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Yes, the Chiefs Are Going to Win Super Bowl 54 – My Reasons Why

| January 21, 2020 2:13 pm PDT
Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid Super Bowl 54

Don’t look now, but the money has started to come pouring in on the Chiefs. While the best Super Bowl betting sites installed Super Bowl 2020 odds with Kansas City as a 1-point favorite, the line has swelled to KC -2, and we’re still more than ten days away from the game taking place.

Who knows where this line will wind up by the time the kickoff arrives?

Anyone who has been following my NFL predictions knows I picked the Chiefs to win the Super Bowl before the season began. Heck, I even doubled down on my claim when Kansas City was being left for dead at 6-4.

Taking that into account, there’s no way I could back down now. Sorry to disappoint San Francisco fans, but I wholeheartedly believe the Chiefs will capture the Lombardi Trophy in 2020.

Here’s why the Kansas City Chiefs are going to win Super Bowl 2020.

Latest Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl 54 Odds

Kansas City Chiefs (-1) -115
Kansas City Chiefs to Win -125

You won’t find these Super Bowl odds at all of the top NFL sportsbooks, but the folks at BetNow.eu have stalled when it comes to moving this line. Either that or they’re taking a stance that the 49ers will win the Super Bowl. Either way, it offers those interested in backing the Chiefs a tremendous opportunity to capture some value.

After all, ESPN’s matchup predictor tells us the Chiefs will win Super Bowl 54 64.8% of the time. Even our own machine-assisted expert spit out simulations that resulted in Kansas City emerging by an average of five points.

If you’re in the camp who’s ready to invest in the favorite, my best recommendation is to do so sooner rather than later. It won’t be long until Kansas City -1 is completely off the table.

Why the Kansas City Chiefs Will Win Super Bowl 2020

The Chiefs will slow down the 49ers’ rushing attack.

If you think Raheem Mostert and the Niners ground game is going to present a problem for Steve Spagnuolo’s defense, allow me to shed some light. Derrick Henry had busted out for 180+ rushing yards in three consecutive games heading into last weekend’s contest, yet Kansas City held the Titans RB to 69 rushing yards on 19 attempts.

Even though San Francisco trotted an impressive three-headed monster out of the backfield for the majority of the season, the burden of getting it done on Super Bowl Sunday falls directly onto Mostert. Tevin Coleman banged up his shoulder in the NFC Championship game, and therefore, his status heading into the Super Bowl is murky at best. Matt Breida showed signs of being productive early in the year, but over his last four games, he has carried the ball just 17 times for a total of 46 yards.

Assuming Raheem doesn’t “go off” like he did versus Green Bay, Jimmy Garoppolo is going to need to go toe-to-toe with Patrick Mahomes for the 49ers to win.

In that scenario, it’s safe to say I’m siding with the reigning NFL MVP.

Why the Kansas City Chiefs Will Lose Super Bowl 2020

San Francisco’s pass rush applies immense pressure.

There’s no question that the ferocity of the 49ers’ front seven is the strength of their squad. The Niners finished the regular season with 48 sacks (5th in the NFL), and they’ve accumulated nine sacks over their first two playoff games.

Kansas City can focus on doubling Nick Bosa, but San Fran has more than one guy who can wreak havoc in the trenches.

In fact, Robert Saleh’s unit boasts four individuals who racked up 6.5 or more sacks in 2019, including Dee Ford, the former Kansas City Chief. Ford returned in the Divisional Round after missing a solid chunk of the year and can’t wait to suit up against the team that let him walk.

I don’t see many versions of Patrick Mahomes not balling out, but perhaps the only one is if the 49ers front seven can consistently penetrate the Chiefs offensive line. I don’t like San Francisco’s chances in a shootout, which is why putting pressure on Mahomes and limiting his success will be absolutely crucial.

Should that pan out, then we could very well see Kyle Shanahan win a Super Bowl in the same exact venue that his father did 21 years ago.

Will the Kansas City Chiefs Win Super Bowl 2020?

Noah Davis thinks that San Francisco will win the Super Bowl, as noted on our NFL game picks page.

However, my wager on the Chiefs winning Super Bowl 2020 is already signed, sealed, and delivered. Considering I pounced on Kansas City throughout the year in the Super Bowl futures market, you can bet your bottom dollar I’ll be rooting for Andy Reid’s bunch.

I’m aware of how well San Francisco is playing and don’t want to discount all that they have accomplished. At the same time, I’m not convinced the 49ers defense is as “invincible” as everyone else believes it to be. Quite frankly, I think Tyreek Hill and Mecole Hardman will both be running circles around Richard Sherman for the entirety of the game.

Let’s not forget how the San Fran defense ended the regular season.

They gave up 46 points to the Saints, followed by 29 in a loss to the Falcons. The Rams lit the Niners up for 31, and Russell Wilson single-handedly carried the Seahawks to 21.

Once I start putting two and two together, I envision Mahomes and the Chiefs scoring a minimum of 28 points and simply being too much to handle.

Michael Wynn
Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for GamblingSites.com on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

More Posts by Michael Contact Michael Michael on Twitter

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