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MLS Betting in Week 6 – Odds, Predictions, and Picks

| April 3, 2019 12:00 am PDT
Soccer Stadium, MLS Logo

It was a weekend of goals in MLS with over 40 in the twelve week-5 games.

Sporting Kansas City ran riot at home to Montreal, putting seven past the Impact keeper to record the biggest win of the season so far.

Houston, Dallas, and Toronto also all managed four in their games — and Western Conference leader LAFC was able to beat the hapless San Jose Earthquakes 5-0 away from home.

With some teams still only having played three games, there is a long way to go before the two conferences start to bed in for the season, but we are already beginning to see who will likely be challenging for honors this year.

The big game in week 6 is the matchup between DC United and LAFC at Audi Field. Both sides go into the game undefeated and leading their respective conferences — it promises to be an early-season classic.

Here’s my full week 6 MLS betting preview with predictions and value picks.

Latest MLS Cup 2019 Odds

Before I get into the week 6 games, I thought I’d take a quick look at the best soccer betting sites for the updated MLS Cup odds.

Here’s where we’re at right now.

LA Galaxy+650
Seattle Sounders+700
New York Red Bulls+800
Atlanta United +1000
New York City FC+1000
DC United+1000

LAFC’s thrashing of the Quakes sees its odds shorten again, and the favorites board has a distinctly west coast flavor at the moment. The Red Bulls’ surprise defeat at Chicago forced the bookmakers to consider Seattle as a better option.

DC United only just managing to beat Orlando probably explains its odds remaining the same even though they head the Eastern Conference.

There will no doubt be further movements in the outright winner market after this weekend’s games.

Week 6 Previews and Picks

Here are my previews and picks for week 6 of MLS 2019.

LA Galaxy at Vancouver Whitecaps

LA Galaxy +160
The Draw+250

Vancouver picked up its first point of the season last week, recording an impressive draw against Cascadian rival Seattle. It was always going to be a tough start to the season for the Whitecaps with such a turnaround of personnel, but their confidence will be high going into this one at home.

Zlatan Ibrahimovic was once again the main show for the Galaxy as he scored both goals (both penalties) in the victory over Portland. LA had probably its best team out last weekend and may have hoped for a more decisive victory against a Timbers team who is already struggling with its extended road trip start to the season.

The Galaxy do not always travel well, and with Vancouver starting to find its feet now, I feel the home crowd could spur the Whitecaps on to a share of the points.

PICKThe Draw+250

Montreal Impact at New York City FC

New York-150
The Draw+320

Montreal’s over-reliance on Ignacio Piatti was shown in dramatic fashion last week as the Impact was thrashed 7-1 by SKC in his absence, but two wins out of four successive away games puts some perspective on what the fans and players will hope was just a bad day at the office. A trip to the Bronx could be another tough one, though.

New York’s defeat at Toronto is probably only getting little coverage because of the score line in Kansas City, but it was NYCFC’s worst performance of the season to date and leaves Domenec Torrent’s side still without a win.

The Impact will want to put last week’s humiliation behind it, so a close game is probably in store. But New York should have too much at home for the Canadian side. Those odds don’t look too inspiring, though.

PICKNew York-150

Chicago Fire at Toronto FC

The Draw+320

Chicago’s win over the Red Bulls last week was its first three-point haul of the season, and even if not many fans were in attendance, the Fire may be a team to look out for this season. New designated player Nicolas Gaitan came off the bench at the weekend and could add some much-needed firepower to Chicago’s attack.

Toronto is making a mockery of pre-season predictions that the Canadian outfit would struggle without its star players. The 4-0 defeat of NYCFC was its third in a row, and with Alejandro Pozuelo showing how good he can be this season by scoring twice on his debut, it might be another good season for the 2017 MLS Cup winners.

Toronto will use home advantage to good use and grab another three points here.


LAFC at DC United

DC United+125
The Draw+260

This is undoubtedly the game of the weekend as the leading team in the Eastern Conference hosts the best from the west.

Both sides have started the season brightly, and Los Angeles is now regarded as the team to beat according to the bookmakers. Even taking into consideration the opposition last week, a 5-0 victory away from home has to be applauded, and Carlos Vela now has six goals in just five games.

Wayne Rooney added another goal last week to the three he managed against RSL and will be the main point of danger for a DC United side that has not attracted as much interest from the bookmakers given its impressive start to the campaign.

Ben Olsen’s team is looking the best in the East by quite a margin, but this will be a whole new test, and the price for the draw here looks like the most attractive wager.

PICKThe Draw+260

Minnesota United at New York Red Bulls

New York -167
The Draw+300

Minnesota is another team forced to endure repeat away trips this season, but two wins out of four have given the Loons some cause for celebration.

Last weekend’s defeat to an increasingly desperate New England side was a setback, however, and head coach Adrian Heath may be looking past the Red Bulls to the first game at Allianz Field next week as a chance for more points.

It’s not really started this season for the Red Bulls with last week’s disappointing loss to the Fire, meaning New York has only won one of its opening four. Add to that the CCL exit, and it has been a campaign to forget so far. Bradley Wright-Phillips has to come good at some point, though, and could be the difference against Minnesota.

PICKNew York-167

Colorado Rapids at Orlando City

The Draw+300

Still winless from five now, and Tim Howard’s farewell season is looking anything but celebratory. The manner of the defeat to Houston last week will be the most dispiriting aspect for Rapids fans, and this is a team who needs to find a way out of the early-season slump it finds itself in if the playoffs are to be even a faint possibility.

Orlando felt the challenge that led to DC’s second goal last week was not worthy of a free kick, but the fact that Rooney was able to score from near the corner flag to hand his side the win should be more of a worry for the Lions.

It has been a slow start to the season for Orlando, and the odds for a draw stand out here.

PICKThe Draw+300

FC Dallas at Philadelphia Union

The Draw+260

Dallas has started the season impressively once again, and the two goals from youngster Paxton Pomykal in the win over RSL bodes well for the future. The Toros always seem to feature in the post-season, and this year does not look like it will be any different. Another three points would definitely keep the pressure on its rivals at the top of the Western Conference.

After a terrible start to the season, the Union has turned things around with two successive victories over Columbus and a confident FC Cincinnati last time out. David Accam scored another last week to add to his tally, and star player Marco Fabian also contributed to a great team effort to grab all three points.

This should be a really good game between two sides looking good for playoff soccer this season. The draw seems like the most attractive wager.

PICKThe Draw+260

New England Revolution at Columbus Crew

New England+400
The Draw+300

Head coach Brad Friedel has promised a designated player is on his way to Foxborough Stadium, and even with the hard-fought win over Minnesota last week, a new arrival cannot come too soon for the Revolution.

Never the best of travelers, a win in Ohio looks like a big ask for New England, and it would be a surprise if it posted back-to-back victories.

Caleb Porter is getting the job done in Columbus as his Crew team sits just behind DC in the Eastern Conference and has only lost one game all season. Goals have been hard to come by, however, and Porter will be hoping that Gyasi Zardes will carry on his USMNT form for his club side.

The price for a home win is not attractive here, but I can’t see this game finishing any other way.


Portland Timbers at San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose+170
The Draw+250

Portland was unlucky against the Galaxy last week and scored a wonderful team goal that will give the Timbers some much-needed confidence considering the side is still winless. The long run of away games is not helping, but a trip to San Jose could be just what Giovanni Savarese’s side needs.

Four defeats in four — and nine goals conceded in the last two games — means that the Quakes need to start the season soon before things really get out of hand.

The worrying thing for head coach Matias Almeyda must be that his team has looked much poorer than any of the opposing teams it has faced, and it’s difficult to see what can be done to change that at the moment.


Real Salt Lake at Seattle Sounders

Salt Lake+500
The Draw+320

Four red cards in three games has not helped Real Salt Lake’s chances this season, but its form has not been very impressive either so far, and three successive defeats tells its own story. Mike Petke’s side is in the middle of a very tough run of games, though, so maybe an upturn is just around the corner.

Seattle’s rampant start to the season was dampened somewhat by a surprising draw against Vancouver last week. The Cascadia Cup element may have had something to do with that, but it was a shock for Seattle to not score against a Whitecaps defense that has looked poor this season.

It should be back to normal for the Sounders this week, though, as a home win is definitely on the cards here.


Sporting Kansas City at FC Cincinnati

Kansas City+210
The Draw+140

Last week’s demolition of Montreal was the MLS performance of the season so far, but SKC will be traveling to Cincinnati after a midweek trip to Monterrey in the CCL. It was good to see that Sporting didn’t just sit on a two-goal lead against the Impact but went for the jugular and ended up routing its hapless opponents.

Cincinnati was brought down to Earth last week after an electrifying start to the season that had seen the Ohio team share a draw with reigning champion Atlanta before shutting out both Portland and New England. The defeat to the Union could serve as a wake-up call for Cincinnati that the MLS season is a long one.

Without the trip to Mexico in midweek, I would have gone for an SKC victory here, but taking that into consideration, I’m going with the draw.

PICKThe Draw+140

Final Words

With five weeks gone, we are starting to see who the form teams will be this season, and the likes of LAFC and DC United are already showing MLS Cup-winning form.

But it’s only the beginning of a very long MLS season that promises a few more twists and turns yet.

Dan Roberts

Dan Roberts is an experienced freelance writer specialising in sports and sports betting. He is particularly knowledgeable about world soccer, but also writes about football, basketball and cricket.

As a fan of Nottingham Forest, New York Knicks, Minnesota Vikings and New York Mets, Dan has not had much to celebrate recently.

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