La Liga Predictions and Betting Picks – June 28, 2020
The busy weekend schedule in Spain’s top tier dishes up four games on Sunday, and each matchup carries some significance. Sixth-place Villarreal hosts eighth-place Valencia for a hugely important clash, while bottom-club Espanyol entertains high-flying Real Madrid.
Here is Sunday’s La Liga fixture list in full.
- Levante vs. Real Betis
- Villarreal vs. Valencia
- Granada vs. Eibar
- Espanyol vs. Real Madrid
With only one point separating the two teams in the table, Levante and Real Betis get things underway in the early kickoff. Eibar will then be aiming to extend their lead over the bottom three against Granada.
Read on for my predictions for every La Liga game on June 28. I also share my top betting picks for Sunday’s action at the end of this post, so stick around for some great value bets.
Levante and Real Betis to Draw
After losing six times in nine La Liga outings leading up to the break, Levante seems to have discovered some promising form. The Frogs have lost just one of their four games since the restart, although two draws have prevented them from breaking into the top half of the table.
Levante snatched unexpected points against Valencia and Sevilla before seeing off Espanyol with ease last weekend. A narrow 1-0 defeat to Atletico Madrid in midweek put an end to their positive run, but the team’s performance against Diego Simeone’s in-form Atletico was nothing to be ashamed of.
Meanwhile, Alexis Trujillo began his reign as Real Betis’ interim manager with a win over Espanyol on Thursday. Former boss Rubi was sacked after only managing to pick up one point from a possible nine since the resumption, and the team responded with a dominant performance to impress their new head coach.
With seven games remaining this term, neither of these sides are mathematically safe from relegation just yet. However, I expect them both to be playing in La Liga next season. Levante and Betis are both decent teams, and this should be a closely fought contest. All the signs are pointing towards a draw.
Villarreal to Beat Valencia
This matchup brings together two teams that have been moving in opposite directions over the past couple of weeks. Three wins and a draw have seen Villarreal leapfrog Valencia in the standings, with Los Ches picking up just one win from their previous four games.
The Yellow Submarine has been rising rapidly since the restart. Victories over Celta Vigo, Mallorca, and Granada, along with a draw against Champions League-chaser Sevilla last time out, have taken Javier Calleja’s side from eighth to sixth. Star forwards Carlos Bacca and Paco Alcacer have both got on the scoresheet of late, but all five of Villarreal’s goals since the resumption have been scored by different players.
By contrast, Valencia has been in freefall. With the exception of an expected victory over Osasuna, the Bats have performed very poorly in recent games. A heavy defeat at the hands of Real Madrid didn’t exactly shock anyone, but a woeful loss to Eibar on Thursday will have massively knocked the team’s confidence.
Despite their downturn in form, Valencia has been hanging onto a Europa League spot for the majority of the season. But they now find themselves out of the top seven for this first time since February. I can see red-hot Villarreal inflicting more misery on Valencia on Sunday.
Granada to Beat Eibar
Granada has picked up a mixed bag of results since the campaign got back underway. But despite the team’s inconsistencies, the Andalusia outfit has only lost one of their previous eight La Liga games. After beating Getafe in their first game back, Granada suffered a defeat to Villarreal last week. Still, draws with Betis and Leganes have seen the club remain in the top half of the table.
Eibar has managed to put some daylight between them and the bottom three with a series of impressive — and somewhat unexpected — results over the past couple of weeks. The Basque club returned to action with a loss to Real Madrid but has since strung together a three-game unbeaten run.
Having held Athletic Bilbao and Getafe to draws, Eibar secured a much-needed win against Valencia last time out. But how long can their positive run last? It’s difficult to say, but I wouldn’t be surprised if it came to an end at Los Carmenes this weekend.
Granada has turned Los Carmenes into a fortress this term, losing just four of their 15 league games on home soil in 2019/20. On the other hand, Eibar has only managed one away win all season. I’m sure that Eibar will put up a fight, but Granada should win this matchup.
Real Madrid to Beat Espanyol
Real Madrid has been unstoppable since the season recommenced, claiming four straight victories with relative ease. In fact, Los Blancos heads into their fifth game in two weeks with an aggregate scoreline of 10-2, and Zinedine Zidane’s side is likely to add a few more goals to their tally on Sunday.
Things were looking up for Espanyol when they returned to action with a win against fellow relegation-struggler Alaves. An admirable draw with Getafe followed shortly after, but back-to-back defeats to Levante and Betis have quickly quashed the club’s hopes of breaking out of the drop zone.
Espanyol remains rock bottom of La Liga, and the Barcelona outfit is running out of time to save their season. There are winnable games against Leganes, Eibar, and Celta Vigo still to come for Aberlardo’s men. But the Espanyol boss has probably already written off the visit of Real Madrid as a loss.
I’m sure you’ll agree that anything other than an away win in this game would be a colossal upset. Real Madrid can’t afford to lose pace in the title race, so a fifth consecutive victory for Zidane’s men will surely come in Catalonia.
La Liga Picks for Sunday, June 28
I’ve taken an in-depth look at the odds for Sunday’s La Liga games, so now it’s time to share my best value bets for the top-flight action in Spain on June 28.
Granada vs. Eibar – Granada to Win Either Half (1.80)
I’m aware that I predicted Granada will beat Eibar, but the away side does stand an outside chance of getting something from this game. Sure, Granada is 11 points ahead of Eibar for a reason. But the Basque club has been on a promising run of late.
Granda is the favorite at 2.40, but the odds don’t take too much of a hit if you back the home side to win either half. I’m expecting Granada to be too strong for Eibar, but I think going with the slightly safer option makes sense here.
Villarreal vs. Valencia – Over 1.5 Villarreal Goals (2.10)
The bookies view Villarreal (2.10) as the favorite to win this matchup, while Valencia (3.20) has been named as the outsider. However, given Valencia’s unpredictability, I recommend steering clear of the main outright markets for this game.
Alternatively, I’m going to back Villarreal to score over 1.5 goals. Only Barcelona and Real Madrid have scored more La Liga goals than the Yellow Submarine this season, while Valencia has the worst defensive record in the top half of the table. You’d be foolish to bet against Villarreal netting twice against Los Ches’ leaky defense.
Head over to the top-rated online soccer betting sites to get the best La Liga odds for the remainder of the 2019/20 season.