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January Analysis of the 2021 NBA 6th Man of the Year Odds

| January 16, 2021 9:40 am PDT
NBA 6th Man of the Year Betting

Now that every team in the NBA has at least 10 games under their belt, it’s a great time to take a peek at the 6th Man of the Year odds. A lot of the names you’d expect to see near the top of the betting sheet are still present, but boy has the pricing fluctuated since the start of the season.

Let’s examine the current contenders, and I’ll point out how much their price tags have shifted. Keep in mind, just 15% or so of the regular-season games have been played up until this point. Expect the odds for the 6th Man of the Year to continue bouncing around.

Comparing the NBA 6th Man of the Year Odds

Jerry Summer covered the opening odds for the 6th Man of the Year a few days before Christmas – the full list of candidates (along with his insight) can be found here.

The table below summarizes the top-10 contenders (now) by displaying their preseason odds with their current odds.

Player 6th Man of the Year Odds (1/12) 6th Man of the Year Odds (12/22)
Jordan Clarkson +400 +800
Montrezl Harrell +1000 +2000
Goran Dragic +1000 +1000
Danilo Gallinari +1500 +800
Lou Williams +1600 +500
Davis Bertans +2200 +1600
Eric Gordon +2800 +2500
Gary Trent Jr. +3000 N/A
Norman Powell +4500 +1600
Brandon Clarke +5000 N/A

It seems to me that the oddsmakers at BetUS are leaving a few significant names off their list of the top-10 candidates. In fact, three of the top NBA 6th Man of the Year contenders aren’t even featured! And that doesn’t even count neglecting Terrance Ross – a more than viable candidate.

With that in mind, my hunch is that one of the following five players takes home this honor.

*Stats referenced include games played through 1/11

Jordan Clarkson, G, Utah Jazz

  • Minutes: 9
  • Points: 8
  • Rebounds: 4.2
  • 3PT %: 9
  • FT%: 93.3

Other than minutes per game, the rest of these stats are career-highs for the 28-year-old combo guard. The instant offense Jordan Clarkson is providing off the pine in Utah has enabled the Jazz to flourish, and one can argue he’s been Quin Snyder’s best player early on.

To be fair, ESPN’s Player Efficiency Rating says there’s no argument at all.

Utah Jazz – Top 5 in PER in 2020/21
Player PER
Jordan Clarkson 20.92
Derrick Favors 20.67
Rudy Gobert 20.54
Mike Conley 19.43
Donovan Mitchell 15.94

Goran Dragic, G, Miami Heat

  • Minutes: 5
  • Points: 8
  • Assists: 5.0
  • FG%: 6
  • FT%: 87.0

The left-handed Slovenian turns 35 in May but refuses to slow down in South Beach. “The Dragon” is putting up similar numbers as last year when he finished 6th in the 6th Man of the Year Voting, but there’s one major difference.

The 2021 version of Goran Dragic has been much more efficient.

FG% 2PT % 3PT % FT%
2019/20 44.1 50.5 36.7 77.6
2020/21 50.6 60.9 37.8 87.0

Caris LeVert, G, Brooklyn Nets

  • Minutes: 0
  • Points: 4
  • Assists: 6.0
  • Rebounds: 4.3
  • Steals: 2

Kyrie Irving’s inability to show up for work has thrust Caris LeVert into the starting lineup on a few occasions, although Caris was back to his bench role for a January 12th matchup against Denver. Here’s a guy who has made eight or more field goals in four straight games – including when he lit up the Grizz for 43 on January 8th.

Frankly, the Nets would be better off if Kyrie just stayed away for good. But that’s a can of worms I’d rather not open in this blog. The focus is on showcasing the NBA 6th Man of the Year contenders – not the most overpaid and most overrated player in the league.

Attention Steve Nash – Let LeVert run the show!

Chris Boucher, C/PF, Toronto Raptors

  • Minutes: 2
  • Points: 3
  • Rebounds: 6.2
  • Blocks: 6
  • 3P%: 2

Has anyone in the NBA progressed more than Chris Boucher from last season to this season? Considering the massive strides that “Swatterboy” has taken, you’d be hard-pressed to find a more improved bench player in The Association.

Here’s a guy who was a complete non-factor for Nick Nurse a season ago, and yet now he’s squarely on the radar when teams are game-planning for Toronto.

Chris Boucher’s Last Three Games
Date Opponent Points Rebounds Blocks 3PT
1/11 Portland 20 8 3 5/8
1/10 Golden State 15 6 6 2/3
1/8 Sacramento 23 10 3 2/4

LaMelo Ball, G, Charlotte Hornets

  • Minutes: 3
  • Points: 4
  • Rebounds: 7.0
  • Assists: 6.0
  • Steals: 6

LaMelo Ball is looking like a shoo-in to take the cake as the 2020-21 NBA Rookie of the Year. However, Ball may have some more hardware to add to his mantle if he continues on his torrid pace.

Despite playing in a crowded backcourt in Charlotte, the 6’8” rookie point guard has been forcing his way onto the floor in key moments. His versatility on both ends of the court combined with his savviness as a ballhandler and passer make him a genuine threat to record a triple-double every night.

Simply put, LaMelo is 10x more polished than his older brother in New Orleans.

NBA 6th Man of the Year Prediction

Patrick Mills is off to a nice start in San Antonio, and it’s worth noting that Shake Milton has established an expanded role for Doc Rivers in Philly.

On the other hand, the way the five guys highlighted in this blog are playing at an elite level.

At this stage, my NBA 6th Man of the Year pick has to be LaMelo Ball. He does a bit of everything for James Borrego is having no issues living up to the hype. Chris Boucher clocks in second, but the Raptors and struggling while the Hornets are playing well above expectations.

Now for some insight into betting on the 2021 NBA MVP.

Betting on the 2021 NBA MVP - January Update

The 2020-21 NBA season hasn’t been going on for that long, and it’s admittedly pretty early. It’s so early, in fact, that the Cleveland Cavaliers would be in the NBA playoffs if the season ended today. So would the New York Knicks and...

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Michael Wynn
Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for GamblingSites.com on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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