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MNF DFS Picks and Lineup Advice for Week 13, 2020
Normally I’d be preparing to break down one game and offer my Monday Night Football NFL DFS picks for a Showdown contest.
Not today, my friends.
Nay, thanks to COVID-19, the NFL pushed two games back. One is dropped on MNF, giving us a fun Monday Night Football double-header, and the other makes Tuesday night football a thing.
I’ll provide NFL DFS Showdown picks when the time comes for the latter, but for now, join me as I break down my favorite Monday Night Football DFS Picks for week 13, 2020.
Top NFL DFS Picks for MNF
- Josh Allen, QB, Bills ($7.3k)
- Raheem Mostert, RB, 49ers ($5.8k)
- Terry McLaurin, WR, Washington ($6.5k)
This isn’t your usual list of daily fantasy football picks, as this is a tiny slate. I also don’t really want to list plays that I’m personally not super high on.
Josh Allen is not totally necessary for this slate, but it’s pretty arguable nobody actually touches the upside he offers. The Niners are not an easy matchup and are playing well, but he played terribly in his last game and still accumulated 17 fantasy points.
Allen is averaging 26 fantasy points per contest, and even if the 49ers hold him in check, his big arm and rushing ability will probably make him worth rostering.
Mostert looked pretty healthy as he touched the ball 18 times and scored a touchdown in his return from injury last week. I also love Antonio Gibson, but Mostert is cheaper and simply better.
He’s a great play against a spotty Bills defense that has given up the 8th most fantasy points to running backs over the last four weeks.
The only other top play I feel is really worth paying up for is Scary Terry. Just keep in mind that he’s a bit banged up and technically enters this game with a questionable tag.
I’m sure he plays, and if so, he’s probably good for a big play or three. Pittsburgh has a good defense, but they’ve regressed a bit lately and just last week got burned by Marquise Brown.
And McLaurin is the type of player who can do a ton of damage after the catch, anyways.
Most catches of 15+ yards on slants:— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) December 5, 2020
? Terry McLaurin – 6
No other player has more than 3 ? pic.twitter.com/PUCHz6c38G
Best MNF NFL DFS Sleepers
- Nick Mullens, QB, 49ers ($5.1k)
- Jeff Wilson Jr., RB, 49ers ($4k)
- Cole Beasley, WR, Bills ($4.9k)
- Jordan Reed, TE, 49ers ($3.2k)
Basically a list of 49ers, am I right? Pretty much, as San Francisco offers some of the best MNF DFS sleepers, and they also happen to have the best matchup on the slate.
Mullens is slightly more expensive than Alex Smith, but he’s probably the best value among the quarterbacks. His team prefers to run as much as possible, but he’s facing a Buffalo defense that has allowed the 6th most fantasy points to passers this year.
Buffalo has also not been great against running backs, so you can save cash with guys like Wilson and Reed, too.
I’d be much more inclined to roster Reed, of course, seeing as the tight end position is where fantasy points go to die in 2020.
There’s also Cole Beasley on the other side of that game. He should benefit greatly from a tough matchup that likely limits Buffalo’s potential down the field. That was my logic when looking at the top Bills vs. 49ers player prop bets to target, at least.
If that holds true, he could be very busy in this one.
My Favorite Week 13 MNF DFS Lineup
- QB: Josh Allen – Bills ($7.3k)
- RB: Raheem Mostert – 49ers ($5.8k)
- RB: Antonio Gibson – Washington ($6.5k)
- WR: Terry McLaurin – Washington ($6.5k)
- WR: Cole Beasley – Bills ($4.9k)
- WR: Chase Claypool – Steelers ($6.1k)
- TE: Eric Ebron – Steelers ($4.4k)
- FLEX: Deebo Samuel – 49ers ($6k)
- DEF: Washington Football Team ($2.5k)
One thing that you need to do – especially if you’re only making a handful of MNF DFS lineups – is take some stands.
Here’s mine; Washington is going to be the first team to beat the Steelers, and the 49ers pass defense is going to be a problem for Buffalo. And if the Niners can hold a lead, they’re going to run for as long as the Bills allow them to.
Josh Allen is expensive and his matchup stinks, but he also can run. This gives him the best floor/ceiling combo on this slate, and it can’t hurt that the Niners rank dead last in stopping dual threat passers this year.
Mostert is in a crowded back-field, but he leads it. You can get cute rolling with one of the many other bodies there, but he’s getting the most touches and is probably the best bet to score.
Gibson has a tough matchup in theory, but the Steelers aren’t as imposing now that they lost two star linebackers. I also have him scoring as a lock in my Washington vs. Steelers player props.
I think he eats here.
I don’t want crazy exposure to the Washington offense, but I’ll use their high usage stars. That includes McLaurin, who has the speed to burn a good Steelers secondary.
Stefon Diggs is a calculated fade for me, and I hope he is 70% owned. Beasley is going to be very busy in this game, and I hope he gets overlooked.
You can pick your poison among Steelers receivers. I’ll go with the two best bets to score inside the red-zone in Ebron and Claypool. Washington is otherwise quite good against the pass, so I’ll be betting on scores here, rather than catches and yardage.
Deebo Samuel is a very tantalizing FLEX play. People won’t automatically flock to him because he isn’t really used like a traditional #1 receiver.
He’s still utilized quite a bit, though. He’ll be active in this spot, and I think he crushes.
Lastly, the Washington defense is very appealing here.
Pittsburgh has been winning ugly lately – and often in 2020 – and they’ve also been super reliant on their passing game. If that doesn’t change here, Washington’s pass rush and strong pass defense could make life hell for Ben Roethlisberger.
You can certainly apply my Monday Night Football DFS picks and top lineup to Showdown slates if you choose, but given the two-game slate, I opted to keep things traditional.
If you like to bet on the NFL, it may also make sense to use some of my logic to bet on Monday Night Football games this week. There’s two of them, so you can certainly pick your spots.
Should you require a little extra help, hit the two MNF week 13 picks linked below.