Free Horse Racing Picks and Betting Tips for Churchill Downs – Saturday, May 30, 2020

| May 30, 2020 12:21 am PDT

Churchill Downs thoroughbred racing continues for Saturday, May 30, 2020, with an 11-race card of maiden, allowance, and claiming matches that also includes two Grade III stakes races: The Winning Colors Stakes and the Old Forester Mint Julep Stakes.

The forecast for Louisville for Saturday calls for mostly sunny skies with a slight (10%) chance of rain, temps in the mid-70s, and winds around 9 mph.

While I cover three of the most lucrative races here, you can always find all of the Churchill Downs races, including entries, jockeys, and wagering options, at one of our top-rated horse racing betting sites.

Today’s Churchill Downs picks follow below. Post time for the first race on Saturday is 1 PM (EDT).

RACE 7 Winning Colors Stakes (Grade III)

  • Post Time: 4:08 PM
  • Purse: $100,000
  • Type: STAKES
  • Distance: 6 furlongs
  • Conditions: For Fillies And Mares, Four Years Old And Upward

Race 7 Runners and Odds Forecast

  • 1 Sneaking Out, J L Ortiz, 12/1
  • 2 Break Even, J Rosario, 9/5
  • 3 Princess Causeway, C Landeros, 12/1
  • 4 Bell’s the One, C J Lanerie, 15/1
  • 5 Unique Factor, F Geroux, 30/1
  • 6 Take Charge Angel, J R Leparoux, 20/1
  • 7 Spiced Perfection, J Castellano , 7/2
  • 8 Mia Mischief, R Santana, Jr., 8/5
  • 9 Lady Suebee, SCRATCHED

Race 7 Prediction and Pick

I’m going with the second-favored (9/5) horse in this race—Break Even, with Joel Rosario aboard. This four-year-old filly has an exemplary record: Nine career starts, eight finishes in the money, seven of them wins.

Race 7 Tip

I don’t see any bargains in the longer odds entries here, so save your longshot money.

  • Break Even


  • Post Time: 5:12 PM
  • Purse: $83,000
  • Distance: 5-1/2 furlongs (turf)
  • Conditions: For Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward Which Have Never Won $10,000 Twice Other Than Maiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Three Races Or Claiming Price $62,500. If deemed inadvisable by management to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at Five and a Half Furlongs

Race 9 Runners and Odds Forecast

  • 1 Queen of Shades, SCRATCHED
  • 1A Originator, C Landeros, 7/2
  • 2 Fame Feather, S Doyle, 15/1
  • 3 Dance Rhythms, R Bejarano, 15/1
  • 4 Tia Flor, C A Diaz, 50/1
  • 5 I’llhandalthecash, A Beschizza, 10/1
  • 6 Bingwa, G Corrales, 3/1
  • 7 Unaquoi, J L Ortiz, 8/1
  • 8 Cardamon (KY), M Garcia, 8/1
  • 9 Baroness Vontrappe, SCRATCHED
  • 10 Whimsical Muse, J Graham, 10/1
  • 11 Dixieincandyland, J Rosario, 9/2
  • 12 Even Beat, J L Ortiz, 10/1
  • 13 Hidden Facts, J Castellano, 4/1

Race 9 Prediction and Pick

I like the third-favored (9/2) horse in this race, Dixieincandyland, piloted by veteran Joel Rosario, in this race. This four-year-old filly has five money finishes (two of them wins) in seven career starts.

Race 9 Tip

You might want to take a look at the 15/1 Dance Rhythms, with Rafael Bejarano in the irons. While this five-year-old mare has a fair to middlin’ record (27 career starts, 13 money finishes, seven of them wins), her pilot is the winningest jockey in this race. Could be a surprise.

  • Dixieincandyland

RACE 11 – Old Forester Mint Julep Stakes (Grade III)

  • Post Time: 6:16 PM
  • Purse: $100,000
  • Type: STAKES
  • Distance: 1-1/16 miles (turf)
  • Conditions: For Fillies And Mares, Four Years Old And Upward

Race 11 Runners and Odds Forecast

  • 1 Juliet Foxtrot, F Geroux, 5/2
  • 2 Beau Recall, S Bridgmohan, 4/1
  • 3 Winning Envelope, J R Leparoux, 20/1
  • 4 She’sonthewarpath, C Sutherland, 20/1
  • 5 La Signare, R Santana, Jr., 20/1
  • 6 Nay Lady Nay, J L Ortiz, 4/1
  • 7 Secret Message, J R Velazquez, 8/1
  • 8 Altea, J Rosario, 12/1
  • 9 Varenka, J Castellano, 12/1
  • 10 Hanalei Moon, T Gaffalione, 20/1
  • 11 Zofelle, C J Lanerie, 20/1
  • 12 Coco Channel, R Bejarano, 50/1
  • 13 Elizabeth Way, B J Hernandez, Jr., 20/1
  • 14 Mitchell Road, J Talamo, 10/1

Race 11 Prediction and Pick

I’m sticking with the 5/2 favorite in this stakes race: Juliet Foxtrot, with Florent Geroux in the irons. Plenty of strong competition in this race—mostly on the jockey side—but Geroux and his mount have that pole position to work with. Oh, and Juliet Foxtrot’s record is nothing to sneer at: 14 career starts, seven money finishes with four of those wins.

Race 11 Tip

At 10/1, Mitchell Road with Joseph Talamo aboard, is better than the moneyline would have you believe. This five-year-old mare has 13 career starts, with 11 money finishes—six of them wins.

  • Juliet Foxtrot

For more regularly provided picks, head over to our horse racing blog.

J.W. Paine

J.W. Paine is one of the most experienced writers at He's written for television and the printed media, and is a published novelist (as Tom Elliott).

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