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How and Why the Heat Can Win the 2020 NBA Finals

| September 29, 2020 1:48 am PDT
4 Reasons the Miami Heat Can Win the 2020 NBA Finals

Erik Spoelstra and the Miami Heat enter the Finals as a substantial underdog. Not only are they facing a gifted squad, but the last thing Adam Silver wants to see is LeBron and the Lakers go down.

Nonetheless, that “scary thought” for the league and its revenue stream could very well turn into a reality.

Miami isn’t here just to take part in the festivities, and they certainly aren’t about to lay down and allow King James to strut his way to the finish line. As far as how the Heat can beat the Lakers and win the 2020 NBA Finals, here’s some analysis.

Depth, Depth, Depth

Los Angeles has the two-best players in this series – nobody would dispute that. But while the Purple and Gold’s roster tapers off dramatically after their star-studded duo, the Heat’s rotation is incredibly balanced.

Jimmy Butler is an animal who’s willing to do whatever it takes to win. Bam Adebayo has the skillset to help neutralize AD, and Duncan Robinson is by far the best shooter in the Finals. The way Goran Dragic and Tyler Herro have been stepping up in the backcourt, Coach Spo has the luxury of not having to depend on just one or two guys in crunch time.

Or three, or four.

He’s got five guys willing to take a big shot at the end of a game, and that doesn’t even speak to the value that Andre Iguodala brings to the table as a defender.

There’s no question the Heat are the much more balanced team. It’ll be crucial they use that to their advantage throughout the course of this series.

Force Turnovers

Eight teams have played at least 10 playoff games in the bubble. Of those eight, nobody has turned the basketball over more times per game than the Los Angeles Lakers. LeBron is handing it over to the opposition well over four times a night, and Rajon Rondo has often been careless in his decisions.

The Heat have done a so-so job at forcing turnovers thus far in the postseason, but “so-so” isn’t going to cut playing against the Lakers. Not with so little margin for error.

Should LeBron and the LA offense settle into a half-court rhythm, we’ll just be counting the days until the Lake Show are hoisting the title. Should the Miami’s defense flummox LeBron and create opportunities going the other way, it’ll be Pat Riley and company spritzing the champagne.

Control the Glass

Controlling the boards and disabling the Lakers from roaming the offensive glass is bulletin-board material for Spoelstra’s group.

One of the main reasons the Frank Vogel’s bunch has been able to cruise through the playoffs is their dominating performances on the glass. Los Angeles’ +6.5 rebounding differential is tops in the postseason, and it’s why the Nuggets are sitting at home and LA is still alive.

How can Miami avoid getting beat up on the boards?

Employ a small lineup, get out in transition, and do everything you can to speed up the game.

The less time Dwight Howard and JaVale McGee spend on the floor the less likely LA can clog up the post with their bigs. If this turns into a battle of perimeter players, I like the Heat’s chances.

Make the “Others” Beat You

What makes the Heat so tough is they have so many different ways to beat you. And so many guys who can provide the dagger.

All the Lakers do is let LeBron and Anthony Davis hoard the basketball and take the bulk of the shots while everyone else generally just stands around.

This strategy has been effective enough to bully past their competition, but the Heat can put a stop to that by taking pride on the defensive end. Look for traps and double teams to flock toward Anthony Davis anytime he touches the ball in the post. Anticipate Jimmy Butler accepting the onus of locking LeBron down.

If I’m Erik Spoelstra, I’m in my players’ ears about making the “others” beat us.

Make Danny Green hit outside shots – he shot 32.7% from downtown in the WCF. Make Kyle Kuzma prove he can be a go-to guy when it counts, and let’s see if KCP is willing to step up.

Alex Caruso is nice and all, but he’s really just a poor man’s version of Tyler Herro. A really, really poor man’s version at that.

Betting on the Heat to Win the 2020 NBA Finals

Noah Davis gets you all caught up with where to bet on the 2020 NBA Finals. I’m here to convince you that backing the Heat to win at +285 is a lot more than just a flier.

It’s a wager that offers since upside, and it’s a bet that could easily pay off.

Miami is the more balanced team, and they have the athletes in place who can defend LeBron James and Anthony Davis.

Frankly, I’m smelling some celebrating in South Beach about two weeks from now, and it has nothing to do with the Miami Dolphins.

Michael Wynn
Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for GamblingSites.com on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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