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MMA DFS Picks and Lineup Help for UFC 256

| December 10, 2020 6:28 am PDT
MMA DFS Picks and Lineup Advice UFC 256

A massive UFC event is upon us this weekend, and it does not want for star power. Deiveson Figueiredo is back again as part of the main event, as he just fought on November 21st.

That’s quite the quick turnaround, and he’ll be tasked with taking out a worthy challenger in Brandon Moreno.

The headlining act is not where the excitement stops, as massive names such as Tony Ferguson, Charles Oliveira, Ronaldo Souza, Kevin Holland, and Junior dos Santos are all scheduled to show up for UFC 256.

Even scrappy veteran Cub Swanson is on hand for the festivities.

It’s a huge event, and one could argue it’s the best of the year. There will be many reasons to tune in, but being able to bet on UFC 256 in some fashion just might take the cake.

If you’re interested in doing so, check out our best bets for UFC 256. For the daily fantasy side of things, let’s dive into my UFC 256 DFS picks and lineup advice.

Deiveson Figueiredo ($9k)

If you place just one bet on UFC 256, make sure it’s backing Deiveson Figueiredo. The guy is just on fire right now, and as Adam Haynes details in his Figueiredo vs. Moreno betting preview, he feels virtually unstoppable.

I tend to agree, as Figueiredo has ended fights early in 17 of his 20 career wins, and the dude has never been finished himself. His lone decision loss came in 2019, and he’s ripped off five impressive wins since then.

Each of his last four have come via finish, with three going down in the first round. It hasn’t been against scrubs, either, as he easily handled the likes of Tim Elliott, Joseph Benavidez (twice), and Alex Perez.

The guy just seems to be one step ahead of his opponent at every turn, and he can end the fight in the blink of an eye.

Obviously, Brandon Moreno (10 career submissions) is a dangerous opponent, but sometimes guys are just unbeatable for specific stretches. It would take something wild to see “Daico” go down, and I don’t envision it happening at UFC 256.

When making MMA DFS picks, you need two things; a win and as many fantasy points as you can acquire. Early finishes are the easiest route to both, and I think we get that with Figueiredo.

Charles Oliveira ($7.6k)

If you thought I just hype up Adam Haynes’ UFC picks when I piece together my daily fantasy MMA picks, you’d be wrong.

Haynes is right more than he’s not, but sometimes we simply disagree on the way a fight will go. 

To be perfectly honest, that’s probably often because the other side of the find is a bit more contrarian, offers crazy upside, and/or the fight is simply a toss-up, to begin with.

I’m going against the grain (and Haynes) with this pick, as I love Charles Oliveira to pull off the upset against Tony Ferguson. If you’re betting on UFC 256, though, be sure to hear Haynes out in his Tony Ferguson vs. Charles Oliveira betting pick.

That said, the 36-year old Ferguson looked like a shell of his former self in his last outing. It’s true that prior to that poor effort (he got abused by Justin Gaethje), “El Cucuy” was one of the most complete fighters on the circuit.

It’s entirely plausible that he simply ran into a great fighter and didn’t bring his A-game.

Like Mulder, I want to believe.

That said, Ferguson is aging, his last effort was quite poor, and he can’t make the same mistakes against such a dangerous fighter like Oliveira.

The latter is also vulnerable to being finished, but that really hasn’t been the case in some time. The guy has some pretty “good” losses on his resume, but he’s cleaned up his technique in recent years, not having lost since 2017.

Oliveira has won each of his last seven bouts – all by early stoppage – and he carries a mind-boggling 27 career finishes into this fight.

He says he’ll make it eight in a row this weekend.

Yeah, Ferguson is the bigger name, the more well-rounded fighter, and perhaps the safer play. But for DFS specifically, Oliveira’s value and upside are precisely the reason to stick your neck out a bit.

And for betting’s sake, Oliveira (+145 underdog at BetOnline) may be one of the best UFC 256 upset picks to consider.

Kevin Holland ($8.2k)

I’m a little surprised to see Haynes go against Kevin Holland, too, but I totally get it when he’s facing an experienced fighter like Ronaldo Souza.

Haynes breaks things down beautifully in his Souza vs. Holland betting prediction. However, I’m on the opposite side of this one, as both fighters appear to be trending in very different directions.

The aging Souza (now 41) proved in 2018 that he can still finish people (KO wins over Derek Brunson and Chris Weidman), but he’s also been pretty beatable. His resume is as good as anyone’s, but the consistency with his stoppage ability hasn’t been there (2-4 over his last six fights).

To be fair, he’s run into powerhouse fighters such as Robert Whittaker, Kelvin Gastelum, Jack Hermansson, and Jan Blachowicz, with all of these fights making up his only defeats dating back to 2017. And the only other loss he had after 2011 was to the violent Yoel Romero, who he took to a decisive defeat.

The point? I’m very aware of how good Souza is, and it won’t be easy for Holland to take him out.

However, I want more value and upside, and this slate is taunting me with it. Getting the finish will not be easy for Holland, but Souza has been stopped four times before, and ending fights early is kind of what Holland does.

He’s done so three times in his last four bouts, while he’s lost just twice since 2017. None of his career defeats have come via KO, and his resume is also quite strong, with his most recent two losses coming to Brendan Alen and Thiago Santos.

This admittedly could go either way, but I favor the younger and more explosive Holland.

Top MMA DFS Lineup for UFC 256

  • Deiveson Figueiredo ($9k)
  • Charles Oliveira ($7.6k)
  • Kevin Holland ($8.2k)
  • Cyril Gane ($9.2k)
  • Billy Quarantillo ($8.5k)
  • Virna Jandiroba ($7.5k)

I don’t think I’m really going out on a limb with my top three MMA DFS picks this week. Are they somewhat risky when it comes to Oliveira and Holland? Yeah, but that’s the case with anyone in MMA DFS.

Those plays all look very good on paper, and the upside is obvious.

The trick, for me, is filling out the rest of my UFC 256 daily fantasy MMA lineups.

I think we can do it with Gane, Quarantillo, and Jandiroba, though. Gane is an up and comer who is just physically more impressive than a rapidly declining Junio dos Santos.

The nostalgia in me hopes dos Santos can turn it around after some tough losses to good fighters, but it’s likely he’s just going to get KO’d again.

Quarantillo is on a tear and is now 3-0 in the UFC with two nice finishes. His opponent has kept things clean (one loss), but he’s the better fighter. My other value is Jandiroba, and you need one more MMA DFS sleeper to make this lineup work.

She’s one of my riskiest MMA DFS picks this week, but she also is a submission guru (13 career submissions) with one loss to her name. Her only loss came to the tried and true Carla Esparza, and the skill-sets are very similar when she faces the favored Mackenzie Dern.

It’s a close call, but I think she’s the better value and the more intriguing DFS play. She also makes this squad work, so I don’t mind a little risk.

Overall, UFC 256 is going to be an insane amount of fun. It’s probably the best card of the year, and it should make for fun betting and DFS play. Hopefully, my MMA DFS picks help you out or allow you to make some quality bets.

If you do plan on betting on UFC 256, just be sure to stop by the best UFC betting sites.

Noah Davis
Noah Davis

Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.

When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.

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