NBA Upset Picks: 3 Games to Consider Targeting on November 7th

By Noah Davis
Published on November 07, 2017
NBA Basketball Court

Tuesday night opens up the NBA betting landscape quite a bit, as we get a healthy 10-game slate with several tantalizing wagers.

Such a big slate cracks the door open to some serious upsets, while the top NBA betting sites certainly don’t mind handing out some stellar value. The trick, like usual, will be gauging which value picks make the most sense.

We can’t always just swing for the fences because an underdog carries a staggering Money Line, but when the logic is there, we have to also be willing to bite on it. Tuesday offers at least three interesting underdog picks to pounce on:

New York Knicks (+110) Over Charlotte Hornets (-130)

There are some spots to aim high tonight, but for the most part, we’re just going to find the value where it makes sense. One such spot could come at the Madison Square Garden, where the Knicks host the Hornets.

New York has surprisingly been pretty good, as they’ve won two straight and have gone 5-1 since an ugly 0-3 start. Kristaps Porzingis has been a huge reason why and he continues to be red hot, coming off of a career-high 40-point effort.

The Hornets have kept things together at 5-5, but have lost two in a row and continue to be town two key wing plays in Nicolas Batum and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist. Charlotte still has the size and defensive aptitude to make this a tough game, while Vegas likes them by a slim margin.

Charlotte isn’t an easy out, but the Hornets are just 1-4 on the road this year and we can get the Knicks as a +110 home underdog at Bovada. We need to pay mind to the Hornets in this spot (Vegas clearly does), but it’s tough to ignore the value we get with a Knicks team that is at home and playing well.

Los Angeles Clippers (+155) Over San Antonio Spurs (-175)

We can bump up the value a bit in Texas, as Blake Griffin and the Clips battle the Spurs in San Antonio tonight. This is an awesome matchup on paper and we hypothetically get interesting value with L.A. at +155.

The Spurs make sense as home favorites at -175, but they’re still struggling to keep their head above water with star forward Kawhi Leonard still sidelined. LaMarcus Aldridge is doing a great job with most of the heavy lifting on offense, but the Spurs aren’t the safe pick they normally would be at home.

This has been a very favorable series for the Clippers, who went 3-1 in the season series a year ago and have claimed 4 of the last 6 games. Chris Paul is no longer in Los Angeles, but with Leonard also absent, the Clips may hold the mild edge they need to snag a big road win.

Both of these teams have dipped a bit since scorching hot starts and are now headed in different directions. The Spurs have won two in a row and could lean on a strong 4-1 home record.

Los Angeles has dropped two in a row and is being overlooked here, even though they have gone 2-0 on the road and have a solid balance. Ultimately, the value is what we’re shooting for here, as Blake Griffin and co. badly need a win to keep them from sliding to 5-5.

Milwaukee Bucks (+170) Over Cleveland Cavaliers (-200)

More value comes at us in this contest at Quicken Loans Arena between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Milwaukee Bucks. Cleveland will be at full strength when they welcome in Giannis Antetokounmpo and co. but are increasingly tough to trust after a rough 4-6 start.

The Bucks could be riding high with confidence for this one, as news broke recently that the team landed Eric Bledsoe in a trade with the Phoenix Suns.

Bledsoe isn’t likely to suit up for this game, but the Bucks didn’t lose any active players in the deal and should be amped to take on a Cavs team that took them down earlier this season.

The real play here is the fact that Milwaukee is going to want to kick the Cavs while they’re down and that Cleveland is not yet looking like a title-winning team. Milwaukee, on the other hand, has one of the best young talents in the game in The Greek Freak and will be looking to put the skids on a three-game losing streak.

The Bucks are shaping up as the best overall value pick on this slate and at +170 we can hope for Cleveland’s struggles to continue.
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