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MLS Betting in Week 12 – Odds, Predictions, and Picks

| May 16, 2019 12:00 am PDT
MLS Week 12 Betting Preview

There were some big results last week as LA Galaxy lost twice in four days to lose ground to its city rivals LAFC — and put a smile on Bob Bradley’s face.

Philadelphia Union kept up its good form to stay top of the east, but DC United is keeping with the U all the way as it beat Sporting Kansas City.

Reigning champions Atlanta also won twice to boost its chances of a playoff spot come the end of the regular season, suggesting that its early form was just a momentary blip.

There was another managerial casualty as well as the Revs showed Brad Friedel the door. They brought in former USMNT head coach Bruce Arena in an attempt to kick-start New England’s woeful start to the season.

With plenty of fixtures ahead in week 12, let’s get into my latest MLS betting preview.

MLS Cup 2019 Outright Winners – Latest Odds

Before I get into the weekend’s games, I thought I’d take a quick look at the updated odds for MLS Cup 2019 winner, courtesy of MyBookie.ag.

LAFC+400
LA Galaxy+700
DC United+900
New York City FC+900
Seattle Sounders+1100
Toronto FC+1200
Atlanta+1200
Philadelphia Union+1400

LAFC’s win last week has caused its odds for the MLS Cup to shorten slightly, but the big moves come from NYCFC and Philly, who see their prices slashed thanks to some very good performances over the last few weeks.

LA Galaxy’s two defeats have seen its price lengthen but is still fancied more than any of the Eastern Conference teams to be lifting the trophy at the end of the year.

Now here are my previews and picks for this weekend’s games in MLS. All game odds are also courtesy of MyBookie.ag, but I recommend shopping around for the best odds for any wagers you choose to place. Check out our list of top betting sites for some alternative online sportsbooks to consider.

Vancouver Whitecaps at Sporting Kansas City

Vancouver to Win+537
Kansas City to Win-243
The Draw+343

Vancouver fans will probably think such a big price for a Whitecaps win seems unfair considering the way the team has played in the last few weeks. The Cascadia Cup victory over Portland saw the Canadian side move above the playoff line for the first time this season, and things are looking up for Marc Dos Santos’ men.

After losing to DC last week, SKC is now winless in six and shipping goals. But a couple of wins would put Peter Vermes’ side right back in the playoff hunt thanks to the tight Eastern Conference. A home victory would usually be most likely here, but this could be a tougher game this time around.

The Whitecaps have not been incredibly successful away from BC Place this season, but I fancy them to keep up their good recent run and take a share of the spoils against SKC.

PICKThe Draw+343

Seattle Sounders at Philadelphia Union

Seattle to Win+293
Philadelphia to Win-126
The Draw+277

Seattle has a tough-looking home game against Orlando in the week before the road trip to Philadelphia, so it could be a good time to see whether the Sounders can shrug off injury problems and challenge the two LA sides in the West. A narrow victory over Houston last week will have given the Sounders some more confidence, so this should be one of the games of the week.

Philadelphia continues to sit at the top of the Eastern Conference and has now lost just once in the last ten games. Seattle is a good test for the Union, who can pull away from the rest of the pack with a few more victories. This is the best-ever start to the season from Philly, and the fans are definitely enjoying themselves at the moment.

Philly went to Toronto and won last week so will believe anything is possible. This should end in three more points for Jim Curtin’s team.

PICKPhiladelphia to Win-126

Chicago Fire at San Jose Earthquakes

Chicago to Win+215
San Jose to Win+104
The Draw+268

Two wins in a week for Chicago over New England and Minnesota brought the Fire back up the league table — but even more satisfying for head coach Veljko Paunovic will be the two clean sheets kept by keeper David Ousted. The injury to Nico Gaitan will be a worry, however.

The Quakes fell victim to New England — and its new coach Bruce Arena — in the week but had been proving pre-season critics wrong recently with some good results. A win at home against the Fire could put San Jose back above the playoff line, and Chicago has not traveled well so far this season.

Chicago is on a bit of a roll but will find it tougher against the Quakes this weekend. San Jose should take this opportunity to get back on track.

PICKSan Jose to Win+104

Columbus Crew at Minnesota United

Columbus to Win+215
Minnesota to Win+112
The Draw+244

Columbus had a mixed week against the two Los Angeles teams with a very good victory over the Galaxy followed by a home defeat to LAFC. That is not a bad return, however, and head coach Caleb Porter will feel that his side is looking good so far — and that it can beat Minnesota here.

Minnesota’s good early-season form has stuttered somewhat, although the Loons have faced some of the top sides in MLS in the last few weeks, so head coach Adrian Heath will be hoping that a few more victories will be coming his way soon.

Although Minnesota has not lost at Allianz Field yet, it has only won one game at home, so another draw could be on the cards here.

PICKThe Draw+244

New England Revolution at Montreal Impact

New England to Win+322
Montreal to Win-129
The Draw+261

Bruce Arena has come in to try to turn the Revs around and has been given the head coach and sporting director roles, so the former USMNT top man has a big job on his hands. The win over San Jose was a good start, but a trip to Montreal will be a lot tougher.

The Impact has done remarkably well considering that star player Ignacio Piatti has only played three games so far this season due to injury. One win out of two this week is not too bad, either, and the Impact will be confident of beating one of the worst defenses in MLS this weekend — even with its new head coach.

Since Montreal got back to playing at home, results have been mixed, but this should be another three points for the Canadian outfit.

PICKMontreal to Win-129

Toronto FC at Real Salt Lake

Toronto to Win+177
Salt Lake to Win+127
The Draw+261

Toronto lost to two good sides in Atlanta and Philadelphia last week but faces another two games this week so will need to pick up some points from somewhere. Good early-season form seems to have deserted the Canadian side, and it could struggle in Salt Lake too.

Even with a less than impressive start to the season, RSL is still above the playoff line, and although the victory over Colorado will have been expected, it is always nice to get one over some local rivals. That win will have boosted confidence in Utah, and another three points could be on their way to RSL.

A tiring recent schedule could affect Toronto, and I feel RSL will take more than many neutrals realize from the win over the Rapids. This one will finish as a home victory.

PICKSalt Lake to Win+127

DC United at Houston Dynamo

DC to Win+299
Houston to Win+129
The Draw+278

Ben Olsen’s side earned a midweek draw at Toronto before this game in Houston. With two impressive home victories prior to that, DC are in a good position to keep the pressure on Philly in the East.

Houston also drew in midweek and this home game gives them their chance to progress in the Western Conference. The defeat to Seattle was a blow, but the Dynamo is still looking like a side that will go far in the playoffs.

This is a game between two of the better sides in MLS, and the price for a draw looks like offering the best value here.

PICKThe Draw+278

Atlanta United at New York Red Bulls

Atlanta to Win+175
New York to Win+136
The Draw+243

Atlanta is finally picking up some good results and climbing the Eastern Conference table in the process. Performances have not been anything to write home about, but Frank de Boer will not worry about that as long as the points are still being won.

Chris Armas used two very different lineups in New York’s two games this week, and it will be interesting to see if that was a conscious decision to rest players between fixtures or not. Either way, the Red Bulls need to be winning more games if it wants to be involved in the playoffs again this season.

Atlanta may not be playing with the same swagger as last season, but the results are looking better. This could be another three points for the Five Stripes.

PICKAtlanta to Win+175

Colorado Rapids at LA Galaxy

Colorado to Win+543
LA to Win-250
The Draw+378

Probably the most one-sided game of the weekend sees the winless Rapids travel to California to take on the Galaxy. Colorado games have been fairly competitive so far with the Commerce City side usually only losing by the one goal. But that still doesn’t mean that the Rapids should get close to LA this weekend.

The Galaxy is on a three-game winless streak of its own but will be looking forward to the visit of Colorado. Three points could close the gap on conference leaders LAFC, and with Zlatan in the side, there could be a lot of goals going in at the Dignity Health Sports Park.

It won’t win you much money, but a victory for LA is the only wager to make here.

PICKLA to Win-250

FC Cincinnati at Orlando City

Cincinnati to Win+323
Orlando to Win-136
The Draw+275

FC Cincinnati won its first game in eight after letting go of Alan Koch, and three points from a good Montreal side should be applauded. Although a trip to Orlando is never easy, the Lions are only one place above Cincinnati in the Eastern Conference, so the expansion team will fancy three more points this week.

Orlando was probably unlucky to come up against a rejuvenated Atlanta, but another defeat has not helped head coach James O’Connor in his quest for a playoff spot. With only three wins all season, Orlando needs to turn around this run of form quickly.

Orlando doesn’t look like it is a team that will do much this season — even with a better than expected Nani in the squad. But a win against Cincinnati should be achievable.

PICKOrlando to Win-136

LAFC at FC Dallas

LA to Win+127
Dallas to Win+179
The Draw+254

A potential cracker to finish off the weekend’s games sees LAFC travel to take on FC Dallas. This matchup could have quite an effect on the Western Conference, and Bob Bradley will be hoping that his side will have beaten Dallas at home in midweek to give them some psychological advantage ahead of the trip to Texas.

Dallas is once again looking like a good bet to make the playoffs, but two games in a week against the Supporters’ Shield-leading LAFC is probably not what head coach Luchi Gonzalez really would have wanted for his team. Two good results would change his mind, however.

I fancy these two to split the games this week with Dallas winning on home turf.

PICKDallas to Win+179

Final Words

It will be very interesting to see how the two LAFC vs. FC Dallas games go this week, and LA Galaxy will be especially keen to see the outcome considering that there is now a five-point gap between the two LA teams in the Western Conference.

The East is starting to pick up now as well as Philly and DC look to break away from a very congested pack.

Let me know what you think of my predictions and picks — and enjoy the games.

Dan Roberts

Dan Roberts is an experienced freelance writer specialising in sports and sports betting. He is particularly knowledgeable about world soccer, but also writes about football, basketball and cricket.

As a fan of Nottingham Forest, New York Knicks, Minnesota Vikings and New York Mets, Dan has not had much to celebrate recently.

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