Monday Night Football DFS Picks and Lineup Advice – Ravens vs. Browns (Week 14, 2020)
The Baltimore Ravens and Cleveland Browns face off with a lot on the line on Monday Night Football.
This week 14 battle is obviously huge just for bragging rights within the AFC North, but what happens here also has a big impression on the AFC playoff picture.
If Baltimore loses, they might not even make the playoffs. If the Browns lose, the Ravens could potentially leapfrog them in the standings in short order.
There is a lot to consider here and a lot of ways to bet on this game. I’ve got your back for the fantasy side of things, as I’m offering my Monday Night Football DFS Showdown picks for week 14.
You can also get an idea of where my head is at with a look at my Ravens vs. Browns player prop bets. For purely DFS insight, read on for my top picks, sleepers, and favorite lineup for this week 14 primetime clash.
Top Showdown Picks for MNF
- Lamar Jackson, QB, Ravens ($11.8k)
- Nick Chubb, RB, Browns ($10.2k)
- Baker Mayfield, QB, Browns ($10k)
- Jarvis Landry, WR, Browns ($9.4k)
- Mark Andrews, TE, Ravens ($8.8k)
- Marquise Brown, WR, Ravens ($7.4k)
I’m leaving out J.K. Dobbins when you look at the top players in terms of price. Cleveland has a good run defense that shut Derrick Henry down, so I’m not so sure all of the Ravens rushers will find a lot of success in this spot.
You can still use Dobbins, but I won’t prioritize him.
Instead, I am eyeing a Ravens passing game stack, and I will highlight Jackson, Andrews, and Brown. Brown stretches the field, and could prove useful against the Browns (26th vs. WRs).
Andrews finally is back from a COVID-19 absence, and he gets a Cleveland secondary that also struggles (31st) at containing tight ends.
You better believe it’s a welcome sight for Lamar Jackson, too.
Lamar Jackson on the return of TE1: “It’s wonderful to have Mark [Andrews] back.”— Jonas Shaffer (@jonas_shaffer) December 10, 2020
And a call-back to where he thinks Andrews ranks among the NFL’s best. “Top two, not two.”
The Browns don’t have a great history against Jackson and the Ravens in general, so I am all about Baltimore through the air on MNF.
Obviously it’s pro football, so things can get weird. That means Nick Chubb is still on the table, and you can factor in Baker Mayfield for their passing game.
You do not always need to force the top runner or a second quarterback, though, and I’d remind everyone that the last time Mayfield faced the Ravens, he notched 10 fantasy points.
Jarvis Landry may be the only Cleveland skill player I’m excited to use. He’s just got such a nice role and if the Browns trail (as I think they will), he should have the game script favoring him.
You know my strategy here, but any of the guys listed about would make for fine MNF DFS Showdown picks, and could be viable Captain plays.
Best MNF Showdown Sleepers
- Willie Snead, WR, Ravens ($5.8k)
- Gus Edwards, RB, Ravens ($5.2k)
- Donovan Peoples-Jones, WR, Browns ($4.8k)
- Miles Boykin, WR, Ravens ($2.2k)
- David Njoku, TE, Browns ($1k)
Baltimore wants to run the ball a lot, but this isn’t really the best matchup to find a ton of success with that.
It could force them to throw a bit more than they’d like, and that could allow for some nice MNF Showdown sleepers to emerge through the air for them.
One might be Snead, who could go overlooked as he returns from a COVID-19 related absence.
Miles Boykin is far cheaper and scored last week. He’s also in play to an extent, as Dez Bryant is in limbo thanks to a bunch of weird COVID-19 test results.
You can even go with Baltimore’s ground game if you wish. Dobbins is the top guy in terms of price and role, but Edwards (101 rushing yards last week) is the superior value.
I will probably seek my value through Cleveland’s passing attack in some manner, though. They could be playing from behind on Monday Night Football, and if so, someone like DPJ could stand out as a nice value.
Of course, Showdown slates are a great time to get creative, and backup tight end David Njoku stands out as a great salary saver.
Normally he’d be a bad punt, but it doesn’t sound like starting tight end Austin Hooper will be active for this game.
Harrison Bryant is the clear benefactor given that news, but that should spike his ownership. I might just use the cheaper Njoku and hope he busts a big play and/or scores.
My Favorite Week 14 MNF Lineup
- Captain: Lamar Jackson, QB, Ravens ($17.7k)
- FLEX: Marquise Brown, WR, Ravens ($7.4k)
- FLEX: Mark Andrews, TE, Ravens ($8.8k)
- FLEX: Gus Edwards, RB, Ravens ($5.2k)
- FLEX: Jarvis Landry, WR, Browns ($9.4k)
- FLEX: David Njoku, TE, Browns ($1k)
I don’t know how contrarian this MNF DFS lineup will be, so feel free to use a different Captain or pivot elsewhere. I just love this squad, and it aligns with my thought process of thinking the Ravens dominate this game.
Cleveland wants to run, so if you think they make it happen, build around Nick Chubb and/or Kareem Hunt. My guess is the Ravens sell out to stop that strategy, though, and force Baker Mayfield to beat them.
To this point, Mayfield has been pretty average, or he’s torched bad defenses. Recency bias might get people onto him after he exploded against the Titans, but Tennessee’s defense is awful.
Before that, Mayfield had two total passing scores in his previous four games. He’s been very much an all-or-nothing DFS option this year, and in a likely negative game script (in my opinion, at least), he will force the issue and have some issues.
That said, I think he can do enough to have Landry pay off when you look at his role. And the absence of Hooper and Njoku’s athleticism (as well as his price) make the backup tight end stand out to me.
As for the Ravens stack, it is just a string of obvious smash plays when you look at the matchup.
I don’t expect Lamar Jackson to be contrarian in any sense, but it’s pretty likely he’s the top overall scorer here.
Unless you think a bunch of guys are going to put up 25-30 fantasy points in a game most NFL betting sites list with a 45.5 game total, you probably want to consider just sliding him in the Captain spot now.
From there, it’s pretty easy to connect the dots to Brown and Andrews. Brown is Lamar’s main deep threat and he hung 100+ yards on Cleveland in week one.
Andrews is finally back and scored against the Browns back in week one, as well.
Edwards is a nice cheap addition to cater to the whole “Baltimore likes to run” mantra.
This lineup isn’t the most contrarian, but it actually has some legs when you consider I am fading most of the Browns.
Cleveland will be the underdog in this spot, but they’re at home and coming off a huge offensive explosion. People will want to start to believe in them, and whether you think they win or not, fading Nick Chubb is going to feel a bit risky.
While true, I’ll take my chances with a Ravens stack, and run it back with two Browns I think are involved as Cleveland plays catch-up.
Hopefully my Monday Night Football DFS Showdown picks treat you well. Good luck, and enjoy the game!