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Early Odds and Analysis for Blachowicz vs. Adesanya

| November 7, 2020 6:49 am PDT
Jan Blachowicz vs. Israel Adesanya

Can Israel Adesanya beat Jan Blachowicz? Will “The Last Stylebender” make it the first and final defense of the Pole’s crown?

If you’re betting on Blachowicz vs. Adesanya, you need to know a couple of things. First, this is simply an early look at the fight. No date, location, or event has been assigned to this light heavyweight title scrap, but UFC President Dana White has confirmed that it will happen.

We’re looking at March, at the latest, for the next chapter in both guys’ careers. But thanks to odds I have found via the top online sportsbooks, I’m going to give you a little taste of what to expect in this potential barnstormer.

Let’s get down to the odds before I disclose why both men have a chance of emerging victorious in this fight.

Blachowicz vs. Adesanya Odds

Israel Adesanya to Win-255
Jan Blachowicz to Win+215

So, the odds for Blachowicz vs. Adesanya are there for all to view on BetOnline.

Are you surprised to see the Nigerian-Kiwi such a steady favorite on his 205-pound debut? I’m not in the slightest. For a start, Adesanya is just too awesome, and his star profile is going to lead to so many fans taking him in this fight.

And that’s just following the trend that this sublime technical striker has blazed since he arrived in the UFC. Adesanya has closed as a minus money underdog in every single fight he has had in the promotion.

Looking for contrast? Here, try this on for size. Blachowicz’s historical odds landscape is diametrically opposed to that of his foe.

Blachowicz is THE underdog’s underdog, having closed as the plus money fighter in most of his UFC fights. But the funny thing is that the new champ just seems to keep knocking them down.

This guy thrives on being the underdog. And if Adesanya underestimates him… he’s toast.

How Blachowicz Can Win

Blachowicz might as well be Rodney Dangerfield, given the amount of respect that he gets from UFC bettors.

But smart bettors have noticed that the Pole has been on an upset rampage in recent times. And what was greater upset than knocking out Dominick Reyes to win the vacant UFC light heavyweight title?

Blachowicz effectively destroyed the guy that many believed was equipped to take over the 205-pound division after Jon Jones. I’ll admit that, even though I was aware of the threats that he posed, I considered Blachowicz’s chances of beating Reyes at around the 30% mark.

Can he do the same against Adesanya? A guy that is moving into his domain, yet is showing him the same respect that a puppy with a full bladder does when sat on your brand new rug?

Blachowicz has the power and ground game to win this fight. His odds look very nice.

How Adesanya Can Win

Only a fool would disregard Adesanya’s ability to jump up a weight class and make it his own.

Now, I’m not exactly saying that The Last Stylebender would be limited at light heavyweight, but the juxtaposition of the loss of his advantages and susceptibility to yield to increased power could make plans pf any long stay at 205 unachievable.

But this is Adesanya we are talking about. This is the technical wizard that has experience of fighting at this weight before, in boxing, and kickboxing. This is the future legend that has made a mockery of the biggest opponents that he has faced thus far.

Can Blachowicz hold him back? Technically, Adesanya’s speed and timing pose the kind of nightmare to the Pole that I am usually faced with after half a block of cheese.


We have an awesome fight to look forward to, ladies and gentlemen. And II hope this little appetizer has got you as excited as I am.

Of course, I’ll be back with a full and thorough breakdown of Blachowicz vs. Adesanya soon. When all the details have been finalized, I’ll give the lowdown on everything you need to know to bet on this fight.

That’s it from me for now. If you’re looking for fights to bet on this month, check out the content below.

Adam Haynes
Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA, boxing, and combat sports.

When Adam isn't writing about those, as well as politics, rugby, and Gaelic Games, he can be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

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