NBA Betting: 3 Upsets to Target on Wednesday, December 6th
Published on December 06, 2017
Bettors could have gotten in on some solid value on Tuesday night as the Washington Wizards upset the Portland Trail Blazers and the Phoenix Suns beat their +13.5 point spread in Toronto.
I didn’t unleash any NBA upset picks for a tiny three-game slate, but there was still value to be had. NBA bettors are sure to find more of that on Wednesday night, when 10 more games hit the docket.
There is always a fine line between betting value and games we absolutely have to target, but I try to locate underdogs that can offer both reliability and upside. That didn’t work out on Monday (0-3 with my upset picks), but I see a few spots basketball betting enthusiasts can exploit tonight.
Most of the value resides with road underdogs tonight, but I’m fine with targeting the Pistons at +155 in a game I think they can win.
Detroit is slumping, at the moment, with three straight defeats and a 4-6 record over their last 10 games, but they could have a chance to right the ship tonight in Milwaukee.
The Bucks are a solid 6-4 at home and trending in the opposite direction, but they tend to play at a slow pace. That fits Detroit’s style, while the Pistons could put the clamps down defensively in what should be a low-scoring affair.
Giannis Antetokounmpo is a matchup nightmare for anyone, but Detroit’s 14th ranked defense could find a way to hold the rest of Milwaukee’s offensive threats in check.
Andre Drummond is the key for the Pistons down low, as the Bucks don’t have anyone that can contest with him at either end of the court.
Drums hypothetically gives Detroit the edge at the five spot, while he should clean the glass and help contain The Greek Freak’s impact around the rim.
Tobias Harris carries the revenge factor into this one too. Once drafted by the Bucks and traded out of town, Harris could be looking to be aggressive offensively.
This game is admittedly a bit of a toss-up, as both teams play similar styles and have specific advantages. That may all equate to a wash, though, especially when we see this season series is already tied (1-1) and Detroit only lost by 4 in the game they didn’t win.
In tight battles like this, it’s important to note value and at +155, the Pistons might offer too much to ignore.
Another interesting game goes down in California, where the Los Angeles Clippers will host the Minnesota Timberwolves. These two teams met just three days ago, resulting in a 6-point Minnesota win.
The difference this time around is the T’Wolves have to travel to Cali and play at the Staples Center. The Clips also could have small forward Danilo Gallinari back for this one, which could theoretically boost their offense:
— Tomer Azarly (@TomerAzarly) December 5, 2017
L.A. already has been getting solid production out of Austin Rivers and Lou Williams and it’d be tough to hate on their +180 price if they’re only getting healthier. Rivers poured in 30 points in the last meeting between these two teams and if he can exploit that matchup again, it’d give the Clips a big boost.
Few bettors are going to take a stab at the Clippers with this team so banged up. Gallo could still be out, while Blake Griffin and Patrick Beverley are also sidelined.
There is no denying the Clips aren’t healthy, but they’re home underdogs and they’ll be facing a team they fought hard just days ago. Minnesota is also unreliable, as they come in with a weak 6-7 road record on the year and rank 24th in defensive efficiency.
Most will blindly bet on the Timberwolves, but if the Clippers can get hot early, they could hold on for a big upset win at home.
There are several NBA underdog picks to consider, but one of my favorites goes down at the Amway Center, where the Orlando Magic host the Atlanta Hawks.
The Magic got off to a nice start this year, but have been a sinking ship and at one point dropped nine games in a row. They’ve bounced back with two wins over their last three games, but they’re an uninspiring 5-5 on their home court and rank just 23rd in the NBA in defensive efficiency.
Orlando is playing better this year offensively, but on paper there isn’t anything special about their home court advantage and the Hawks might be able to score at will.
The two sides have yet to face off this year, though, so there is no way in knowing if Atlanta can rise up and give the Magic a game, or if they’ll get housed. The Hawks look very different compared to what they were a year ago, while it’s not crazy to think Orlando could take them lightly.
As bad as Atlanta has been this season (5-18, overall), they’ve still been fairly competitive. The Hawks average over 102 points per game and are a respectable 10-12-1 against the spread. In a game that profiles as one they could hang in, Atlanta offers sweet value as a potential upset pick.
There are two other potential upsets that bettors are going to be drawn to.
The Chicago Bulls (+350) aren’t a good bet on the road against the Indiana Pacers, but they obviously offer insane upside. The only real perk there is Indy plays super-fast and doesn’t defend. If the Bulls get hot, they could hang with them and snag a win.
The other big one is the Sacramento Kings (+600). They’ll be tasked with taking down the Cleveland Cavaliers, who have won a ridiculous 12 straight games.
I highly doubt the Kings are the team to end that streak, but it’s almost always the team you least expect and they just beat the Golden State Warriors not too long ago. It’s not an upset I’d put much stock in, but it’s certainly one to look at.
Overall, hopefully these three NBA upset picks pan out and if you jump on them, I hope they win you cash. Regardless of which way you bet, good luck tonight!