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Top Fantasy Baseball Picks to Draft Using 2022 ADP Data
Fantasy baseball is here, and we have to prepare for our drafts. Get into as many mock drafts as you can to see where your favorite fantasy players are going this year and research everything you can.
To help you along the way, we have our 2022 fantasy baseball ADP to get you started. Average draft position is crucial in fantasy drafts because it is the general area where the players will be taken around.
If you want a particular player in your draft, you could be in trouble, but their ADP is up next rather than your next pick. To prepare for all possible outcomes of our drafts, let’s get right into the fantasy baseball ADP data for this year and how to apply the numbers to your draft.
Understanding Fantasy Baseball Average Draft Position
You might be asking yourself, “What is ADP in fantasy baseball?” Understanding ADP is essential for your fantasy drafts, so let’s make sure we fully know what we are talking about before we get into the top fantasy baseball picks for this year.
ADP, as you know, stands for average draft position. In your fantasy drafts, you will be able to see a tab at the top of your draft board with “ADP.” If you are in an online draft, you can likely click that tab, and it will sort the list of available players by their ADP.
This will allow you to see which players are going where. Whichever site or rankings tool you’re using before might have used a different order of players, while ADP will ensure you know which players are going earlier or later.
That will allow you to make sure you don’t draft someone too early or wait too late until they’re gone. Many people will have similar players they want to target on their draft boards, so it’s important to know where these players are going exactly in drafts.
You want to ensure that you don’t overpay for players that you can get a few rounds later. That should mean you grab a couple of other top players before grabbing the player you initially looked at.
Let’s look at our early findings of ADPs this year and see what the best corresponding picks are.
Biggest Fantasy Baseball ADP Risers & Fallers
- Matt Olson, 1B, Braves (ADP: 30.9)
- Byron Buxton, OF, Twins (ADP: 56.5)
- Kris Bryant, 1B/3B/OF, Rockies (ADP: 65.9)
Olson is coming off an outstanding 2021 campaign, hitting 39 home runs and reaching above triple digits in runs and RBI. His slash line was also fantastic at .271/.371/.540.
Olson saw a boost in his ADP after coming off a career year. He should be a great option in a stellar Braves offense in 2022.
Byron Buxton is one of the most electric baseball players in the league, and it translates to fantasy in a major way. He can be the No. 1 fantasy player overall if he can play most of this season.
The problem with Buxton, though, is health. He has had major injury problems throughout his career, only playing more than 100 games (140 in 2017) once in his 7-year career.
The reason why he’s a riser in fantasy ADP because nobody is dealing with his health problems in the offseason.
Kris Bryant can reach new heights in Rockies Stadium, so his ADP is rising on his new team.
- Aaron Nola, SP, Phillies (ADP: 42.9)
- Fernando Tatis Jr., SS/OF, Padres (ADP: 101.3)
- Chris Sale, SP, Red Sox (ADP: 143.1)
Now for the ADP fallers, we have two players who have been struggling with injuries and another whose level of play hasn’t been what we have hoped recently.
Fernando Tatis Jr. is another player who can be a No. 1 fantasy player overall like Buxton, but the injuries have caused a major headache recently.
Tatis reportedly got in multiple motorcycle accidents over the offseason and needed wrist surgery. His surgery will knock him out for about the next three months.
These six players have seen their movement in the ADP this year, but they aren’t the only ones. It’s important to keep an eye on who regularly falls because it can change before the season starts.
Picks to Target Early in Fantasy Baseball Drafts
ADP affects all rounds of the draft, even the early ones. Certain players fall by a few selections even though they are some of the best players in fantasy. Preseason hype can change a lot of fantasy players’ perspectives, and some players will see their ADPs dip a little.
Here are some great picks in the early rounds of drafts due to the changes in their 2022 fantasy baseball ADP.
Mookie Betts, 2B/OF, Dodgers (ADP: 11.4)
I think Mookie Betts is one of the best fantasy baseball steals in 2022. You might not believe a steal can come as early as round 1, but I beg to differ. Mookie Betts is an incredible fantasy baseball player and can be the No. 1 overall player if he can put together an entire season.
He will be hitting at the top of the lineup, which will allow him to score an insane number of runs. I wouldn’t be surprised if Betts hits 120+ runs this year.
When Mookie is at his best, he can be a .300 hitter while getting 120+ runs, 25+ home runs, 80+ RBI, and 15+ steals. That would make him an amazing pick at the end of the first round.
Yordan Alvarez, OF/DH, Astros (ADP: 23.8)
Another player you should be looking at in the first couple of rounds of drafts is Yordan Alvarez of the Houston Astros. This year, Alvarez should have outfielder eligibility in your fantasy leagues, which will be better than being just a DH.
Now that the DH will be in the NL, Alvarez can play every day at DH. The Astros will still have a dynamic lineup despite the loss of Carlos Correa over the offseason.
We could be seeing a 40+ home runs season out of Alvarez this year if everything goes according to plan, with triple-digit runs and RBI as well.
Shane Bieber, SP, Guardians (ADP: 27.5)
A pitcher I like in the first couple of rounds is Shane Bieber from the Cleveland Guardians.
This year, Bieber is coming at a great price in fantasy drafts, hanging around the 2nd or 3rd round. The reason why he’s a bit lower than usual because he was banged up last year and pitched 96.2 total innings.
He was still very good in 2021 when he did pitch, having an ERA of 3.17 and striking out 12.48 batters per nine innings. Bieber was on another planet in the shortened 2020 season, having a 14.20 K/9 and a sparkling ERA of 1.63.
Bieber is someone we should be interested in backing in the MLB betting world, too. Check out this 2022 AL Cy Young Award betting preview to see where he falls in line with the top pitchers in the American League in 2022.
Best Fantasy Baseball Steals for 2022
After the first couple of rounds, you’ll want to start looking for your best fantasy baseball steals. Depending on their ADP, anyone could be taken from the middle rounds to the later rounds.
Let’s look at some of the best fantasy baseball value picks this year.
Jose Abreu, 1B, White Sox (ADP: 60.7)
Jose Abreu has been one of the most reliable hitters in baseball over the past couple of years. He will be 35 years old for this season, but his age hasn’t slowed him down yet.
Abreu entered the MLB in 2014 when he was 27 years old. He’s done nothing but produces in basically every season since then.
The White Sox first baseman has gotten 100+ RBI in 6 of his eight seasons in his career while hitting 25+ home runs in the same amount of seasons.
He should be a reliable pick and could be a steal since people will be worried about his age.
Alex Bregman, 3B, Astros (ADP: 75.3)
I like to have a big bounce-back season; Alex Bregman of the Houston Astros is one player. Bregman has been one of the best fantasy third basemen for the last few years but struggled with injuries in 2021.
Bregman played three straight seasons with 155+ games played from 2017 to 2019. 2020 was a shortened season again, and then he played the 91 games in 2022.
He’s getting drafted very late, considering his potential and previous years. That makes him one of the best fantasy baseball picks in the mid to later rounds.
Nolan Arenado, 3B, Cardinals (ADP: 62.7)
Yet another incredibly reliable player is Nolan Arenado of the St. Louis Cardinals. Arenado will not put up any career years anymore, as his time in Colorado was insane.
If you take out the shortened 2020 season, Arenado will have six straight seasons with 100+ RBI and 34+ home runs. He should be ready to continue his streak in 2022, so another 30+ home runs and 100+ RBI seems likely.
They could be well worth the pick when you have reliable players like Abreu and Arenado available in the middle rounds of fantasy drafts.
Late-Round Values to Consider in 2022
- Mitch Haniger, OF, Mariners (ADP: 93.2)
- Anthony Rendon, 3B, Angels (ADP: 98.9)
- Jared Walsh, 1B/OF, Angels (ADP: 107.4)
- Max Muncy, 1B/2B, Dodgers (ADP: 113.7)
- Justin Turner, 3B, Dodgers (ADP: 131.9)
- Mike Clevinger, SP, Padres (ADP: 161.8)
Here are some great late-round picks that could be well worth their average draft position.
Mitch Haniger quietly has been an outstanding fantasy player over the past couple of years or so. The Mariners are turning the corner between rebuilding and competing, which means Haniger could be in for another great season.
He’s a big reason why the Mariners are among the best 2022 MLB win total bets to target. He’s coming off a 39-home run, 110 runs, and 100 RBI seasons in 2021, with solid seasons in 2018 and 2019.
Rendon is another great stick to build around in 2022 fantasy baseball drafts. Check out my 2022 fantasy baseball sleepers to see why the Angels slugger could be a great value pick for this year.
These other players also look like great picks, according to their ADPs. The biggest thing to look out for is their floors and ceilings while also considering their health.
How to Use Fantasy Baseball ADP to Your Advantage in 2022
The best way to utilize the 2022 fantasy baseball ADP is to see where certain players are going in specific ranges. If a player is going a bit too high this year to your liking, you can keep that in mind when you think about drafting them or not.
Fantasy baseball sites don’t always do the best job of ranking their players and keeping them up to date. Average draft position is the best way to know where players are usually drafted around. Make sure you sort by “ADP” rather than your site’s basic rankings in your drafts.
For more fantasy content, check out my 2022 fantasy baseball player position rankings below.