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Early Betting Odds and Lines for Week 9 of the 2020 NFL
Each week I take a look at the early NFL betting lines, with the sole purpose to potentially highlight value worth targeting.
The trick is deciding when to pounce on said value, and when to ride it out and wait for a better price. Of course, shopping lines is built into that equation, and it’s not always easy to know when to wait and when to bet.
Taking an early look at NFL odds before you think you’re ready to bet can often make the decision easier, however.
An early look at last week’s NFL odds showcased the Steelers as a very interesting bet to beat a 5.5-point spread, and they went on to upset the Ravens to stay undefeated.
Jumping on seemingly advantageous pricing doesn’t always work out, and I’m not really here to hand you a bet. Instead, we need to get going on our week nine NFL bets as soon as we can, assuming the right bet is starting us in the face once the NFL week 9 odds are released.
Before you dive into any bets, of course – with or without my insight from this post – be sure to compare pricing at the best NFL betting sites.
To help assess each game with active odds, join me for a quick breakdown for the early week nine NFL odds betting lines.
Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers Odds
I don’t know if the Packers were overlooking the Vikings or what, but they did not play well in week eight. Dalvin Cook totally roasted them for four scores, and he made it look easy.
It led to a bad loss at home, and now they have to regroup on a short week.
It’s coming against a still tough Niners team. San Francisco is mangled, but they’re at home, and for the most part, their rushing attack and defense remain problematic.
Heading out west (where the Packers got blasted thrice in 2019), this looks like an awful spot for the Packers. Getting the Niners at +3 is a bit of a steal, while the Niners will be a very tempting bet if they stick as the straight up underdogs.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Buffalo Bills Odds
We get a fun battle in Buffalo, where Josh Allen and Russell Wilson wage war. Wilson has been red hot all year, while Allen has had his mild flirtation with the NFL MVP conversation.
DK Metcalf to end his presser:— Joe Fann (@Joe_Fann) November 2, 2020
"The Russell Wilson MVP train is back on the tracks."
It’s Wilson’s award to lose at this point, as he’s fresh off of a dusting of a tough 49ers defense.
Wilson probably won’t be slowed down by the Bills, who are elite defense in name only. Buffalo has shown a ton of bend in 2020, and they’ll be hard-pressed to slow down Seattle’s offense.
The problem here is Seattle’s defense is significantly worse. There’s value on both sides of the pricing here, but the Over is probably the sweet spot if this total can stay right around 51.
Denver Broncos vs. Atlanta Falcons Odds
The Denver Broncos still have work to do, but boy, are they coming into Atlanta riding a high.
Drew Lock’s game isn’t polished, but he just tossed three touchdowns and beat the Chargers at the buzzer.
That type of comeback can galvanize a team, and Denver is in theory in a nice spot against a beatable Falcons defense. There could be value with Denver across the board here, while this game total feels a bit low when you consider the explosive ability on both sides.
Chicago Bears vs. Tennessee Titans Odds
Is this the game where the wheels fall off for the Bears? Chicago was off to a nice 5-1 start, but they lost to the Saints in OT, and now they’ve dropped two straight.
This game in Tennessee could very well make it three in a row, but my goodness, is this a thick spread. Let’s keep in mind that the Titans just lost to the Bengals of all teams, and have allowed a lot of teams to play them very close.
Chicago is a compelling underdog pick here, and they stand a decent chance at beating this spread. Those are probably the bets you’re eyeing if you plan on betting on this one.
Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings Odds
The Lions and Vikings are just cannibalizing each other in week nine. Minnesota scored a huge upset in Green Bay last week, but neither of these teams has a realistic shot at the playoffs at this point.
That said, Minnesota is back home, and thanks to the superior ground game and a slowly improving defense, they look like the appropriate favorites.
Neither of these teams are easy to trust, though, and Detroit is weirdly great (3-1) away from home in 2020. Detroit offers all the value here, too.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Indianapolis Colts Odds
This is immediately one of my least favorite NFL games to bet on in week nine. The total is low, the spread is tight, and both of these defenses can seriously play.
Baltimore lost to an undefeated Steelers team last week in crushing fashion, so they’ll be looking to bounce back. Indy just trounced the Lions and have an eye on first place in the AFC South, though, so they won’t be so willing to step to the side.
The Colts offer better than expected value at home, but the gut instinct is to just roll with Lamar Jackson and the Ravens here.
Carolina Panthers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Odds
This is a very interesting game to assess, and the Jets vs. Chiefs odds are basically being slashed in half. It feels a tad disrespectful to Carolina, who have very quietly been in every single game this year.
The Panthers could be getting stud running back Christian McCaffrey back this week, too.
Christian McCaffrey has been designated to return from the reserve/injured list.— Carolina Panthers (@Panthers) October 27, 2020
If that does happen, C-Mac gives this team a considerable lift. Factor in Carolina’s solid defense and Kansas City’s tendency to play down to the level of their competition this year, and gravitating towards the Panthers makes sense.
Either way, this game should have a solid amount of points, so provided this total stays right around 50-51, we have a bet worth attacking at online betting websites.
Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Odds
It really feels like the top NFL sportsbooks are slow-playing the game totals this week. They’re starting off around 50-51 depending on where you look, but I won’t be shocked at all to see them skyrocket by mid-week.
That goes for this game, where Deshaun Watson and an explosive Houston offense could go off on the Jags. They hung 30 points on Jacksonville earlier this year, and had the Jaguars not turned the ball over four times, perhaps the scoring would have come from the other side, as well.
I don’t have much confidence in the Jags putting up a ton of points in this spot, though, especially seeing as Gardner Minshew II is hurt.
Sources: #Jaguars QB Gardner Minshew is expected to be inactive for next week’s game vs the #Texans. Mike Glennon and rookie Jake Luton were told to be ready to compete in practice. One will start, the other will back up against Houston.— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) November 1, 2020
Houston looks like the team to back here, although the moneyline isn’t really on the table. The Texans to cover or betting on the Over feel like the two bets to work with in week nine.
New York Giants vs. Washington Football Team Odds
What an utter disgrace this matchup is. It isn’t even friendly to anyone hoping to bet on the NFL in week nine, either.
This game is almost a pick’em, there isn’t a moneyline out as I prep for week nine, and the game total tells you about all you need to know.
Terry McLaurin and Antonio Gibson give you reason to watch, but there isn’t a bet worth falling in love with in this matchup.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers Odds
This game doesn’t have NFL week 9 odds when it comes to the moneyline, either, but at least it doesn’t give me indigestion.
Las Vegas is feeling good after a gritty win in Cleveland, and a big win here would probably knock the Chargers out of the playoff discussion, and keep the Raiders in the race for the AFC West.
The latter is likely a pipedream, but Las Vegas is looking like a viable playoff threat. L.A. has made an art of caving late and losing games they should win, too.
The early week 9 NFL odds make me like the Raiders across the board here, while the game total projection has a shootout coming our way.
Miami Dolphins vs. Arizona Cardinals Odds
NFL fans get a fun one in week nine, as Kyler Murray and the Cards host Tua Tagovailoa and the Dolphins.
Miami is (gulp) a playoff contender. Tua wasn’t amazing in his first NFL start, but he did enough, and that Dolphins defense looks quite legit.
The Dolphins are now ranked the NFL’s No. 1 defense in points allowed. And I don’t know if there’s literally a single person aside from Dolphins fans who could name more than one — maybe two — starters. No defensive players over 30 years old. Sign of a very promising future.— Jeff Darlington (@JeffDarlington) November 2, 2020
Murray was straight flames in a wild OT win prior to Arizona’s bye week, though. Miami’s defense and the rise of Tua makes Miami pretty alluring here, while it’s really tough to imagine this game can’t produce 50 points.
There’s plenty to think about here, and by the looks of it, three viables bets on the table.
New England Patriots vs. New York Jets Odds
Oh, how the mighty have fallen. It’s not that the Pats shouldn’t get a thick point spread against the winless Jets – because they totally should.
It’s that I’m really afraid they might not even win the game.
Don’t get me wrong, New York is about as bad of a team as I’ve ever seen. However, even the worst teams inch closer to that elusive win, and New England hasn’t been able to get out of their own way during a nasty four-game skid.
This much losing is just unheard of for a Bill Belichick team. Facing the Jets would logically be the “get right” game this team desperately needs, but it could also be a beautiful upset special for bettors to jump on. YOLO!
There are some very interesting matchups this week, and it all starts in the Bay Area on Thursday Night Football. The Packers and 49ers are both coming off tough losses, neither are quite 100%, and only one came away with the win.
Right away we should be able to nab some value if we jump on that game early, and I think there are a plethora of spots to do the same.
The early NFL week 9 odds indicate we could be getting some shootouts, yet the game totals aren’t yet priced out of control. That could mean betting the Over in a lot of spots is the way to go, while some of these thicker spreads seem to slight overreactions.
Again, it’s early. Injuries and line movement can change our mind, but there’s enough to go off to toss in some bets early in the week. If you plan on waiting to assess things further, just be sure to incorporate the logic from our NFL picks.