EPL Predictions and Betting Picks – July 26, 2020

By Ben Morris in English Premier League
| July 25, 2020 3:13 am PDT

Liverpool lifted the Premier League trophy following their 5-3 thrashing of Chelsea in midweek, but there is still one more round of the 2019/20 EPL season to play.

Remarkably, six of the remaining ten fixtures still have ramifications at both ends of the table. Manchester United, Chelsea, and Leicester will all be looking to secure a top-four finish, while Bournemouth, Watford, and Aston Villa battle to avoid relegation.

It’s set to be a thrilling final day! Here is Sunday’s Premier League fixture list in full.

  • Chelsea vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • Leicester City vs. Manchester United
  • Southampton vs. Sheffield United
  • Newcastle United vs. Liverpool
  • West Ham United vs. Aston Villa
  • Burnley vs. Brighton & Hove Albion
  • Arsenal vs. Watford
  • Manchester City vs. Norwich City
  • Crystal Palace vs. Tottenham Hotspur
  • Everton vs. Bournemouth

Leicester vs. Man Utd is arguably the tie of the round, with both sides aiming to qualify for next season’s Champions League. Both teams could finish in the top four if they draw and Chelsea loses to Wolves.

Villa has the upper hand in the relegation scrap, although Watford and Bournemouth will still be confident of breaking out of the drop zone. As we know, Norwich has already been relegated to the second tier.

The final day of the season is bound to spring up a few surprises, but I will try my best to predict the outcome of every Premier League game taking place on July 26. I also share my best value EPL betting picks for Sunday’s action.

Chelsea and Wolves to Draw

Chelsea knows that a win on the final day will secure their spot in the top four, but I don’t think Wolves will make life easy for the Blues. With Tottenham just one point behind, the Wanderers will be looking to seal sixth place with a victory on Sunday.

It’s been another hugely successful season for Nuno Espirito Santo’s side, and the team has returned from the unexpected lay-off in strong form. Wolves have only lost two of their eight games since the restart, while five wins during that period have put them on the verge of qualifying for the Europa League once again.

On the other hand, Chelsea has been pretty unpredictable since the resumption. The Blues picked up an impressive victory over Man City, but defeats to West Ham, Sheff Utd, and Liverpool prove the team still has a lot of learning to do.

Wolves generally perform well against the top sides in the division, so I can see this game ending in a draw.

Man Utd to Beat Leicester

It is difficult to overstate the importance of this Champions League showdown. Man Utd currently sits third on 63 points, while Leicester is fifth with 62 points. The winner of this matchup would finish in the top four, although a draw would be good enough for the Red Devils.

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s side extended their unbeaten run to 13 games in the league with a 1-1 draw against West Ham on Wednesday. Teenage sensation Mason Greenwood netted his fifth goal in six appearances to earn United a point, but it was by no means a convincing performance from the team.

Off-form Leicester suffered a damaging 3-0 loss to Tottenham last time out, meaning the Foxes have only managed to win two of their eight games since the break. Brendan Rodgers’ men were firmly in control of their Champions League bid earlier in the campaign, but I think they will miss out on a top-four finish with a defeat on the final day.

Southampton to Beat Sheff Utd

Southampton’s 9-0 drubbing at the hands of Leicester feels like a lifetime ago, doesn’t it? Saints suffered the joint-heaviest EPL defeat back in October, but manager Ralph Hasenhuttl has since transformed his side into one of the division’s most feared teams.

Recent victories over Norwich, Watford, and Man City have propelled the club to mid-table safety, and the south coast side has only lost one of their previous eight league outings. By contrast, Sheff Utd comes into this game on the back of consecutive defeats.

There is absolutely no denying that Chris Wilder and his players have exceeded all expectations this season. Following an outstanding comeback campaign, the Blades will, unfortunately, miss out on European qualification this term. But the fact that we are even talking about Sheff Utd playing in Europe is amazing.

The Blades currently find themselves eighth, although they could finish as low as tenth. I’m backing Southampton to extend their strong end to the season with another win.

Liverpool to Beat Newcastle

Liverpool heads into the last day of the season with a mammoth 18-point lead over second-place Man City. Due to the lengthy lay-off, it’s easy to forget just how good the Reds have been this season. So, I’m sure that Jurgen Klopp will want his players to put on one last show for everyone on Sunday.

Despite failing to win any of their previous five games, Newcastle must be given huge credit for their efforts this term. With ongoing off-field issues continuing to hamper the club, Steve Bruce has managed to guide the Magpies to a very respectable thirteenth place. Considering that Newcastle was among the pre-season favorites for relegation, this is an excellent achievement.

Newcastle put together a decent four-game unbeaten run directly after the break, but the team’s performances have dipped dramatically in recent weeks. I’m expecting Liverpool to sign off with a convincing win at St. James’ Park.

Aston Villa to Beat West Ham

Aston Villa looked dead and buried following a dismal ten-game winless streak between February and July. However, Dean Smith’s men have given themselves a genuine chance of avoiding relegation on the final day of the season. Having taken seven points from their last three outings, Villa sits just outside the bottom three on goal difference.

At the same time, West Ham’s relegation fears have vanished. The Hammers renewed their top-flight status for another year by holding Man Utd to a draw last time out, while recent victories over Chelsea, Norwich, and Watford have seen the club move four points clear of the drop zone.

The pressure is now off for West Ham, so I can see David Moyes’ side taking their foot off the gas a little. Villa knows that a win should seal their safety. Does the away side need a bigger incentive? I don’t think so.

Burnley to Beat Brighton

Both these teams have nothing left to play for this term. Ninth-place Burnley is guaranteed a top-half finish, while Brighton will just be happy to come into this game without needing to get a result.

It’s fair to say that the Seagulls haven’t made life easy for themselves lately. In fact, Brighton has only managed to win two of their 17 league games in 2020. Their form since the turn of the year has been iffy at best, although nine draws have prevented the club from dropping into the bottom three.

By contrast, Burnley could not have wished for a better 2020. Sean Dyche’s overachievers have lost just one of their previous 15 league games, with their only loss coming against a rampant Man City team. The Clarets come into this game on a seven-game unbeaten run and could finish as high as eighth if results elsewhere go their way.

Burnley sits 16 points ahead of Brighton for a reason. The Seagulls know they will be playing in the EPL again next term, but the host’s superiority is likely to shine through on Sunday.

Arsenal to Beat Watford

Just as Arsenal supporters were starting to get excited about their team again, the Gunners lose to relegation-struggler Aston Villa. Mikel Arteta’s men picked up ten points from a possible 12 at the start of July, as well as beating Liverpool and Man City in the space of a week. But the defeat to Villa quickly brought them back down to earth.

Watford’s survival bid is now out of their hands following back-to-back defeats. Consecutive victories over Norwich and Newcastle put the club in a strong position to beat the drop, but the ludicrous sacking of manager Nigel Pearson with just two games remaining has significantly dented their chances of avoiding relegation.

The Hornets were completely outplayed by Man City in their previous game and eventually suffered a demoralizing 4-0 defeat. Unfortunately for Watford, I can see Arsenal racking up a similar scoreline at the Emirates Stadium.

Man City to Beat Norwich

Norwich caused one of the upsets of the season by beating Man City 3-2 back in September, but it’s important to remember that a lot has changed since then. Indeed, the Canaries have only managed to win three of their 32 league games since their famous victory over City, and they head into the final day of the campaign on a dreadful nine-game losing streak.

It goes without saying that Man City has been nowhere near their best this term. However, Pep Guardiola’s men have been almost unstoppable since the resumption, winning seven of their last nine league games with an aggregate scoreline of 28-1!

With Kevin De Bruyne two goals shy of Thierry Henry’s assist record for a single Premier League season, you can bet your bottom dollar that the Belgian magician will be in the mood to thrash Norwich. Then again, when is Man City not in the mood to hammer their opponents?

Tottenham to Beat Crystal Palace

Harry Kane netted a superb double as Tottenham saw off Champions League-chaser Leicester last time out. Spurs are now unbeaten in their last five league games and come into this clash on the back of three straight wins. Jose Mourinho’s men cannot finish any lower than seventh this season, and they could even snatch sixth place from Wolves if the final day treats them well.

In all honesty, things could not be going much worse for Crystal Palace. A four-game winning run either side of the lay-off had the club dreaming of European soccer, but eight straight defeats have since seen the Eagles plummet down the table.

Scoring goals has been a problem for Palace all season, although the team has struggled even more since the restart. Roy Hodgson’s side has only managed to score in one of their previous eight outings, so Spurs will surely be looking forward to facing the division’s off-form team this weekend.

Everton and Bournemouth to Draw

It has become increasingly difficult to predict the outcome of an Everton game lately. The Toffees have claimed victories over Norwich, Leicester, and Sheff Utd since the season resumed. But defeats to Tottenham and Wolves prove that the Merseysiders are nowhere near the country’s top clubs.

Bournemouth will take confidence from the fact that Everton has struggled to pick up results recently. The Cherries know that anything other than a win on the final day will see them drop down into the Championship, so they have no choice but to go for broke at Goodison Park.

It is no secret that Bournemouth has been woeful since the restart, losing six of their eight games since the campaign got back underway. However, with so much at stake, I can see the south coast side scraping a draw on Sunday.

EPL Picks for Sunday, July 26

You’ve had my predictions for the final day of the 2019/20 Premier League season. It’s now time to cover my EPL betting picks for Sunday’s games.

Chelsea vs. Wolves – Wolves and Draw Double Chance (1.90)

Chelsea (1.83) sits just four points ahead of Wolves (4.00) as we head into the last day of the campaign. So, considering that both teams still have something to play for, I think the odds for the away win are very generous here.

Wolves may struggle to pick up all three points, but they are more than capable of snatching a draw. After all, Chelsea’s defensive frailties were exposed by Liverpool in midweek, and the Wanderers always seem to rise to the occasion against the division’s bigger clubs.

Southampton vs. Sheff Utd – Danny Ings to Score (2.00)

Leicester’s Jamie Vardy currently leads the Golden Boot race with 23 goals, but Danny Ings is only two behind. The Southampton striker has enjoyed a remarkable campaign up to now, and he has been in fine form since the season resumed.

Ings has netted six goals in his last eight appearances, so you’d be foolish to bet against him adding to his tally against a Sheff Utd backline that has been far from convincing this side of the lay-off. Given Ings’ relentless recent form, odds of 2.00 for him to score on Sunday seem too good to miss.

Newcastle vs. Liverpool – Both Teams to Score (1.90)

Since Liverpool (1.33) secured the title, there is no denying that the team has become complacent. The Reds have conceded 11 goals in their previous six games, although they have still been scoring at a steady rate.

Meanwhile, Newcastle (8.00) has scored in six of their eight games since the restart. But heavy defeats to Man City (5-1) and Tottenham (3-1) prove the team has defensive issues. I’m expecting this to be an open game with plenty of goalscoring opportunities. Given both sides’ recent records, the price for both teams to score (1.90) in this matchup looks very appealing.

That’s it for my EPL predictions and best bets this season. But fear not! Due to the unexpected stoppage, the start of the 2020/21 season isn’t too far away.

Make sure you continue to use the top online soccer betting sites to get the best odds.