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Early Odds for the 2022 BBC Sports Personality of the Year – Contender Analysis and More

| January 11, 2022 10:24 am PDT

The odds for the 2022 BBC Sports Personality of the Year (SPOTY) are now online.

Betting sites for the 2022 SPOTY see F1 star Lewis Hamilton as the leading charge, with Emma Raducanu in second. The tennis star, who stormed to the 2021 award, is being tipped to push the Mercedes icon all the way. 

Although the awards ceremony will not be held until December, I think it’s worth looking at the early BBC SPOTY odds to see if there is any betting value on offer. I’ve laid out a few picks to consider, as well as three sleepers for the award that could net you a nice profit.

Let’s get things started with the early odds for the 2022 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award before we go any further.

BBC Sports Personality of the Year Odds for 2022

I’ve taken the online odds for the 2022 BBC SPOTY from the Betway sportsbook. I’ve chosen to list the top ten candidates but a more comprehensive list of options for the award is available on the site.

Lewis Hamilton+400
Emma Raducanu+800
Harry Kane+1200
George Russell+1400
Heather Knight+1400
Sarah Hunter+1400
Dinah Asher-Smith+1600
Keely Hodgkinson+1600
Jordan Henderson+2000
Raheem Sterling+2000

Taking the early odds for the BBC Sports Personality of the Year winner for 2022 can be a great way to get yourself some early value.

The prices this far out are much better than what you will likely get for the favorites closer to the awards ceremony in December. The crop of contenders above has a year or season’s worth of success to attain before they are deemed worthy of the award. So, you are pretty much taking a gamble betting on the 2022 SPOTY this far out. 

As you can see, two-time award winner Lewis Hamilton is the betting favorite to win the 2022 BBC Sports Personality of the Year. With a potential record-breaking 8th F1 championship on the cards, the Brit is certainly one to watch. 

Emma Raducanu

Emma Raducanu is an interesting +800 as the second favorite. The youngster stormed to victory in the 2021 ceremony following her triumph at the US Open at Flushing Meadows in September. Unlike Hamilton’s proven pedigree in F1, was Raducanu’s win a flash in the pan for the tennis ace?

England soccer captain Harry Kane is also among the favorites to win the BBC SPOTY in 2022, with the “Three Lions” among the teams to beat at the FIFA World Cup. 

Fledgling F1 star George Russell is also among the top early picks for the 2022 BBC SPOTY, alongside athletics star Dinah Asher-Smith. 

Before I break down the top contenders for the award, it’s worth thinking about why these guys are being tipped to win.

One of the best ways to bet early on the BBC SPOTY is to think about the events that are more likely to resonate with the British public and, of course, how likely it is for the candidates to be successful in those competitions and tournaments.

Events that Could Influence Who Wins the 2022 SPOTY

What are the major sports events that we know of so far? 

When it comes to boxing, for example, we’re seldom certain of a fighter’s calendar past his next scheduled bout. For international soccer players or athletes based in Britain, however, they are tied to one major event in a calendar year.

Here are some of the major events for British sports stars coming up in 2022. 

  • Winter Olympics Games – Could the SPOTY winner emerge from this year’s games? Those looking to take advantage of the best bets for the Winter Olympics could possibly see value in a successful Brit doing well at the SPOTY.
  • Six Nations Championship – England, Scotland, and Wales make up Great Britain. All three countries will be competing in this year’s championship. Could we see a rugby player win the award? Our 2022 Six Nations betting guide might give you some food for thought.
  • Tyson Fury vs. Dillian Whyte – The last boxer to win the BBC Sports Personality of the Year award was former undisputed heavyweight champion, Lennox Lewis. A win for Fury over Whyte could set him up with a chance to become the first man to unify the division in the new era. This could be worth a shot, especially if you’re betting on Fury vs. Whyte going in favor of the “Gypsy King.”
  • 2022 FIFA World Cup – Again, Harry Kane’s England might go all the way in Qatar. If you’re looking to wager on the 2022 FIFA World Cup going to London, Kane could be a good bet.
  • 2022 F1 Championship – Major sportsbooks have priced Lewis Hamilton as the favorite to win the 2022 Drivers’ Championship. If he gets his hands on an eight title, he will be a shoo-in for this award. Unless England wins the World Cup.

Alongside these events, you have major golf and tennis tournaments as well as the 2022 World Athletics Championships that can influence who wins the BBC Sports Personality in 2022.

If you are betting early for value, my advice is to factor these into the equation rather than betting on a whim. With that, let’s take a look at the best early contenders for the 2022 SPOTY. 

Lewis Hamilton

  • Sport: F1
  • Potential: Record 8th World Title
  • Odds: +400
  • Early Value: Yes
Lewis Hamilton

Hamilton came within a hair’s breadth of winning his eighth F1 Drivers’ Championship in 2021.

Max Verstappen pipped the Brit to the finish line on the final lap of the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix in December, much to the chagrin of Hamilton’s supporters. It was a controversial end to one of the most exciting championships in recent memory. 

Hamilton’s odds to win the BBC Sports Personality of the Year award in 2022 see him installed as the sportsperson to beat. At odds of +400, there is early value to be had on the Englishman, given he will challenge for the title.

Many Brits were disappointed to see Hamilton lose out on what would have been an incredible achievement in last year’s championship.

Therefore, we can surmise that they will be in his corner this year. That extra support could prove crucial when it comes to selecting the winner of the SPOTY.

So, given that Hamilton is the favorite to win the Drivers’ Championship — and will have just one true challenger in Verstappen — I believe the safe money is with the Mercedes legend. At least, for now.

In a scenario where Hamilton wins the title, and England fails to win the FIFA World Cup, the BBC SPOTY is his.

Emma Raducanu

  • Sport: Tennis
  • Potential: Multiple Titles
  • Odds: +800
  • Early Value: No

Last year, Raducanu became the first female SPOTY winner since Zara Phillips in 2006.

Storming to victory as a -2500 favorite, the 19-year-old hit the headlines as the first female tennis player to pick up the gong after Virginia Wade in 1977. Her against all odds win at the US Open was seen as the crowning achievement of any British sports star in 2021.

Emma Raducanu

Raducanu’s triumph was greeted warmly by the British public. The teen, who beat Leylah Fernandez in the final of the competition in September, was pretty much the only viable candidate by the time entertainment betting sites stopped taking wagers. 

This was a fairytale story. One that doesn’t tend to come around very often, hence the prohibitive odds for the SPOTY award where she was concerned. It would take a massive achievement for her to win back-to-back gongs, and I certainly don’t see her smashing consecutive championships this year.

Alongside the regular, annual events such as the Six Nations and the F1 Drivers’ Championship, we have the FIFA World Cup, the Winter Olympics, and some major boxing bouts involving Brits such as Fury vs. Whyte and Oleksandr Usyk’s rematch with Anthony Joshua.

There is no value on Raducanu at +800. I’d take a hard pass on the youngster but would certainly keep an eye on her for the award in the future. 

Harry Kane

  • Sport: Soccer
  • Potential: World Cup Winner
  • Odds: +1200
  • Early Value: Yes

Is it “coming home” for England in 2022?

The latest odds for the FIFA World Cup in Qatar has the English at +700 to lift the cup. With the strongest team they have had in years, Gareth Southgate’s men have a real chance of going all the way in Asia. 

Harry Kane
In last year’s preview for betting on the BBC Sports Personality of the Year, I offered to ‘eat my hat’ if England won the Euros and Kane didn’t take the SPOTY award. The English came close to becoming European Champions for the first time, only for Italy to be the better team on the day.

I genuinely believe that England can win the World Cup. Again, if they do, captain Kane will likely be canonized as the patron saint of old “Blighty.”

There is early value for the Sports Personality of the Year award to be had on the Spurs forward.

George Russell

  • Sport: F1
  • Potential: First World Title
  • Odds: +1400
  • Early Value: No
George Russell

Formula One fans, especially those of British persuasion, are expecting great things from Russell.

The Englishman looks to possess all the tools required to become a world champion. But is 2022 a little too early for the 23-year-old? I think so.

The fact that he will be playing the part of #2 to this year’s favorite for the BBC Sports Personality of the Year award in Lewis Hamilton is not a good sign.

Make no mistake here — this season, for Mercedes as a team, is all about helping Hamilton to that eighth title. Even though Russell will undoubtedly shine, he has not been installed to replace Valtteri Bottas for any other reason. At least, not yet.

A glance over some of his recent comments should give you an insight into the mindset of the youngster. 

“Going from Williams, where I have been pretty fortunate in a way not having to do so many marketing activities just because of the nature of the position we’ve been in, to Mercedes where we’ve got tons of sponsors and lots of commitments that drivers need to attend to.

From a racing side and off-track side, it is going to be incredibly intense. So, January – take 10 days off, a nice holiday, reset – and then hit the ground running mid-to-end of January. Then put everything on the table and go for it.”

Russell offers no value at +1400. I wouldn’t take him at +2500, truth be told.

Heather Knight

  • Sport: Women’s Cricket
  • Potential: World Cup Winner
  • Odds: +1400
  • Early Value: No

Knight’s 2022 BBC Sports Personality of the Year odds sees her currently priced as the joint-fourth favorite to win the award.

The captain of England’s women’s cricket team heads into 2022 with ambitions of becoming an ICC World Cup winner. The English are third in the official ICC Women’s rankings and will be up there with a shot of winning the title in New Zealand in March.

I’m not keen on Knight for several reasons. First, the tournament will be over by springtime. Traditionally, these awards tend to involve some recency bias with both the panel and voters, which means that even a strong performance for her and her team could be washed away by the time the year is out. 

Odds of +1400 are a little light for her, given that England is unlikely to go all the way. I’d rate Hamilton’s chances of winning the F1 title and the England soccer team’s prospects in Qatar as better, as well as Tyson Fury’s chances of unifying the heavyweight division in 2022.

You can read more about that, if interested, below. 

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Early Sleepers for the BBC SPOTY in 2022

From the top five candidates to win the award, I’d recommend looking at just Hamilton and Lewis for now.

There is a slew of names on the list, just for the sake of it, which are also worth putting a cross next to. For example, Anthony Joshua (+2500), Eoin Morgan (+2800), and Geraint Thomas (+3300) seem to have been added to fill up spaces.

Even with Joshua’s options for a new trainer cause for his fanbase to get excited, I don’t see him beating Usyk in the rematch. Despite being born in Dublin, Ireland, England cricket captain Eoin Morgan is also among the options. While highly-rated, I don’t see England’s men having much to celebrate this year.

Thomas could have a good run at the Tour de France but is not among the favorites at things stand.

Things can change very quickly throughout a year, so keep in mind that there will be some emerging sleepers and value picks to look at when the 2022 BBC Sports Personality of the Year odds are updated.

For now, here are my top three BBC SPOTY award sleepers to consider.

  • Tyson Fury – A name that pops up again is Tyson Fury. Fury, despite having a lengthy feud with the BBC, is one of the best sleepers for the SPOTY in 2022. Odds of +2000 for Fury are top-notch, especially with a big year for him on the cards. 
  • Raheem Sterling – The England soccer star could have a big tournament in Qatar. If he performs well, especially in the knockout rounds, he’s bound to be good value at +2000.
  • Gareth Southgate – Manager of the England soccer team, Southgate is also worth considering with odds of +3600 pretty decent.

BBC Sports Personality of the Year in 2022 – Why Bet Early?

Although there is a lot to come from Britain’s top sportspeople this year, I believe either soccer, F1, or boxing will produce the winner of the SPOTY in 2022.

Early odds for the BBC SPOTY are always worth looking at. Just remember to factor in the important bits, such as the popularity of certain sports, the sportspeople, and when the events happen. If you can draw logical conclusions from these criteria, you could make a significant profit in the process.

Looking for more entertainment and novelty odds and bets? You can see the latest predictions, picks, and advice from the team by visiting the following blog.

Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA, boxing, and combat sports.

When Adam isn't writing about those, as well as politics, rugby, and Gaelic Games, he can be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

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  1. Shena Chad April 16, 2022 at 7:01 am

    Surely Eve Muirhead deserves to win SPOTY and her team should win the team prize after their amazing Gold in the Winter Olympics! Their achievement was the greatest achievement of the year so far and I doubt will be surpassed

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