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Four of the Best Bets for UFC 250 – O’Malley’s Odds Looking Good

| June 4, 2020 1:36 am PDT
Best UFC 250 Bets

If you’re looking to bet on Amanda Nunes defending her UFC women’s featherweight title this weekend, I have a great bet for you to consider.

Nunes faces Canada’s Felicia Spencer this Saturday, June 6, on the headline fight of UFC 250. The bouts will go down behind closed doors at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, having been given the green light by the Nevada State Athletic Commission last week.

The top UFC sportsbooks have Nunes as the overwhelming favorite to win this fight. Naturally, that means the odds won’t be as enticing as you might like. But the good news is that there are Nunes vs. Spencer bets with odds that are more than appealing.

And that applies to the co-main event between Raphael Assuncao and former UFC bantamweight kingpin Cody Garbrandt, too. Of the best UFC 250 bets out there, this fight has a few markets that could make you very happy indeed.

I have spent a few hours looking over the top bets for UFC 250 and have identified four that stand out as solid choices.

Take a look. 

Amanda Nunes to Win by KO/TKO/DQ (-250)

With moneyline odds on Nunes floating close to -800 with some bookies, I wouldn’t blame anyone for looking at props and specials for some value.

Nunes’ status as the most dominant female fighter on the planet has led to some slim pickings in some of her recent fights. It’s no surprise to see her come into this bout with Spencer with a lot of money riding on her. 

Spencer is tough — she proved that by going the distance with the scary Cris Cyborg. She has solid fundamentals, with her wrestling worthy of a mention. But as good as she has looked in her 8 pro fights, I don’t see how she beats Nunes.

Nunes is the ultimate fighting machine in the women’s ranks. Since submitting Miesha Tate to win the bantamweight title in 2016, she has blasted holes through the best in the sport. She has dominated women who will go down as genuine legends in MMA and has often made it look easy.

Strong, powerful, and technically sound, Nunes has no discernible weakness. At one time, cardio was a problem for the Brazilian, but this was fixed a long time ago. A potent striker and solid grappler, Nunes is about as well rounded as they come. 

As for how this one goes? I have to back Nunes to win by KO/TKO/DQ at -250. Those odds are pretty good considering she has four KO/TKOs in her last six wins. The two fighters who pushed her to the cards were the consensus number 2 pound-for-pound female fighter, Valentina Shevchenko, and Germaine de Randamie — both ladies are elite strikers.

If you want to learn a little bit more about my thoughts about this fight, feel free to check out a recent Nunes vs. Spencer fight preview I released.

Raphael Assuncao to Win (+130)

If Nunes’ moneyline price is not worth taking in the main event, the exact opposite stands for Assuncao’s odds to beat Garbrandt in a sweet co-main.

That’s my thinking, at least. At +130, the Brazilian veteran enters his 35th contest as a pro against Garbrandt, who is staring down the barrel of mediocrity. And that is a shame, considering the potential “No Love” showed us before his first loss.

Garbrandt became just the second fighter to beat the legendary Dominick Cruz at UFC 207 in December 2016. Not only did Garbrandt beat Cruz, but he absolutely schooled him on a night where fans watched his stock shoot into the stratosphere. 

But Garbrandt would go on to lose by TKO in the second round in what was his first defense. The man who beat him that night, T.J. Dillashaw, knocked him out in one round in the subsequent rematch. Then, Garbrandt lost three in three when he was knocked out by Pedro Munhoz in March 2019.

Having suffered from crippling injuries and low confidence, I’m not sure how much Garbrandt has left in him. But against a fighter as well rounded as Assuncao, we will find out. But backing him as the favorite on past glories doesn’t do it for me — instead, I’m betting on Assuncao to get the win.

Assuncao is a dangerous matchup for Garbrandt. He might not have proven stoppage power, but he does have a snap in his punches. More than this, he is an excellent counter striker with a high fight IQ — things that could make Saturday night one to forget for the 28-year-old.

If you are still unsure about who to bet on in this fight, I would suggest reading my in-depth Assuncao vs. Garbrandt fight preview.

Sean O’Malley to Win by KO/TKO/DQ/Submission (-163)

If there is one fighter in the UFC doing his own thing right now, it’s “Sugar” Sean O’Malley.

Sure, any slick young fighter gets compared with Conor McGregor at some point, and even though it does not help that O’Malley has a name that is more Irish than St. Patrick’s Day, he is unique to the Dubliner.

Although O’Malley’s ascent up the UFC ladder has been hampered by run-ins with USADA, fans are still very excited to see what he can do in the sport. Against Eddie Wineland, he undoubtedly faces a tough test.

O’Malley’s last appearance inside the Octagon ended with a first-round stoppage win over Jose Alberto Quinonez. In some ways, it was a shame that we didn’t get to see him tested, but this is where Wineland comes in.

Wineland’s knockout of Grigory Popov in his last fight was good to watch, but Popov is nowhere near O’Malley’s level. And even though the former WEC Bantamweight champion is set on hanging around the UFC a little longer, I think the quality of O’Malley might have him questioning his future.

One thing I will say about “Sugar” is that he seemingly has a very cultured skillset. We haven’t seen any major weaknesses in his game, so Wineland might go in there looking for an early finish. If he does that, I think O’Malley will add another stoppage win to his record.

You can get odds of -163 on O’Malley to win by KO/TKO/DQ or submission, which is excellent for a guy that has proven knockout power as well as a dangerous submission game.

Neil Magny to Win (-150)

The last of my best bets for UFC 250 is Neil Magny to beat Anthony Rocco Martin.

I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again — Magny is one of those guys that does the basics very well. He is not flashy, nor does he stand out for any particular skill. There is no x-factor to Magny’s work, but underestimate him at your own peril.

You might have forgotten (or just plain don’t know) that Magny has wins over Kelvin Gastelum, Carlos Condit, and Johny Hendricks in the UFC. Yes, there is an argument that Condit and Hendricks were past their sell-by dates when they lost those fights, but they still entered as the betting favorites. 

Martin is dangerous — there is no doubt about that. His knockout of Ryan LaFlare and submission of Jake Matthews proves that. But I think Magny has his number here, and I’m confident that he will find a way to negate Martin’s aggression. 

Magny’s seven-inch reach advantage is going to make it difficult for Martin to find his range, and I think he’s in for a frustrating night against the UFC veteran.

The odds for Magny beating Martin are -150. I’m happy with them. 

Closing Thoughts

That’s about it for my UFC 250 best bets, with Nunes, Assuncao, O’Malley, and Magny getting the nod from yours truly.

Although I was initially disappointed when this card was announced, I am genuinely stoked to watch the majority of the fights on Saturday night. There are some really good matchups on show and plenty of opportunities to get some smart bets down.

If you’re looking for more bets for the Nunes vs. Spencer card, why not check out my UFC 250 predictions piece where I give my thoughts on all fights scheduled for June 6?

Oh, and let me know your thoughts on UFC 250 by dropping me a line below!

Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA, boxing, and combat sports.

When Adam isn't writing about those, as well as politics, rugby, and Gaelic Games, he can be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

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