Predictions and Picks for MLB Games on Tuesday, June 28th, 2022

By Nicholas Sterling in MLB
| June 28, 2022 7:34 am PDT
Odds, Predictions left, Basic Bets, Player Props right, MLB logo, generic baseball field centered

My MLB picks have been on fire over the last few weeks, but it was a solid 4-4 performance last Thursday. It won’t always be a great day for my MLB predictions, but at least we remained at .500.

We’re looking at a massive 16-game slate for Tuesday’s MLB action. Every MLB team will be in action, with the Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians playing a doubleheader.

The MLB odds have 12 games on the board. That’s more than enough to earn a profit for Tuesday. Before we dive into my MLB predictions and expert betting picks for June 28th, let’s see which sites you should be placing your bets at today.

Where to Bet on MLB Games on Tuesday, 6/28

Let’s check out the best MLB sportsbooks before examining the MLB betting odds. These sites give you the best odds for MLB games. You can wager on the spread, moneyline, run total, and player props.

Ultimately, you can decide which site to visit. I would factor in which provides the most value and the site bonus. That could outweigh the value of one of your favorite MLB betting picks.

Make sure you visit the site beforehand so there aren’t any last-second hiccups. You wouldn’t want to miss out on a profitable day because you waited too long to create an account.

MLB Odds for Tuesday, June 28th, 2022

  • Braves (+106) vs. Phillies (-116), O/U 8
  • Pirates (+117) vs. Nationals (-127), O/U 9.5
  • Red Sox (+126) vs. Blue Jays (-136), O/U 10
  • Brewers (-101) vs. Rays (-109), O/U 7
  • Astros (-106) vs. Mets (-104), O/U 8
  • Marlins (+139) vs. Cardinals (-151), O/U 8.5
  • Reds (-108) vs. Cubs (-102)
  • Rangers (-125) vs. Royals (+115), O/U 8.5
  • Dodgers (-201) vs. Rockies (+184), O/U 11.5
  • Padres (-105) vs. Diamondbacks (-105), O/U 8
  • Tigers (+163) vs. Giants (-177), O/U 7
  • Orioles (+150) vs. Mariners (-163), O/U 7.5

The MLB odds have many close games for Tuesday’s action. Half of the games feature the favorite with (-125) odds or higher. My free MLB picks today won’t be easy with the competition.

We have two matchups featuring teams among the top 10 against the spread. The San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks and Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals feature four teams in the 6-10 range against the spread.

The only matchup with a pair of teams that rank bottom ten against the spread is the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals. Honestly, that’s likely the least exciting matchup of the day.

Will my free MLB picks today to explore the run total? Let’s discuss the trends to see which matchups are more likely to go over or under their run total.

The Marlins vs. Cardinals matchup is back in the spotlight, with each team going over their run total in over 52 percent of their games. The Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies matchup features two of the top six teams going over their run total.

We only have one matchup with two teams that rank bottom ten on the run total. That matchup features the Padres vs. Diamondbacks.

Top MLB Predictions for Tuesday’s Games

  • Phillies Over Braves
  • Pirates Over Nationals
  • Red Sox Over Blue Jays
  • Brewers Over Rays
  • Astros Over Mets
  • Cardinals Over Marlins
  • Cubs Over Reds
  • Rangers Over Royals
  • Dodgers Over Rockies
  • Padres Over Diamondbacks
  • Giants Over Tigers
  • Orioles Over Mariners

The Atlanta Braves have been on fire lately, but my free MLB picks have the Philadelphia Phillies beginning the day with a win. Phillies starter Zack Wheeler has a 1.67 ERA in his last seven starts.

There’s not much to discuss with the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals, but I’m taking the value with Pittsburgh. The same goes with the Boston Red Sox, as they open as the road favorite.

We could see a sneaky good matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays. Milwaukee is playing much better lately after a rough patch in early June.

It’s not often that I’ll pick against the New York Mets, but the Houston Astros look strong after no-hitting the New York Yankees. Check out the 2022 numbers for Astros starter Framber Valdez.

Houston Astros logo
  • 7-3
  • 2.90 ERA
  • 1.13 WHIP
  • 31 Walks
  • 75 Strikeouts

My MLB predictions have the St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs scoring victories for NL Central teams. The Texas Rangers’ offense should power them to victory over the Kansas City Royals.

That leads to the west coast matchups. There’s not much debate about the Los Angeles Dodgers with Clayton Kershaw on the mound. It’s surprising to see the San Diego Padres as the underdog. They should take down the Arizona Diamondbacks without Manny Machado.

San Francisco Giants starter Carlos Rodon should lead his team to victory. I like the Baltimore Orioles to close Tuesday’s slate with a win. They’ve been playing much better over the last month.

Best Bets for the MLB Games on 6/28/22

Cubs to Win-102
Orioles vs. Mariners Under 7.5 Runs-115
Red Sox to Win+126

My best bets had a brutal 0–3-day last Thursday. I feel much better about my MLB expert picks as we head into a new week.

There is so much value on the board for Tuesday’s games. One of my favorite MLB expert picks has the Chicago Cubs over the Cincinnati Reds. It’s no secret the Cubs have struggled in 2022, but starting pitcher Keegan Thompson has been a bright spot.

Thompson had a pair of rough starts in mid-June, but he has bounced back by allowing one run in his last 12 innings. Reds starter Luis Castillo has struggled lately, holding a 4.07 ERA in June.

The Seattle Mariners made headlines Sunday for their brawl with the Los Angeles Angels.

As of now, we haven’t heard about a suspension, but I believe we’ll see some for Tuesday’s game. Seattle could be without Jesse Winker, J.P. Crawford, and Julio Rodriguez. That’s a big reason I have this game going under 7.5 runs.

That’s not the only reason, as both starting pitchers have been strong. Mariners starter Robbie Ray has a 0.90 ERA in his last three games. Orioles pitcher Dean Kramer has allowed four runs in 21 innings.

Do you remember when the Boston Red Sox had an 11-20 record on May 11? Check out the best records in the majors since then.

Boston Red Sox logo
  • Red Sox: 31-11
  • Yankees: 31-12
  • Braves: 27-15

The Toronto Blue Jays have been good in June, but can they hang with the Red Sox? Boston starter Michael Wacha has been impressive all season, holding a 2.34 ERA.

Not to mention, Rafael Devers continues to play at an MVP level. He was a sleeper in my latest 2022 AL MVP odds, which you can find below.

Updated 2022 MLB American League MVP Odds

The 2022 MLB season is mere days away from the All-Star break. That makes it an optimal time to update the 2022 AL MVP race. Shohei Ohtani opened as the favorite and remained there through May, but we have a new AL MVP favorite. I’m not ready to hand...

Read More

Best MLB Player Props for June 28th, 2022

Santiago Espinal Under 0.5 Hits+165
Austin Hays to Record an RBI+185
Carlos Rodon Over 7.5 Strikeouts-154

My player props for last Thursday would’ve yielded a profitable day if Kyle Freeland didn’t strike out his final batter of the day. Let’s see if my MLB picks pan out on Tuesday.

Santiago Espinal was very consistent through the first two months, hitting .263. He raised his batting average to .298 following a great start to June. Unfortunately, we’ve seen him move in the opposite direction.

Espinal recorded two hits in Sunday’s game against the Milwaukee Brewers. Those were only his second and third hits in the last ten games. He is 3-38 in his last ten games with ten strikeouts. My MLB baseball free picks don’t believe in him recording a hit against the Boston Red Sox.

Austin Hays has been one of the hottest players in June. We’ve seen him play at an elite level in his last five games.

Austin Hays
  • .381 batting average
  • 1 home run
  • 7 RBIs
  • 4 runs

Only six players have more RBIs in their last five games. He has been a driving force behind the Orioles’ turnaround. I like this prop because of his success against Robbie Ray. He is 6-9 with two RBIs.

Carlos Rodon has been fantastic in his first season with the San Francisco Giants. He has a 2.70 ERA with 101 strikeouts. He is one of six pitchers with 100+ strikeouts in 2022.

Rodon has been on fire lately, clearing eight strikeouts in three straight games. I don’t believe the Detroit Tigers offense will have an answer for Rodon. He should have another high strikeout game.

Please check out the best baseball betting apps to wager on Tuesday’s MLB action.

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