Hide Bonus Offers

Latest Championship Promotion Odds With Predictions and Picks – June 2020 Update

| June 13, 2020 3:27 am PDT
Championship Promotion Odds With Predictions and Picks – June 2020 Update

Following much deliberation, the Championship is set to restart on Saturday, June 20. England’s second tier will resume just days after the EPL, with nine full rounds of fixtures remaining in the 2019/20 season.

Leeds and West Brom look set to secure automatic promotion to the Premier League after opening up a six-point lead over third-place Fulham. But with just one point separating first and second, who will win the title?

Brentford and Nottingham Forest are among the favorites to go up via the playoffs, but there are numerous other teams in contention for a top-six finish.

In this post, I take an in-depth look at the battle for promotion in the Championship. I assess the odds for the title race, promotion, and top six before sharing my prediction and pick for each market.

Let’s get stuck into my guide to betting on the 2019/20 Championship promotion race.

Championship Outright Winner – Leeds or West Brom?

Here are the best online soccer betting sites’ odds for the 2019/20 Championship title race.

Leeds1.33
West Brom3.50
Fulham41.00

There are two automatic promotion places up for grabs in the Championship, but who will finish at the top of the pile?

Leeds currently occupies the top spot on 71 points, with second-place West Brom just one point behind. Fulham is a fair way off the pace setters on 64 points, so the battle to be crowned champion is effectively a two-horse race.

The bookies’ odds definitely reflect the frontrunners’ superiority. Still, I’m a little surprised that West Brom’s price is so high here, especially when you consider that they only trail Leeds by a single point.

Let’s take a closer look at the top two.

Leeds

Is it finally time for one of English soccer’s sleeping giants to make their long-awaited return to the Premier League?

Leeds United last tasted top-flight action all the way back in 2004. Since then, the club has been in the doldrums. 16 painful years outside of the top division — including three seasons in the third tier — haven’t been easy, but the Whites will almost certainly be gracing the EPL once again next term.

However, Leeds supporters won’t be getting too ahead of themselves just yet. The team looked destined for promotion last season after leading the way in the Championship for much of the campaign. But following a poor end to 2018/19, Leeds dropped out of the automatic promotion places and eventually lost out to Derby County in the playoffs.

A patchy run of two wins in 11 games between December and February rekindled fears of a repeat of last season’s downfall. But those fears were quickly dispelled by a resurgent five-game winning streak leading up to the break.

Leeds was in unstoppable form before the campaign was put on hold, but will the players be able to pick up where they left off? One thing’s for sure, manager Marcelo Bielsa has done an excellent job over the past couple of years, so he’ll be desperate to finish what he started.

West Brom

Four promotions and four relegations across the past two decades have led to West Brom being branded a “yo-yo” club. The Baggies have gained an unwanted reputation for their fluctuating form, but there is no denying that they have been on the up this season.

Former Croatia and West Ham boss Slaven Bilic has transformed Albion into an exciting attacking side. Under previous managers, the team had been accused of playing boring soccer. But that couldn’t be further from the truth this term.

Bilic’s all-out approach has enabled the club’s talented forwards to thrive. Only two players in the division have racked up more goal involvements than Matheus Pereira in 2019/20, and this is largely due to the Brazilian winger’s league-high 16 assists. Veteran strikers Hal Robson-Kanu and Charlie Austin have been given a new lease on life, while Grady Diangana has also shone.

West Brom has spent the majority of the season at the summit of the Championship table, despite enduring a seven-game winless run around the turn of the year. Interestingly, their dip coincided with Leeds’ barren spell, so the two teams have pretty much been neck and neck throughout the campaign.

Prior to the season being suspended, the Baggies had lost just one of their previous eight league games. They can’t afford to waste any time in rediscovering their momentum.

Pick: West Brom to Win the Title – 3.50

After taking everything into consideration, I’m backing West Brom to leapfrog Leeds and win the Championship title.

Don’t get me wrong, I still think that Leeds will gain automatic promotion. But given that Bielsa’s side is only one point ahead of West Brom with nine games left to play, there is plenty of time for things to change.

Backing Leeds at 1.33 doesn’t make much sense to me. Considering that the battle at the top is so tight, I would like their odds to be higher. In my opinion, West Brom stands an equal chance of finishing first, and their price of 3.50 is far more appealing.

Three Go Up – Who Will Be Promoted?

Here are the latest Championship promotion odds.

Leeds1.02
West Brom1.05
Brentford2.25
Fulham2.70
Nottingham Forest7.00
Preston11.00

As you can see, the bookmakers believe that Leeds and West Brom have all but secured the two automatic promotion places, and it’s difficult to argue with that viewpoint. However, a third team can access the Premier League via the playoffs, so there is still one more promotion place up for grabs.

Fourth-place Brentford and fifth-place Nottingham Forest are locked on 60 points and trail Fulham by four points. Preston — which currently occupies the final playoff spot — is four points shy of Forest.

There is no point in considering the two frontrunners in this market, so let’s assess the other teams’ chances.

Brentford

Brentford has flirted with a top-six finish in recent seasons but has invariably fallen short of the playoffs. In fact, the Bees have ended up in the top half of the table in each of the past four seasons but haven’t managed to finish higher than ninth.

But following a series of shortcomings, Brentford finally looks set to get their opportunity in the playoffs. Thomas Frank’s side has been one of the most consistent teams in the division this term, and they are on the verge of being rewarded for their steady form.

Not only does Brentford boast the second-best defensive record in the Championship, but the Bees are also the joint-highest scorers in 2019/20. Said Benrahma, Bryan Mbeumo, and Ollie Watkins make up the deadliest forward line in the division, with the lethal “BMW” trio contributing 46 of the team’s 64 league goals this season.

Brentford returns with tricky fixtures against promotion rivals Fulham and West Brom, but finishing inside the top six shouldn’t be a problem. The question is whether the club is able to navigate the playoffs successfully.

Fulham

Fulham is aiming to make an immediate return to the Premier League following a disappointing relegation campaign last term. The London outfit may have failed to cope with the demands of the top flight last season, but the team has undoubtedly been one of the Championship’s strongest sides this time around.

Under the guidance of former player Scott Parker, Fulham has built a steely resilience. The Cottagers lost just two of their 15 games leading up to the break, a run which started with a victory over Leeds and saw them keep seven clean sheets along the way.

While automatic promotion may be just out of their reach, Fulham boasts a whopping nine-point lead over seventh-place Bristol City. It will only take a handful of victories for Parker’s men to secure their place in the playoffs.

The Cottagers’ experience at this level is likely to give them an edge in the coming weeks. Fulham was promoted to the EPL in 2018 via the playoffs, and a lot of the players involved with that success are still with the club now.

Nottingham Forest

I’ve been really impressed with Nottingham Forest this season. Off-field issues have hindered the two-time European Cup winner in recent years, and the unrest behind the scenes has had a negative impact on the team’s performances. Like Leeds, the East Midlands club has been absent from the big time for far too long. But that could soon change.

When Sabri Lamouchi replaced Martin O’Neill as manager last summer, Forest supporters were preparing themselves for another campaign of disappointment. However, the Frenchman has proved to be an excellent appointment, and his side is brimming with quality.

Brice Samba has arguably been the Championship’s standout goalkeeper this season, highly-rated right-back Matty Cash — who was the subject of a £15m bid from Italian giant AC Milan in January — has been immense, while striker Lewis Grabban has consistently found the back of the net throughout the campaign.

Forest’s counter-attacking style has seen them struggle against some of the division’s lesser teams, but Lamouchi’s side has an excellent record against their promotion rivals. Victories over Brentford and Leeds since the turn of the year, along with a hard-fought draw against West Brom, prove that Forest can compete with the league’s top clubs.

Preston

Preston’s flying start to the campaign meant the Lancashire outfit was sitting pretty in the automatic promotion places after 16 games, but a run of four straight defeats between November and December quickly quashed the team’s top-flight dreams.

The Lilywhites have since clambered back into contention for a playoff spot, although four defeats in their previous five games have left the club in a precarious position. Directly below is a group of seven teams separated by just five points, so Preston must hit the ground running to avoid being overtaken.

Alex Neil’s side has won 16 of their 37 league games this term, but their inability to settle for draws has seen them lose 13. Indeed, no team in the top half of the table has lost more games than Preston in 2019/20.

With 11 goals and six assists to his name, midfielder Daniel Johnson has been the club’s star performer so far this season. But if Preston’s strikers continue to misfire, promotion won’t be attainable.

Pick: Nottingham Forest to Be Promoted – 7.00

I don’t think Preston has got what it takes to make it to the Premier League at the moment, and while Brentford and Fulham both stand a decent chance, I can’t look past Nottingham Forest in this market, especially at the sky-high price of 7.00.

Given that Forest is currently level with Brentford and only four points behind Fulham, I can’t believe the bookies are offering such attractive odds for Lamouchi’s side to be promoted. There really is very little to separate the three teams, in my eyes.

Forest’s record against the division’s top teams has been seriously strong this term. The Tricky Trees have already done the double over both Brentford and Fulham and will be confident of beating them again in the playoffs.

Brentford (2.25) and Fulham (2.70) still offer good value, but I believe backing Nottingham Forest at 7.00 is an opportunity that simply can’t be missed.

Betting on Who Will Finish in the Top Six

Here are the latest odds for securing a top-six finish in the Championship.

Brentford1.02
Nottingham Forest1.33
Preston2.30
Millwall3.25
Cardiff5.00
Bristol City5.50

I would be surprised if Fulham, Brentford, or Forest dropped out of the top six at this stage, but sixth place is still well and truly up for grabs.

The congested nature of the Championship table means that there is a host of teams capable of securing a playoff spot. Preston currently sits sixth with 56 points, but even QPR is in contention on 50 points, and they are down in thirteenth!

I’ve already covered Brentford, Forest, and Preston above, so let’s take a closer look at the other teams in this market.

Millwall

After managing to win just two of their opening ten games this term, Millwall looked destined to endure yet another below-par campaign. However, the Lions have gradually grown into the season, and only the top four teams have claimed more points from the past 25 games.

Gary Rowett’s men have managed to break into the top six on a couple of occasions, but they have generally found themselves in mid-table this season. Still, with nine games remaining, Millwall is only two points behind sixth-place Preston.

It is no secret that Millwall has struggled for goals this term. In fact, only four clubs have scored fewer goals in the division. But their defensive record is one of the best in the Championship, and their solid backline could help the team break into the top six.

Cardiff

Cardiff is yet to spend any time in the playoff places this season, but an impressive run of three defeats in their previous 16 games has propelled the Welsh outfit into contention for a top-six finish. Unbeaten encounters with six of the current top eight during that period have left the club in a strong position.

Following a turbulent start to 2019/20, veteran manager Neil Warnock left the club in November. The team has definitely improved under new boss Neil Harris, although nine draws in 21 league games since his appointment have prevented Cardiff from making a real impact on the playoff race.

Having said that, Cardiff has only lost four games since Harris took over, and the club is now level with Millwall on 54 points. If the Bluebirds can pick up where he left off before the campaign was suspended, they could easily find themselves in the top six come the end of the season.

Bristol City

Bristol City narrowly missed out on a top-six finish last season, finishing just four points shy of the playoff places. The Robins have spent much of the current campaign in the top six, but a five-game winless streak before the break has left them seventh.

It’s difficult to predict how the West Country club will fare from now until the end of the season. Bristol City hasn’t had any trouble scoring this term, but their dismal defensive record means they are the only side in the top half of the table with a negative goal difference.

The Robins only lost two of their opening 17 league games this term, but ten defeats in their previous 20 suggest that the team isn’t quite ready for the EPL.

Pick: Millwall to Finish in the Top Six – 3.25

Preston currently occupies sixth place, but I can see Millwall breaking into the playoff spots in the coming weeks.

The Lions were gathering some serious momentum before the lay-off, and a convincing 3-0 victory over Forest in their previous game will have filled the squad with huge confidence heading into the break.

The Lions still have games against five of the bottom seven teams in the division. Furthermore, they don’t have to face any of the top nine sides. Their favorable run-in presents them with numerous opportunities to significantly bolster their points tally.

Given that Millwall is only two points behind Preston with a considerable portion of the season remaining, I think odds of 3.25 for the Lions to finish in the top six are very generous.

Wrap-Up

The Championship is undoubtedly the most high-profile second division in world soccer. With so many historic clubs and talented players, I’m really looking forward to the resumption of England’s second tier.

The battle between Leeds and West Brom is definitely worth keeping an eye on, while the playoffs will inevitably dish up plenty of drama.

In order to get the best odds and bonuses, I highly recommend placing your Championship bets with the top-rated online soccer betting sites.

Also, visit our soccer blog for more content like this.

Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

More Posts by Ben Contact Ben

LEAVE YOUR COMMENT

*

Back to top