Mayweather vs. Pacquiao II – The Best Prop Bets for a Likely Rematch

| June 28, 2019 12:00 am PDT

Whether you like it or not, Floyd Mayweather Jr. and Manny Pacquiao could share the ring again.

Personally, I would put a lot of money down on a second fight between the pair happening by 2020. Seriously. If you were to offer me even passable odds of these two “getting it on” one more time, I would happily hand my money over in the blink of an eye.

Now, before you boxing purists start bashing your keys and stamping your feet in fury, please realize that I’m not saying I want this fight to happen. I am just saying that it will, so chill out!

Funnily enough, there are odds to be found on many of our top boxing betting sites backing up my views on a Mayweather vs. Pacquiao rematch.

There is a lot of speculation, interesting rumors, and curious whispers in the boxing community that this fight could happen as early as the end of next year. I’ll get into that in a little more detail later.

As for the history between the two, these guys have plenty. They last fought in May 2015, and Pacquiao has enjoyed a little resurgence since then. This begs the question — would the outcome of a second fight look different?

In this piece, I’m going to walk you through a few of the more tempting prop bets available for a potential rematch between the two greatest fighters of the 2000s.

Before then, let’s check out the moneyline.

Mayweather vs. Pacquiao 2 Winner Odds

Here are the moneyline odds for a rematch between “Money” and “Pac-Man,” courtesy of MyBookie.ag.

Once these pique your interest, we’ll move on to the bookie’s prop bets for what would be another monumental money fight between the two.

Floyd Mayweather Jr.-200
Manny Pacquiao+260

According to the bookies, it is likely that Mayweather would win a rematch between the two.

The native of Grand Rapids, Michigan, has never lost a fight as a professional, so the odds on anyone beating him are always going to be favorable.

It’s not like Pacquiao is a huge underdog here, it must be said. His odds of winning — as they stand — are +260. You can hardly say he has been given no chance!

Of course, at one point, Pacquiao was seen as the only fighter that could dethrone the greatest fighter in the world. That fight never happened when it should have, although fans did get to see both men go at it in 2015.

Was it the fight some expected? Yes and no.

Anyone with an understanding of Mayweather’s style and the subtle side of the “sweet science” will have likely predicted the outcome — a win for “Money” based on sublime defensive skills.

To millions of others? Well, needless to say, they were left a little pissed.

Will a rematch be any different?

The Best Mayweather vs. Pacquiao 2 Prop Bets

Floyd Mayweather by KO, TKO, or DQ+450
Floyd Mayweather by Decision-135
Manny Pacquiao by KO, TKO, or DQ+475
Manny Pacquiao by Decision+400
Draw+900

See anything you like?

Sure, you might just be window shopping right now, but that could change if you fancy your chances on any of the above.

I know for certain what I would and wouldn’t bet on when it comes to a Mayweather vs. Pacquiao rematch.

Allow me to give my breakdown of each of these markets and what I see as the most likely conclusion to the fight.

Betting on Mayweather by Stoppage

Come on, man.

I wouldn’t bet on this market even if the odds were +2000, never mind +450.

Anyone with even the slightest idea of who Floyd Mayweather Jr. is understands that he is not a power puncher. Don’t let his exhibition bouts against Conor McGregor and Tenshin Nasukawa fool you — these two were not and never will be boxers.

The last time Floyd Mayweather Jr. stopped a genuine boxer in the ring was all the way back in September 2011. That man was Victor Ortiz, and that stoppage is one of the most controversial in modern history.

Ortiz, who had headbutted Mayweather moments earlier, walked up to the champ to apologize. Mayweather sensed an opportunity and clipped him with a left hook before slamming him with a straight right.

Protect yourself at all times, I guess.

Bet Probability: Highly Unlikely

Betting on Pacquiao by Decision

Manny Pacquiao was once an explosive and destructive fighter that put away some of the best in the game before the final bell.

Those days are certainly long behind him.

Okay, “Pac-Man” did stop Lucas Matthysse in 2018 in bizarre fashion, but this was his first stoppage win since beating Miguel Cotto in November 2009.

Since then, every victory bar one (Matthysse) has come on the judges’ scorecards.

If you think that Pacquiao can beat Mayweather by decision — and are happy enough to put serious money on that — go for it.

But I’ll still tell you just how wrong you are.

Bet Probability: Highly Unlikely

Betting on Pacquiao by Stoppage

As covered above, Pacquiao is not the show-stopping force he once was.

The Filipino senator is 40 years old. They say that your power is the last thing to go as a boxer, but Pacquiao lost his power a long time ago.

That said, he is in phenomenal shape. As he showed against Mathysse and Broner, he can still fight that high-pressure game as his gas tank allows for that style.

Can he stop Mayweather? A man that has only (officially) been dropped once in 50 professional boxing bouts?

I doubt it.

Then again, Mayweather is 42 years old, so…

Bet Probability: Unlikely

Betting on a Draw

Now, this is a bet that got me thinking a little.

A second fight could be a hard sell to many of the same fans that paid for the first bout. Well, let me be a little clearer. A rematch would be a hard sell to many of the casual boxing fans that had expected Mayweather vs. Pacquiao to be some kind of all-action brawl.

Then again, many of the more educated boxing fans who tuned in might be tempted to turn their back on a rematch, too.

Now… hear me out, ‘cause this is going to sound a little strange at first.

So, we all know how proud Mayweather is of his perfect record. But if there is one thing that “Money” loves more than anything, it is…

You guessed it.

So, if this fight was one that was very difficult to separate and actually gripped fans, it could lead to a third bout.

Especially if it ended in a draw. I mean, you can’t leave things hanging between two legendary boxers on one win and a draw, right?

It’s not like Pacquiao couldn’t do with the extra cash

Odds of +900 are well worth a shot.

Bet Probability: Hmmm…

Betting on Mayweather by Decision

Now we’re talking.

While young Mayweather was a force of nature and had a real pop in his fists, the majority of the 27 KOs he picked up came in the earlier half of his career when he was fighting at super featherweight and lightweight.

As Mayweather got older, a hereditary ailment owing to brittle bones in his hands forced him to change his style. From here, “Pretty Boy” became “Money,” who, in turn, would enter the record books as one of the greatest defensive fighters of all time.

Exuding pure class inside the ropes, Mayweather’s patience and high fight IQ led to many wins by decision.

Just as he won the first meeting with Pacquiao by decision, this result seems to be the most likely way a rematch would go.

Bet Probability: Extremely Likely

Round Betting

Betting on Mayweather vs. Pacquiao 2 is going to be big business.

A lot of money is set to change hands if this fight goes down. You can bet that boxing betting sites across the globe will go into overdrive as soon as a date and venue are announced.

For those of us who love a good boxing prop bet, there are some excellent opportunities here on a rematch between these two famous foes.

Now, if you didn’t agree with my take on the bets above — and have a feeling that this bout could be over before the final bell — check these odds.

Simply choose the fighter and the round you think the fight ends in. If you get this right, you could be on your way to making some serious coin.

Floyd Mayweather Rounds Betting

Floyd Mayweather Wins in Round 1+3000
Floyd Mayweather Wins in Round 2+3600
Floyd Mayweather Wins in Round 3+3600
Floyd Mayweather Wins in Round 4+3600
Floyd Mayweather Wins in Round 5+3600
Floyd Mayweather Wins in Round 6+3600
Floyd Mayweather Wins in Round 7+3600
Floyd Mayweather Wins in Round 8+3600
Floyd Mayweather Wins in Round 9+3600
Floyd Mayweather Wins in Round 10+3600
Floyd Mayweather Wins in Round 11+3600
Floyd Mayweather Wins in Round 12+4000

Manny Pacquiao Rounds Betting

Manny Pacquiao Wins in Round 1+3300
Manny Pacquiao Wins in Round 2+4000
Manny Pacquiao Wins in Round 3+4000
Manny Pacquiao Wins in Round 4+4000
Manny Pacquiao Wins in Round 5+4000
Manny Pacquiao Wins in Round 6+4000
Manny Pacquiao Wins in Round 7+4000
Manny Pacquiao Wins in Round 8+4000
Manny Pacquiao Wins in Round 9+4000
Manny Pacquiao Wins in Round 10+4000
Manny Pacquiao Wins in Round 11+4000
Manny Pacquiao Wins in Round 12+4000

What Rounds Should I Target?

I’m gonna leave this one to you to decide for yourself, as I sold my crystal ball to pay for the first Mayweather vs. Pacquiao pay-per-view.

Well, I sold it after I predicted Mayweather would win by decision, so it’s not too bad.

Will Mayweather vs. Pacquiao 2 Go the Distance?

Yes-260
No+200

You can probably guess my take on this one by now.

I can’t see the fight ending by way of stoppage for either fighter as I believe it will be a highly tactical bout where Mayweather should come out on top.

Neither man has the explosive power to knock the other out.

Pacquiao needs to do something that no other fighter has ever done if he is to achieve a KO over Mayweather, while “Money” will not be searching for a home run shot.

When I think of Mayweather vs. Pacquiao 2, I see a facsimile of the first fight, in many ways.

I expect Pacquiao to have a little more success this time around but not enough that could force a stoppage win.

So, to answer the question above, yes. Mayweather and Pacquiao will go the distance, in my opinion. Odds of a decision victory for either man at -260 are nowhere near as good as a decision win for Mayweather at odds of -135, though.

The Best Bet of the Bunch?

I’m going to keep this quick and to the point.

I see Mayweather beating Pacquiao again in any potential rematch, and he will earn that win by way of a unanimous decision.

Even if he wins by a majority or split decision, a bet on Mayweather just to win by decision alone will get you odds of -135.

Talking about the best prop bet for Mayweather and Pacquiao 2 comes down to this alone.

Still, for a whacky little risk, a couple of dollars on the draw at +900 might be worth it for those who think a trilogy fight could be on the cards.

After all, trilogy fights are all the rage these days, right?

Just ask Canelo and Gennady Golovkin.

So, What Do You Think?

Yes, you. I’m asking you a question here, and I’d love to hear what your thoughts are about a Mayweather vs. Pacquiao rematch.

Additionally, I’d be up for reading what you think about the prop bets above and the wager you’re opting for now or will place in time.

One thing I always make clear to my readers is that early odds can often present gamblers with great value. The closer we get to a fight — or even when a fight like this is announced — can see odds shrink faster than your favorite sweater in your girlfriend’s tumble dryer.

We’ve all been there; you’re not the only one.

Anyway, if you see something you like from the Mayweather vs. Pacquiao 2 prop bets above, head over to one of the top boxing betting sites and get your money down.

If you fancy betting on what is set to be another polarizing rematch, check out these early odds for Andy Ruiz Jr. vs. Anthony Joshua 2.

With that, I’m out until next time.

Good luck with those bets!

Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA and boxing.

A self-confessed sports fanatic, when Adam is not watching and writing about rugby, soccer, Gaelic Games, and F1, he can often be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a big fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

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