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Early Betting Preview for Povetkin vs. Whyte 2 – November 21, 2020
Dillian Whyte locks horns with Alexander Povetkin on November 21, in a rematch that will determine Tyson Fury’s WBC mandatory.
A location for the fight has not been nailed down, but Wembley Arena and the Royal Albert Hall, both in London, are being considered. Given the notoriously cold British winters, Eddie Hearn’s back garden doesn’t seem like a viable option.
Regardless, the Brit gets a second bite of the cherry against Povetkin, despite being knocked out cold by a stunning uppercut in August. If he is to realize his world title aspirations, this is a fight that he cannot afford to lose.
Will Whyte make most of his shot at redemption? What can Povetkin earn by beating Whyte for a second time? These are just two questions I’ll be covering in my early preview for the biggest rematch in boxing this year.
First, let’s look at the betting line for Povetkin vs. Whyte 2 and see where the early value is.
Opening Odds for Povetkin vs. Whyte 2
I’ll just come out and say it — I’m not keen on Whyte’s odds at all.
I am certainly not going to bite your hand off for -240. Not for a guy that was put to sleep by the same opponent just months prior. Yes, “The Body Snatcher” was bossing the first contest up until he was knocked out, but I don’t have much faith in him to deliver the goods. Certainly not enough to cut into my bankroll for paltry value.
Povetkin, once again, comes in as a plus-money dog with odds of +200 looking appealing for value hunters. Arguably the most underrated fighter in the heavyweight division, the Russian has only ever lost to a near-prime Wladimir Klitschko and a sparky, confident Anthony Joshua.
The opening odds for Povetkin vs. Whyte 2 tell us a couple of things. One, Whyte is considered a moderate favorite to gain his revenge in November. Additionally, everything up until the knockout was favorable to the Brixton-based puncher, and the oddsmakers have taken that into account.
The Brit closed at -475 to Povetkin’s +275 in the first fight. This time around, punters will be approaching their bets with a sense of trepidation. And that is completely understandable.
But based on the Povetkin vs. Whyte 2 odds I have seen on some of the online boxing betting sites, the consensus is that Whyte will find a way to edge past his rival. But could the additional pressure here make Whyte a poor choice in this contest?
What’s at Stake?
- The WBC interim heavyweight title
- A potential shot at Tyson Fury’s WBC heavyweight crown
- Whyte’s status as a top-five heavyweight
- Whyte’s career
If alarm bells aren’t sounding in Dillian Whyte’s head right now, something is very wrong. The 32-year-old comes into this fight with all the pressure on his back. The simple fact of the matter is that he must win to maintain his place in the upper reaches of the sport.
Promising and delivering on promises are two distinct things. In this game, there are fighters who invariably crack under such pressure and I worry if Whyte is one of them. So, from a betting perspective, the question you should ask yourself is will Whyte rise to the occasion or crumble like an underbaked cookie?
Povetkin, despite winning the WBC interim title with one of the best knockouts of 2020, somehow comes in under the radar. Again. It’s incredible how little respect this guy gets compared to how dangerous he can be when the gloves are on.
Whyte probably has more to lose than Povetkin has to gain from a win. Now, that might sound a little disrespectful to the Russian, but hear me out.
First, Whyte has somehow found himself as a perennial contender for the WBC strap. His knocks on the respective doors of Deontay Wilder and Tyson Fury, have been, quite unfairly, ignored for some time. All in all, over 1000 days. You can hardly blame Fury for this, but the point stands.
A loss here would kill any hope of winning a world title. For the next couple of years, barring exceptional circumstances or wildly unpredictable permutations among the top three of Fury, Joshua, and Wilder.
If Whyte beats Povetkin in the rematch, he can go back to kicking and screaming about how he deserves to fight for Fury’s title. Even better, he can rightfully challenge Anthony Joshua to a lucrative rematch, providing Joshua vs. Pulev doesn’t spring another surprise.
But a loss for Whyte? Well, that will see him slide out of the consensus top-five heavyweights on the planet. It would also mark him as a target for emerging heavyweights. Worst case scenario? It could destroy his career.
Povetkin, with a win, may or may not get another title shot. But knowing how this sport works, I wouldn’t be surprised if he was overlooked until he hangs his gloves up for the last time.
Will the Winner Fight Fury Next?
Whyte was named as Deontay Wilder’s WBC mandatory in 2017 and maintained that status when Tyson Fury beat Wilder for the strap.
Despite putting together an eleven-fight win streak, Whyte was hoping that the win over Povetkin would land him that title shot. But losing blew all of that out of the water.
Fury knows that there are more lucrative fights for him than Whyte, and his team was perhaps the biggest beneficiaries of the shock result in August. This means that Fury can now concentrate on a third fight with Wilder or a blockbuster scrap with Anthony Joshua next, rather than being burdened with his mandatory.
Will Fury fight Whyte next, if Whyte beats Povetkin? The answer is no. It’s not going to happen. How about if Povetkin beats Whyte for the second time? Will he get Fury next?
I would say that there is more chance of aliens launching an attack during the Super Bowl halftime show. But further down the line, providing both Fury and Povetkin maintain winning records? Sure. I can see it happening.
?️"Everything is on the line!" ?@EddieHearn says that @DillianWhyte's world title ambitions are at stake in his rematch against Alexander Povetkin.— Sky Sports Boxing (@SkySportsBoxing) September 15, 2020
? November 21, Sky Sports Box Office pic.twitter.com/uml5ks7zSa
Will Povetkin or Whyte Win the Rematch?
Just like their first scrap in August, this is not an easy fight to call.
Prior to Whyte vs. Povetkin, I spoke about how well the Russian was a crafty veteran with a sneaky left hand. I didn’t expect him to land it as beautifully as he did on Whyte’s chin. But one thing I was anticipating was how, overall, the contest would represent something of a banana skin for the Brit.
It couldn’t have turned out any worse for the Brixton-based bruiser.
But this time around, Whyte’s back is well and truly against the wall in what will be the biggest test of his career. If he cannot come through with a win, I can’t see him doing much more in this sport. It sounds harsh, but boxing is an unforgiving game and Whyte gets no special pass.
As for my prediction for this highly anticipated rematch? I’ll be back with that, and more, by way of a full betting preview for Povetkin vs. Whyte 2.
Keep your eyes on our sports betting picks page for that.