight, and I won’t be shocked in the least if they walk away with the win to punch their ticket to the NFC title game.
Seattle Seahawks (+4)-110
Betting on the NFL playoffs doesn’t have to be hard. For the most part, you just need to pick the right bet.
Doing that early in the week when the top sports betting sites haven’t yet adjusted pricing based on how everyone is wagering tends to make that easier.
Beauty is in the eye of the beholder, and so is betting value. However, I’ve been successful all year with NFL wagers and once again feel pretty good about this week’s NFL betting slate.
Don’t just roll with me, though. We have tons of advice posts at our sports betting blog, as well as the latest odds and expert predictions at our sports betting guide. Hit up both all week long to help formulate the best possible bets.