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Europa League Final Betting Preview for 2019 – Chelsea vs. Arsenal
The soccer season across Europe is almost over, but there are a couple of very important games left. I’m talking about the finals of most domestic cups and the UEFA tournaments.
Most people will be looking at the Champions League final between Spurs and Liverpool, but the one between Chelsea and Arsenal in the Europa League will be equally interesting.
On May 29th, the two clubs from London will have a chance to save their season. The Blues desperately need the trophy after a lot of disappointments, while this is the last chance for the Gunners to play in the Champions League next year.
It will be a fierce clash, so I decided to share my betting preview. It features the latest betting odds for the Europa League final, analysis of both teams, as well as picks and predictions for the big game.
Before I get there, you should probably check out our list of the top soccer betting sites if you are looking for a bookmaker to bet on the Europa League Final online.
Chelsea vs. Arsenal Betting Odds
The logical starting point would be to take a look at the odds. These are the current odds offered by BetOnline.
I’m rarely surprised by the betting odds for such big games, but this one is an exception. I’m not exactly sure why Chelsea is the slight favorite here.
Both teams have their issues and have been inconsistent through the entire season and the last couple of weeks. Sure, Chelsea finished higher in the English Premier League, but only by two points.
At the same time, the Gunners were better in the Europa League semi-finals, and their attacking duo is looking great right now.
In my opinion, the prices should’ve been closer than that, at least in the match result and Europa League winner markets.
I’m not sure about the goals market, either. Arsenal’s biggest strength right now is the attack, while Hazard will be extremely dangerous, considering the lack of a proper right back in the Gunners’ team. I can certainly see both teams scoring here, so the line of 2.5 goals might be a bit low.
But before I share my final betting pick for the Europa League Final, let’s dig a bit deeper.
Chelsea Road to Final, Team News, and Analysis
The Chelsea season started brightly, with new manager Maurizio Sarri implementing his own brand of soccer early on. The team looked unstoppable for a couple of months before the rest of the English Premier League eventually figured out that stopping Jorginho is the key.
The lack of clinical finishers up front and some experiments with the position of players like Ngolo Kante and Eden Hazard didn’t help, either. From there on, it was a struggle for Chelsea.
The team failed to impress in the domestic competitions. The third place in the EPL might be a decent achievement on paper, but a deeper look shows that’s hardly the case. The Blues were miles behind Liverpool and Manchester City.
The season was mediocre, and only the even bigger failures of Arsenal, Tottenham, and Manchester United helped the Blues finish that high.
In reality, the team has struggled badly. The biggest problems are in the attacking phase of the game. Chelsea managed to score 63 goals in England, which is the worst record in the top 6.
You could see similar problems in the Europa League semi-final against Eintracht Frankfurt. The Blues don’t create many chances, and they lack a prolific scorer.
Alvaro Morata was supposed to be that man at the start of the season, but he failed. Gonzalo Higuain was signed in January to replace him, but the Argentinian looks past his prime and didn’t solve Chelsea’s issues.
The back-up striker Olivier Giroud was decent at times, but he was never a prolific scorer. Still, the Frenchman found the net 10 times in Europa League this season, so I won’t be surprised if he starts in the final.
Giroud plays well with Eden Hazard, who’s the main attacking threat of the Blues. The Belgian will probably end up in Real Madrid next season, but he is a good professional, so I don’t expect a potential transfer to mess with his head.
The exciting news for Chelsea is that Arsenal is struggling in Hazard’s zone. The starting full-back Hector Bellerin suffers from a long-term injury, while back-ups Lichtsteiner and Jenkinson have failed to impress.
The Belgian winger will probably face Ainsley Maitland-Niles, who’s inexperienced and out of position. That would be one of the key duels in this match.
On the other hand, Chelsea will have to find a way to stop Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Alexandre Lacazette. The duo is on fire right now, and the defense of the Blues is decent but far from perfect.
The pace of the Gunners already caused a bunch of troubles in the first two meetings between the teams this season, so I could easily see the same happening in the Europa League final.
A quick look at the team news for the game shows that Chelsea will be without Antonio Rudiger and Callum Hudson-Odoi. Ngolo Kante is questionable, as the French midfielder is struggling with a calf injury.
I expect him to start, though, as his engine and ability to recover the ball quickly might be crucial in the final.
Arsenal Road to Final, Team News, and Analysis
If Chelsea’s season has been inconsistent, I’m not sure what word we should use for Arsenal’s campaign. The Gunners looked like world beaters at times and like a Sunday League in other moments. There were fantastic performances against strong opponents and dreadful losses against mediocre teams.
The side was especially bad away from home, which ultimately cost Arsenal a place in the top 4. The new manager Unai Emery will be desperate to win the Europa League Final, as this could have a huge impact on the fate of the club in the next couple of seasons.
The trophy itself would be a nice start of his career at the helm, but the Champions League spot for the next campaign is what matters the most.
It will make Arsenal a desirable destination for top players and provide the club more resources to get them. I feel that this game is way more important for the Gunners at this point.
The news before the match and the performances in the past couple of weeks are mixed. If you look at the games from the EPL, it doesn’t look good. Arsenal had a rather easy run on paper but failed to capitalize and finished 5th.
The team was abysmal at times, and the defense let in a total of 51 goals, which is unacceptable for a team of Arsenal’s ambitions.
On the bright side, the Gunners had the third-best attack behind Manchester City and Liverpool. You could see that in Europa League, too, especially in the semis against Valencia. Aubameyang and Lacazette scored a total of 7 goals in the tie and demolished the Spaniards.
The former Borussia Dortmund striker is flying currently, which also helped him win the EPL Golden Boot.
At times, Unai Emery was reluctant to use both players at the same time, but there is no doubt that the best starting lineup of Arsenal should include them. The problem with such a formation, especially if Ozil plays too, is that there is no help on the wings.
As I already mentioned, this could be a problem as Hazard will be targeting the young Maitland-Niles for most of the game. The Arsenal midfield must provide enough cover for the full-back, so a lot will rely on players like Torreira and Xhaka.
The defense of the Gunners has been atrocious at times, but the return of skipper Laurent Koscielny certainly helped in the later stages of the season. When the Frenchman is on the pitch, he lifts the whole back line of Arsenal.
Despite a bunch of minor problems in the past month or two, Koscielny will most probably play in the Europa League final, and I expect to see Sokratis Papastathopoulos next to him. That’s the best partnership Emery has at the back.
The manager will have to cope with some issues in terms of team news. I already mentioned that Bellerin is out, but Aaron Ramsey will also miss the final. The Welshman is one of the reasons Arsenal will play there, and there is no player that could replace him directly.
Europa League Final Betting Pick and Predictions
It’s time to share my betting pick for the Europa League Final between Chelsea and Arsenal. As you could see from my analysis, I feel that this one will be close, and both teams have their chances.
I don’t think that Chelsea should be the favorite here, so one of the solid options would be to back Arsenal to lift the trophy. The price of 2.10 is decent enough.
The same could be said about the 1.98 available for the over 2.5 goals. Aubameyang and Lacazette are simply flying at the moment, while Hazard will have the chance to torment Arsenal on the left.
I could see both teams scoring here, so this final could be a classic. Since the odds in both cases are good, I feel that backing both outcomes makes sense.
My correct score prediction would be for Arsenal to win 2-1 during the regular time.
I’m really excited about this game and can’t wait to see the two London clubs fight in the Europa League Final.
I honestly can’t separate Arsenal and Chelsea right now, so I’ve gone after the higher odds with my betting pick. Do you agree with my analysis, or do you think that I missed something important?
Feel free to share your opinion in the comments below, and good luck!