Houston Roughnecks vs. New York Guardians – XFL Week 6 Betting Preview

By Michael Wynn in XFL
| March 12, 2020 2:16 am PDT
Roughnecks Guardians Week 6 Preview

The Roughnecks keep rolling, and the Guardians appeared to get back on track, setting us up for what should be a competitive game in week 6. Houston aims to get to 6-0 and continue their dominance in the XFL, while New York hopes to carry the momentum over from a resounding victory last weekend in Dallas.

Let’s kick this Roughnecks vs. Guardians betting preview off with a quick look at how and when you can tune into the game.

Roughnecks vs. Guardians – Key Info

  • When: Saturday, March 14th
  • What Time: 2:00 pm EST
  • Where: MetLife Stadium – East Rutherford, NJ
  • Coverage: ABC

After winning on Saturday during each of the last two weeks, New York is happy to see their week 6 game scheduled for March 14th. Also worth noting is the fact that the Guardians are 2-0 at MetLife Stadium compared to 1-2 outside of East Rutherford.

At first glance, it might appear that backing the home team getting close to a full touchdown is the logical bet to place. But let’s take a deeper dive before we assume anything.

Roughnecks vs. Guardians Odds

XFL Team BetOnline Spread MyBookie Spread Bovada Spread
Roughnecks (-6.5) -110 (-6.5) -110 (-6.5) -110
Guardians (+6.5) -110 (+6.5) -110 (+6.5) -110

Not much has changed since the early week 6 XFL odds were posted. Some touts might tell you to back the Roughnecks now before the spread balloons to seven, while others will tell you 6.5 points is enough of a cushion to get behind the Guardians.

Both Houston and New York are 3-2 against the spread, so betting this game simply comes down to how you expect this matchup to pan out.

Roughnecks vs. Guardians Prediction

As solid as the Guardians have looked since inserting Luis Perez under center, there’s a reason the top sites for betting on the XFL installed the Roughnecks as a comfortable 6.5-point favorite in week 6. Houston has scored 21 touchdowns in five games, compared to the Guardians accounting for just eight.

To put those disparities into perspective, Houston leads the XFL in scoring while New York ranks dead last. In fact, the Roughnecks have actually doubled the scoring output of the Guardians at the halfway point of the regular season.

As much energy and motivation as New York will have playing in their own building, I just don’t see how this bunch is going to keep pace on the scoreboard. Kevin Gilbride’s team really struggles defending the pass, which happens to be the area on offense that Houston excels in the most.

Look for P.J. Walker to continue tearing up opposing defenses, and look for June Jones and company to move to 6-0.

Prediction – Roughnecks 29, Guardians 20

Can the Guardians Win?

Anything’s possible, but the Roughnecks haven’t given me any reason to believe they’re going to stub their toe versus the Guardians. Noah Davis pegged these two squads at the top of his week 6 XFL power rankings, but I’m not ready to concede that NY is anywhere near as good as Houston.

Winning the turnover battle would seem to be a must if New York is going to win this game, and they have to find a way to convert when they get near and around the goal line.

One thing Coach Gilbride won’t have to worry about is if the locker room believes in Luis Perez. Running back Darius Victor was asked about his belief in the team’s new quarterback, and Victor wasn’t shy about extolling Perez’s leadership.

“Luis is a great man, a great leader and I’m confident when he’s in there. I’m going to whatever I can to help him out.”

Luis has flashed his ability to comprehend defensive schemes and find the open receiver — something he’ll have to do early and often come Saturday. Getting into a shootout with Houston isn’t the recipe I’d recommend following, but it might be New York’s only shot at walking away with a victory. 

Roughnecks vs. Guardians Pick

The P.J. Walker to Cam Phillips connection is real, and the Roughnecks don’t seem to be bothered by having to play on the road. Houston has won each of their two away games by seven points, and the massive discrepancy of how many points each of these teams has scored is glaring.

Halfway through the season, I’m sensing that June Jones and his players are starting to smell the finish line. Despite the positive strides the Guardians have made as of late, I don’t envision the Roughnecks letting up in this spot.

As we’re still trying to sort things out and gauge the teams in the XFL, Houston is the one organization I have no qualms about trusting.

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