NBA Central Division Betting Update for January 2021
Here’s what’s we’ve learned about the Central Division now that we’re 12 or so games into the season.
- Milwaukee isn’t Invincible
- The Pacers are Legit
- Detroit is Still Really Bad
Cleveland and Chicago are treading water for now, but it’s unlikely they’ll keep pace with about 60 games still to go.
Those interested in betting on the Central Division, this blog brings you up to speed with what’s played out thus far. Before highlighting some of the biggest storylines, let’s check in on the pricing.
NBA Central Division Odds
The first thing that sticks out is how little respect the Pacers are getting. I’m in the camp that believes Caris LeVert is an upgrade over Victor Oladipo, especially when you account for Oladipo’s desire to play elsewhere.
Once the trade with Houston was completed, Damian Lillard was quick to point out that he thinks LeVert flourish in Indy’s system.
Damian Lillard on Caris LeVert being traded to the Pacers: “I think (he’s gonna) take off now.”— Legion Hoops (@LegionHoops) January 13, 2021
Keep in mind, in three games this season without KD and Kyrie, Caris stuffed the stat sheet (31.0 ppg, 9.0 apg, 5.3 rpg). Credit to Kevin Pritchard for pulling this one off.
Now it’s time to go chase down the Bucks – something that’ll be a lot easier said than done.
The Bucks Can Blow You Out
12 games in and just one has been decided by single digits – a nine-point victory over Detroit in a game that Milwaukee led by 14 after three quarters. The Bucks have lost four games so it’s not like they’re indestructible, although their eight wins have come by an average margin of 22.8 points. Milwaukee’s +11.4 differential (per game) is by far the tops in the league.
To piggyback on Milwaukee’s knack for running teams out of the gym, their first three wins of the season were all by at least 30 points. For more on why these blowouts are taking place and what it means for potential bettors, check out the post below.
Myles Turner is Having a Block Party
Malcolm Brogdon and Domantas Sabonis are both playing brilliant basketball, but it’s the anchor in the paint who keeps the wheels turning in Indiana. Myles Turner isn’t just leading the NBA in blocks per game – he’s lapping the field by a significant margin.
Leaders in blocks:— NBA Central (@TheNBACentral) January 13, 2021
Myles Turner – 45
Rudy Gobert – 29
Chris Boucher – 26
Mitchell Robinson – 21
Andrew Wiggins – 20
Anthony Davis – 19
Jarrett Allen – 19
Andre Drummond – 17
James Wiseman – 17
Marc Gasol – 17
Currently my favorite bet among the NBA Defensive Player of the Year odds sheet, Turner’s also chipping in with 1.5 steals per game.
The Pacers ultimately may not pass Milwaukee in the standings, but +700 odds at XBet are at least worth consideration. Credit to Nate Bjorkgren for the smooth transition.
The Direction of the Cavaliers
The 3-0 start was short-lived, however, the basketball community in Cleveland has reason to be excited. Collin Sexton is dropping more than 25 points per night on outstanding shooting all-around.
|Collin Sexton Shooting in 2020-21 – By the Numbers|
|Made Shots/Game||Shot Attempts/Game||FG%||3P%||FT%|
Darius Garland popped early on, and Larry Nance Jr. is showing off his extreme versatility. This team has the pieces in place to start building a sustainable product.
Unfortunately, Kevin Love has remained on the sidelines with a right calf strain and Andre Drummond is looking for a way out.
“Drummond is definitely out of Cleveland,” said the unnamed executive, via Michael Scotto of Hoops Hype. “Cleveland wouldn’t give up a first if they didn’t want Allen long-term.”
This quote is in reference to Cleveland trading a first-round pick to acquire Jarrett Allen from the Nets. Allen is averaging a double-double this season and is shooting a ridiculous 67.7% from the floor.
In other words, it appears that Drummond’s days in a Cavs uniform are numbered.
Latest Advice for Betting on the Central Division
The Bucks are probably going to win this division. Giannis Antetokounmpo is the two-time reigning MVP and Khris Middleton is still somehow vastly underrated.
With that being said, there’s little to no upside attached to -1400 odds.
The NBA Central Division bet that’s soaked in value is the Pacers at +700.
The Pacers are 7-4.— StatMuse (@statmuse) January 13, 2021
Sabonis is averaging 22/13/6 on 56% shooting.
Brogdon is averaging 23/4/8 on 47/45/88 shooting.
They just got Caris LeVert who is averaging 29/5/8 in 4 starts this season. pic.twitter.com/qSBFYZ8PV4
First-year coach Nate Bjorkgren is pulling all of the right strings, and the addition of Caris LeVert could put this squad over the top. With a few tough games looming on the Bucks upcoming schedule, I suggest heading to XBet sooner rather than later.