Early Odds and Betting Preview for the 2022 Australian Open

By Zarko Naric in Tennis
| October 6, 2021 6:32 am PST

Although we’re still months away from the 2022 Australian Open (it starts on January 17), it’s never too early to discuss the betting odds.

That’s exactly what I will do in this post – dissect the early prices, analyze the chances of top favorites, and share my pick for the winner of the first major of the year.

Early Odds for the 2022 Australian Open Men’s Singles

The 2022 Australian Open will be the 110th edition of the tournament. The all-time record holder for most Men’s Singles titles is Novak Djokovic.

The ATP no.1 has nine Australian Open trophies in his collection, the most recent of which he won in February 2021.

As you can see from the early Australian Open odds, Novak is favored to add the tenth title to his collection. If he does it, he’s going to surpass Federer and Nadal in the number of Grand Slam titles.

At +130, the Serbian player is the clear favorite to win, followed by the runner-up of the 2021 tournament, Daniil Medvedev.

Rafael Nadal and Dominic Thiem come next, both priced at +750, followed by the Olympic gold winner, Alexander Zverev.

All the others come with the odds that are longer than +1000. This includes such tennis greats as Roger Federer, whom we could see ending his playing career before the start of the 2022 Australian Open.

Why Novak Djokovic Will (Probably) Win the 2022 Australian Open

To understand why Novak Djokovic is the number one favorite to win the Australian Open in January, you just need to take a look at the list of the tournament winners since 2008.

Year Winner Runner-up
2008 Novak Djokovic Jo-Wilfred Tsonga
2009 Rafael Nadal Roger Federer
2010 Roger Federer Andy Murray
2011 Novak Djokovic Andy Murray
2012 Novak Djokovic Rafael Nadal
2013 Novak Djokovic Andy Murray
2014 Stan Wawrinka Rafael Nadal
2015 Novak Djokovic Andy Murray
2016 Novak Djokovic Andy Murray
2017 Roger Federer Rafael Nadal
2018 Roger Federer Marin Cilic
2019 Novak Djokovic Rafael Nadal
2020 Novak Djokovic Dominic Thiem
2021 Novak Djokovic Daniil Medvedev

Djokovic made his Australian Open debut in 2005 as a teenager; three years later, at the age of 20, he won the tournament for the first time.

He went on to win it another eight times, three of which happened in the previous three tournaments.

What’s interesting is that Novak Djokovic has never lost a final in Melbourne. What’s even more interesting is that he’s beaten all of his biggest rivals in the Australian Open finals.

This includes Daniil Medvedev, Rafael Nadal, and Dominic Thiem, who are the three players behind Djokovic in the list of top 2022 Australian Open favorites.

Is Daniil Medvedev Novak’s Kryptonite?

In 2021, Novak Djokovic had a wonderful chance to end the tennis GOAT conversation for once and for all.

He was on his way to completing a calendar Grand Slam, after winning three major tournaments – 2021 Australian Open, 2021 French Open, and 2021 Wimbledon.

Everything was going smoothly for the Serbian at the 2021 US Open until the final. That’s where he met Daniil Medvedev.

Even though Djokovic was the pre-match favorite, the towering Russian beat him in straight sets (6-4, 6-4, 6-4).

Winning the US Open was Medvedev’s greatest achievement of the year. Actually, it was his first title at a major tournament in his entire career.

Can he grab another one in January? It wouldn’t be a massive surprise if he did. After all, the 6’6 player has established himself as one of the hardcourt experts. Actually, most of the tournaments he’s won so far used hardcourt as the surface.

One hardcourt tournament he (still) hasn’t won is the Australian Open. He did get very close the last time, but Djokovic defeated him in the final.

Can Someone Else Rise to the Occasion?

If you take a look at the early odds for the 2022 Australian Open, you’ll see that Roger Federer is among the top ten favorites. Still, there’s a big question mark hovering above his participation in the tournament.

There are only three active players other than Novak Djokovic who have won the Australian Open in the 21st century. One of those is Federer, who’s won the tournament on six occasions.

The Swiss has turned 40 in August and has been struggling with a knee injury, which he’ll probably have to deal with via surgery. Whether he’ll be able to recover in time for the 2022 Australian Open remains to be seen.

Still, even if he does, he probably isn’t going to return to the fitness level he had the last time he won a Grand Slam tournament (it happened in 2018).

The third member of the Tennis Big Three – Rafael Nadal – is also among the top favorites for winning the title in January.

However, same as his Swiss rival, the Spaniard is also struggling with an injury. In Nadal’s case, it’s a left foot injury.

The two tennis veterans probably don’t stand a chance to add another Grand Slam title to the collection. But, what about some young guns?

Alexander Zverev and Stefanos Tsitsipas definitely look like players who could win the Australian Open in the future. Still, they will probably have to wait a while longer until it happens.

Betting on the 2022 Australian Open

You might think that it’s too early to bet on the 2022 Australian Open, but I beg to differ.

Sure, there’s not much info available – we don’t even know which players will take part in the tournament. However, there’s one major advantage to placing Australian Open bets right now.

What I’m talking about are the betting odds, which look really attractive at the moment.

This goes especially for Novak Djokovic odds, which are bound to get shorter and shorter as we approach the tournament start date.

Does this mean you should back Djokovic at +130? It surely does!

Djokovic is at the top of the ATP Rankings for a reason – he is the best tennis player on the planet and he’ll continue to be the best for at least another year.

For more articles like these, be sure to check out our sports blog.

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