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Manchester City vs. Leicester City Predictions for May 6th

| April 30, 2019 12:00 am PDT
Manchester City vs Leicester City Predictions

Manchester City has only two games left in the English Premier League this season, and their goal is clear: win them both to retain the title.

The first opponent is Leicester, and the reigning champions will host them on Monday night.

The betting odds are already out for this match, so it’s time for me to share my Manchester City vs. Leicester City betting preview.

It includes a detailed overview of both sides, predictions on what to expect, and of course, a betting pick based on the prices.

Manchester City – Leicester Betting Odds

The odds below cover the main betting markets for the game between Manchester City and Leicester City. Remember to shop for the best odds across the top online betting sites.

Manchester City to Win1.14
Draw7.20
Leicester to Win20.00
Over 3.75 Goals2.00
Under 3.75 Goals1.83

On the surface, there shouldn’t be any doubts that Manchester City will win this match with ease. The reigning champions have the best attack in the EPL and an exceptional defense. They can keep the ball all day long.

And yet, we’ve already seen a couple of times this season when the pressure played tricks on Guardiola and the players. They have struggled to win similar games against the likes of Newcastle and Crystal Palace.

Their usual dominance on the pitch is not exactly there, but the team has still managed to win 12 matches in a row. It’s an impressive run that should continue against Leicester, but I think it will be more difficult than most people expect.

The main reason is that the visitors can defend and hit on the counter. At the same time, Man City is not exactly scoring for fun recently, mostly because of the insane pressure from Liverpool.

I feel that there are a couple of good options for this game, but let’s check what can be said about both sides first.

Manchester City Team News and Analysis

Up to a couple of weeks ago, everybody was talking about a historical quadruple. Manchester City already won the League Cup and is the overwhelming favorite in the FA Cup final.

However, one of the big prizes is already gone. The team was knocked out of the Champions League by the Spurs in a dramatic fashion. If the club misses out on the EPL title too, the season will be labeled as a failure.

It might seem absurd on some level, but with so much money spent in the past couple of years, Guardiola is under pressure to win either the UCL or the EPL every year.

The Spaniard is still in a great position to regain the English crown. Only Leicester and Brighton are on City’s path to glory, but you can see that every game will be a fight from now on.

Five of their last six wins in the EPL have been by the score of 1-0 or 2-0. The reigning champions are struggling to find the net as often as they are used to. Every team is defending fiercely against them, and the stress is messing with the players’ heads.

One could argue that the last part applies to the manager, too. A close look at the substitutions in the last match against Burnley shows that Guardiola replaced Aguero with Stones and Sterling with Otamendi.

It’s a win-at-all-costs situation for the club, and it will be the same against Leicester unless Liverpool fails to beat Newcastle on Saturday.

The good news is that Manchester City’s defense has been extremely reliable in the EPL recently. The team has managed to keep a clean sheet in most games, which could be the key to success.

I expect more of the same against Leicester, who can certainly hurt anyone on the counter. Guardiola knows that and will stick to the same approach as in the last couple of games: keep the ball, don’t let the opponent create any chances, and trust your forwards to score at least once.

It will be interesting to see if De Bruyne and Fernandinho will be ready to play, as both missed the Burnley clash. I expect to see at least one of them for this match, but at this moment, there is no clear indication of what will happen.

Leicester Team News and Analysis

Leicester is looking solid after the arrival of Brendan Rodgers, who’s trying to transform the team. The manager has somehow kept the strong counter-attacking approach but also taught his players to keep more of the ball.

You could see that perfectly against Arsenal last week. The Foxes dominated the match, even before the red card of Maitland-Niles. They managed to create a bunch of chances, only to see Bernd Leno stop them multiple times.

Leicester did get the lead eventually and then patiently scored two more on the counter. Jamie Vardy is looking great under Rodgers and will be the main threat in the match against Manchester City.

The Foxes will have the chance to rely on their usually conservative approach and pick their spots to unleash the pacey striker on the other end. I feel that he won’t be having many chances in the first 50-60 minutes of the match, though.

Guardiola certainly knows what to expect from Vardy and will make sure that his team doesn’t let him charge forward often enough.

However, City will most likely have to win here, so they will start opening up a bit as the game goes on. If Leicester can contain the reigning champions for the first half, it might get interesting.

Manchester City vs. Leicester Prediction and Betting Pick

One of the main factors for my prediction is related to the Liverpool game on Saturday. If the Reds beat Newcastle, as everyone expects, the pressure on City will be enormous.

The champions will once again try to keep cool and avoid any risks unless absolutely necessary. Under such conditions and considering the previous couple of results, I see two potential betting picks here.

One of them would be to back Leicester +2.5 AH. The Foxes will probably lose, but I don’t think it will be a trashing. City cares more about keeping it safe than scoring multiple times, and the defense of the visitors is decent.

For pretty much the same reasons, I like the under 3.75 goals option. The price of 1.83 is great value and even covers a score of 2-1 or 3-0 in favor of Man City. That’s enough for me to go after the under.

PICKUnder 3.75 Goals1.83

Final Words

If you are reading this preview after the Liverpool game and if the Reds failed to win, please bear in mind that might change things. Manchester City will be much calmer and will probably win comfortably, so the under may not be the best bet then.

Despite being widely expected to do business this weekend, I do think that Liverpool might struggle. You can read more about my thoughts in my Liverpool vs. Newcastle betting preview.

I also have a betting preview with odds and tips on the game between Wolverhampton and Fulham. Feel free to check it out and share your own predictions on any of the matches.

Jerry Summer

Jerry Summer has a wide-ranging interest in gambling and the gambling industry. He's made a living out of both playing poker and betting on sports.

The English Premier League and the NBA are among Jerry's primary areas of expertise. He's knowledgeable about many other sports, too, along with poker and several casino games.

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