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Monday Night Football DFS Picks and Lineup Advice – Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears (Week 10)
This week’s Monday Night Football affair is probably going to be an eyesore. Either the Minnesota Vikings and Chicago Bears will run into each other to the tune of 40 total points, or the Vikings will run away with an easy win.
Due to math and science, those are the only two possible results.
Calm down, Bears fans. I suppose Nick Foles could stop being awful and light up a suspect Vikings secondary. I suppose.
Still, this isn’t the first game for week 10 where you probably had a lightbulb pop over your head with a “this is the game of the week!” thought. In all likelihood, it’ll be a bit of a snoozer.
To inject some excitement into this thing, let’s take a look at how we can profit from it in daily fantasy football. The best way to do that is to piece together a magical NFL DFS MNF Showdown squad.
These contests are tricky, but I have a team I like. With that, join me as I break down my Monday Night Football DFS Showdown picks for week 10.
Top Showdown Picks for MNF
- Dalvin Cook, RB, Vikings ($13.6k)
- Allen Robinson, WR, Bears ($10.8k)
- Adam Thielen, WR, Vikings ($10k)
- Nick Foles, QB, Bears ($9.8k)
Cook is a 100% smash play. He needs to be in 99% of the Monday Night Football DFS Showdown lineups you create, and most of them should find him in the Captain.
You could go wild here and fade him with the idea that the Bears shut him down, but the dude is unstoppable right now.
Dalvin Cook the last two weeks:— ESPN (@espn) November 8, 2020
478 Total Yards
Brought the shades back out ? pic.twitter.com/oIfkQpFZd7
I don’t feel the need to force Kirk Cousins here. Quarterbacks can rack up fantasy points pretty quickly due to the ball being in their hands on every single play, but Chicago’s defense is good and they’ve allowed the fourth fewest fantasy points to the position.
A few weeks ago, Cousins started off an awesome matchup with the Falcons by throwing three picks. Minnesota dug themselves a huge hole, Cook fill-in Alexander Mattison was left in the cold, and Cousins threw for the entire second half.
This isn’t the matchup to play with that strategy, but it’s there to think about.
I don’t really want Thielen, but he’s one of the best players on this slate. He’ll likely see a lot of Kyle Fuller, and if the Vikes are grinding with their running game, the volume will be down like it has been lately.
Thielen is there to toss into lineups if you do a bunch of entries, but I won’t be forcing him here.
Nick Foles isn’t good. He could struggle here or get benched, but his back is against the wall, he’s at home, and Minnesota remains – at least in theory – a very good matchup.
Chicago will also be without starting running back David Montgomery, so they may be more apt to take shots down the field.
Bears ruled out David Montgomery (concussion) for Monday night's game vs. Vikings.— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) November 14, 2020
Allen Robinson is obviously the top guy to attach to him. The problem is he isn’t 100%, and there’s a slim chance he may not play in this one.
Robinson can be a monster when his quarterback actually hits him, though, and the Vikings rank 30th against fantasy wide receivers in 2020.
These are the top plays on the board, but my priority is probably putting Cook in the Captain and then loading up on Bears as they fight from behind.
Best MNF Showdown Sleepers
- Ryan Nall, RB, Bears ($6.2k)
- Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Bears ($5.2k)
- Anthony Miller, WR, Bears ($4.8k)
- Kyle Rudolph, TE, Vikings ($3.4k)
- Artavis Pierce, RB, Bears ($1.8k)
- Riley Ridley, WR, Bears ($1.2k)
- Lamar Miller, RB, Bears ($200)
David Montgomery and Irv Smith Jr. are out on Monday, and Allen Robinson is questionable. There’s already a ton of value being opened up here, and Robinson’s potential absence would really shake things up.
Nall scored last week and stepped in after Montgomery went down, but he didn’t register a single carry. He will also share the backfield with Patterson, as well as recently called up veteran, Lamar Miller.
Matt Nagy handed over playcalling duties to Bill Lazor yesterday. When Lazor was OC of the Dolphins in 2014 and 2015, his leading rusher both years was…— Nando Di Fino (@nandodifino) November 14, 2020
(1374 total yds, 9 TDs in 2014; 1269, 10 in 2015)
I'm sure this is just a coincidence
The latter is going to be very appealing at just $200, and my guess is he’ll also be very chalky. That may be good chalk to eat, just because nobody else the Bears have is for sure a better option, and he just saves us so much cash.
Nall and Patterson are in the mix, and we also need to consider them.
If Robinson sits, Darnell Mooney, Jimmy Graham, and Anthony Miller all get an uptick in their target share. They’re all less appealing if Robinson is in, but Miller stands out as the best overall value in the event Robinson is scratched.
Ridley played last week and caught two balls for 23 yards. If Robinson misses the whole game, he’d be looking at #3 duties and would be worth a look at his price tag.
With Irv Smith Jr. already ruled out, we can also give Kyle Rudolph a look. Chicago has silenced wide receivers all year, but they rank just 24th against tight ends.
Minnesota’s passing volume shouldn’t be enough to get you excited here, but a couple catches and a short touchdown wouldn’t be crazy to hope for.
My Favorite Week 10 MNF Lineup
- Captain: Dalvin Cook, RB, Vikings ($20.4k)
- FLEX: Nick Foles, QB, Bears ($9.8k)
- FLEX: Justin Jefferson, WR, Vikings ($8.6k)
- FLEX: Ryan Nall, RB, Bears ($6.2k)
- FLEX: Anthony Miller, WR, Bears ($4.8k)
- FLEX: Lamar Miller, RB, Bears ($200)
I really hope other people are scared to roster Miller due to role uncertainty. He has been with the Bears for weeks now on their practice squad, so the familiarity with their system is there, and so is the opportunity.
As mentioned, though, I just can’t pass on the savings here. You can really aim for the fences and slide him into the Captain slot, but I don’t see the need.
I’m reserving that spot for the best player who has a real shot at 30+ fantasy points every time out, and that’s Cook. He really doesn’t need much of an argument, even though the matchup is obviously not the best.
Beyond Cook, I’ll grab Justin Jefferson as the guy most likely to benefit from Adam Thielen drawing the tougher coverage. He’s been quiet, so don’t be shocked if he springs a couple of big plays as he floats somewhat under the radar.
Nall is another isn’t a guy I love, but he’s in the mix for this Bears running game. More than anything, though, I expect Minnesota to lead in this game, and we saw Nall see a bunch of work in the passing game with the Bears trailing last week.
I am all about that, and you can also pair Anthony Miller with him and Foles. The play here is the Bears play catch-up in this one, while the Vikings haven’t fared well against the pass, regardless of how the game scripts out.
The above are my favorite Monday Night Football DFS Showdown picks, as well as my top lineup.
Since you’re working with one game, this is the type of contest where you’ll want to either just roll out one lineup and try a hard stance, or max out a contest.
The potential combinations are endless even with just one game, and it takes basically a perfect squad to win anything substantial. It’s still fun to do, adds something to the experience of watching the game, and it obviously can be rather rewarding.
We hand out regular NFL DFS picks throughout the week, as well as betting insight. Whether you like these week 10 MNF DFS Showdown picks or not, consider taking a look at the MNF betting advice linked below.